Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs New Orleans Saints Prediction, 10/1/2023 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 4

Game: Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs New Orleans Saints

Date: Sunday, October 1, 2023

Location: Caesars Superdome in New Orleans, LA

TV: FOX

Odds/Point Spread: Saints (-3.5)

Total/Over-Under: 40

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers (2-1) are en route to Caesars Superdome on Sunday where they will compete against the New Orleans Saints (2-1). Tampa Bay opens as 3.5-point dogs from Vegas oddsmakers. The over/under has been set at 40.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers step onto the field holding a record of 2-1 for this year. When they last stepped on the football field, the Buccaneers faced the Eagles and ended up losing by a score of 25-11. Rachaad White led the offense in rushing for the Buccaneers with 14 attempts for 38 yards (2.7 yds per carry). Mike Evans held an average of 12.0 yds per catch by accumulating 60 yards on 5 catches. Baker Mayfield finished 15/25 with 146 yds passing and 1 TD. He had a quarterback rate of 73.1 and ended the game with 1 interception. When it came to stopping the run, the Buccaneers gave up 201 yds on 40 tries, which averages out to 5.0 yds per run surrendered. Tampa Bay surrendered 23 completions on 37 attempts for a total of 271 yards, and a completion rate of 62.2%. In the game, they ran 44 plays which gave them a total of 174 yds. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers ended up running the ball 17 different times and totaled 41 yds, which earned them an average of 2.4 yards per attempt.

The Buccaneers have earned 853 yards in total for the season. Tampa Bay has earned 29 first downs as a unit, and they have been flagged for 14 infractions for 93 yds. With reference to scoring touchdowns, Tampa Bay has earned 4 touchdowns through the air and 1 touchdown on the ground. They have surrendered the football 2 times (1 pick and 1 fumble). Offensively they average 78.0 yards via the ground game which ranks them 27th in the NFL. When talking about scoring, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers are sitting at 19.3 PPG.

Concerning yards through the air, the Buccaneers have surrendered 768 yards which puts them in 24th in the league. They have yielded 256.0 yards per outing via the pass in addition to giving up a completion percentage of 65.5%. During the season, they are granting 359.0 yards/contest ranking them 22nd in football. They are allowing 4.2 yards per run and 103.0 rushing yards per game for the season. Over the course of this year, they have given up 309 yards via the ground game in 3 outings. The Buccaneers rank 10th in the National Football League concerning their opponents scoring, allowing 19.7 points per game.

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The Saints step onto the field holding a record of 2-1 for this season. The last time they stepped on the football field, the Saints took a loss by a score of 18-17 when they played the Packers. Derek Carr (1 TD) walked away from the game with 103 yards on 13/18 passing while his QB rating was 104.6. He didn't throw any picks and his Y/A was 5.7 yds. Chris Olave was the top contributor in the passing game for the Saints, hauling in 8 passes for 104 yards (13.0 yards per reception). Kendre Miller ran the ball 9 times for 34 yds, finishing the game with 3.8 yds per carry for New Orleans. The Saints finished the game with 252 yds and they ran 60 plays (4.2 yds per play). New Orleans ran the ball for 3.5 yards per tote, finishing with a total of 77 yards on 22 carries. New Orleans surrendered 26 attempts on the ground for 95 yards (3.7 yds per carry). The Saints pass defense allowed a completion percentage of 50.0%, surrendering 245 yards on 22 out of 44 through the air.

When it comes to the points being put on the board, the Saints currently rank 25th out of all teams in the league holding an average of 17.7 points per contest. For the year thus far, the Saints currently sit at 664 passing yards in addition to an average of 221.3 passing yards per game, giving them a rank of 15th in the NFL. They maintain an average of 93.3 rushing yards per game and have rushed for 280 yards for the year. The New Orleans Saints are averaging 314.7 yards per outing which has them sitting 20th in football. The New Orleans offense has totaled 179 yards of penalties on 17 infractions, which has them ranked 24th in the league in terms of making mistakes. They have tossed 2 picks while allowing opponents to recover 1 fumble and they have been able to earn 32 first downs.

They have yielded 2 touchdowns from the passing game as well as 188.3 yards/outing, which has them in 8th in the NFL. New Orleans has surrendered a total of 299 yards on the ground (99.7 yards per game) in addition to 1 touchdown via the rush for the season. Over the course of the season, they have surrendered 50 total points. They have totaled 5 turnovers (1 fumble recovery and 4 picks) on the year. The Saints defense has been on the field for 186 plays, which is 12th in football. The Saints are conceding 16.7 points per game, which has them in 6th of all teams in the league.

Who will win tonight's Buccaneers/Saints NFL game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Buccaneers +3.5

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