Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Minnesota Vikings Prediction, 9/10/2023 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 1

Game: Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Minnesota Vikings

Date: Sunday, September 10, 2023

Location: U.S. Bank Stadium in Minneapolis, MN

TV: CBS

Odds/Point Spread: Vikings (-6.5)

Total/Over-Under: 45.5

The Minnesota Vikings (13-4 last year) are hosting the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (8-9 last season) at U.S. Bank Stadium on Sunday. Minnesota opens this contest as 6.5-point favorites. The total is set at 45.5.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers ended the season with a 8-9 mark. In their last contest, the Buccaneers faced the Cowboys and took a loss by a final of 31-14. Rachaad White was the rushing leader for the Buccaneers with 7 carries for 41 yds (5.9 yds per carry). Chris Godwin averaged 8.5 yds per reception by notching 85 yards on 10 receptions. Tom Brady connected on 35/66 with 351 yds passing and 2 TDs. He had a quarterback rating of 72.2 and finished the game with 1 pick. On the ground, the Buccaneers conceded 128 yards on 35 tries, which is an average of 3.7 yards per rush allowed. Tampa Bay conceded 25 pass completions on 33 tries for 297 yards, and a completion rate of 75.8%. On the day, they ran 80 plays which gave them a total of 386 yds. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers ran the football 12 different times and amassed 52 yds, which earned them an average of 4.3 yds per attempt.

The Buccaneers earned 5,894 total yards for last year. Tampa Bay earned 240 1st downs offensively, and they committed 99 infractions for 793 yds. Tampa Bay totaled 26 passing touchdowns and 5 touchdowns via the ground. They turned the ball over 22 times (10 picks and 12 fumbles lost). As a team they averaged 76.9 yards in the run game, which had them sitting 32nd in the NFL. Concerning scoring, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers had an average of 18.4 PPG.

The Buccaneers ranked 13th in the NFL in relation to team defense, conceding 21.1 points per game. The opposition ran for an average of 4.5 yards per rush and 120.7 yards on the ground per game last year. For the season, they allowed 2,052 yards via the ground game in 17 outings. In terms of passing yardage, the Buccaneers conceded 3,461 yards which ranked them 10th in the NFL. During their 17 games played, they conceded 203.6 yards per contest via the pass in addition to surrendering a completion percentage of 63.9%. They surrendered 324.3 yards per game which ranked them 10th in the National Football League. They allowed 29 touchdowns via the pass and 12 touchdowns on the ground.

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The Vikings wrapped up their year with a 13-4 mark. In their last game, the Vikings took a loss by a final score of 31-24 against the Giants. Dalvin Cook ran the ball 15 times for 60 yds, ending the game with 4.0 yds per attempt for Minnesota. T.J. Hockenson was a featured target for the Vikings, catching 10 throws for 129 yards (12.9 yards per catch). Kirk Cousins (2 TDs) finished the game with 273 yards on 31/39 through the air while his quarterback rate was 112.9. He kept the ball away from the defense with no picks and his avg yards per attempt was 7.0 yds. Minnesota conceded 30 attempts on the ground for 142 yds (4.7 yds per rush). The Vikings pass defense allowed a completion percentage of 68.6%, surrendering 289 yards on 24 for 35 passing. The Vikings finished the game with 332 yds while running 56 plays (5.9 yards per play). Minnesota ran the ball for 3.8 yds per attempt, finishing the contest with 61 yards on 16 carries.

The Minnesota Vikings had an average of 361.5 yards/contest which had them sitting 7th in the NFL. They maintained an average of 97.7 rushing yards per game and toted the ball for 1,661 yards for the year. The Minnesota offense racked up 684 yards of penalties on 88 infractions, which ranked 24th in the NFL in terms of hurting your team. They threw 15 picks while conceding 8 fumbles and they tallied 244 first downs. Last year, the Vikings compiled 4,484 yards through the air along with averaging 263.8 throwing yards per contest, ranking them 6th in the NFL. Regarding their ability to score points, the Vikings ranked 8th out of all teams in football holding an average of 24.9 PPG.

The Vikings conceded 25.1 PPG, which had them in 28th in the league. They allowed 23 touchdowns via the pass in addition to 265.6 yards/contest, ranking them 31st in football. Last season, they allowed 427 points in total. Minnesota yielded a total of 2,093 yards on the ground (123.1 yards per outing) in addition to 18 touchdowns on the ground last season. The Vikings defense took the field for 1,118 plays, ranking them 31st in the NFL. They earned 25 takeaways (10 fumbles recovered and 15 picks) over the course of last season.

Who will win tonight's Buccaneers/Vikings NFL game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Buccaneers +6.5

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