Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Houston Texans Prediction, 11/5/2023 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 9

Game: Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Houston Texans

Date: Sunday, November 5, 2023

Location: NRG Stadium in Houston, TX

TV: CBS

Odds/Point Spread: Texans (-2.5)

Total/Over-Under: 39.5

The Houston Texans (3-4) will compete against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (3-4) at NRG Stadium on Sunday. Houston opens this matchup as 2.5-point favorites. The total has been set at 39.5.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers come into this matchup with a record of 3-4 for this year. In their last game, the Buccaneers played the Bills and took a loss by a score of 24-18. Baker Mayfield finished 25/42 with 237 yds passing and 2 TDs. He had a QB rating of 91.1 and finished the game with no picks. Rachaad White left with an average of 10.0 yards per catch by totaling 70 yds on 7 receptions. Rachaad White was the leader on the ground for the Buccaneers with 9 totes for 39 yards (4.3 yds per attempt). On the day, they had 62 plays which converted into 302 yds. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers ran the ball 17 different times and totaled 78 yards, which earned them an average of 4.6 yds per attempt. When it came to stopping the run, the Buccaneers gave up 115 yards on 26 tries, which is an average of 4.4 yds per rush allowed. Tampa Bay conceded 31 completions on 40 tries for 312 yards, and a completion rate of 77.5%.

Regarding putting points on the board, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers are averaging 17.3 points per game. As a unit they hold an average of 77.9 yards on the ground which is 30th in the league. The Buccaneers have tallied 2,088 total yards for the year. Tampa Bay has tallied 77 first downs as a unit, and they have been called for 50 infractions for 357 yards. They have surrendered the ball 6 different times (4 interceptions and 2 fumbles). When it comes to getting in the endzone, Tampa Bay has earned 10 passing touchdowns and 1 touchdown on the ground.

The Buccaneers rank 6th in the NFL when it comes to team defense, allowing 18.3 PPG. They are allowing 3.9 yards per rush and 98.6 yards on the ground per contest for the year. During the season, they have conceded 690 yards via the running game in 7 contests. When it comes to passing yardage, the Buccaneers have conceded 1,792 yards which ranks them 23rd in the league. They have yielded 256.0 yards per game via the pass as well as allowing a completion percentage of 68.2%. In total, they are allowing 354.6 yards per outing ranking them 25th in the league.

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The Texans come into this matchup with a record of 3-4 this season. The last time they stepped on the gridiron, the Texans took a defeat with a final score of 15-13 when they faced the Panthers. Dameon Pierce ran the football 12 times for 46 yds, finishing the game with 3.8 yds per attempt for Houston. Noah Brown was one of the featured targets for the Texans, catching 3 throws for 57 yards (19.0 yds per catch). C.J. Stroud finished the game with 140 yards on 16/24 through the air while his quarterback rate was 81.9. He kept the ball away from the defense with no interceptions and his average yards per pass attempt was 5.8 yds. Houston surrendered 24 run attempts for 44 yards (1.8 yards per carry). The Texans secondary gave up a completion rate of 71.0%, surrendering 180 yards on 22 out of 31 passing. The Texans finished the contest with a total of 229 yds while they ran 56 plays (4.1 yards per play). Houston ran the ball for 3.7 yards per carry, finishing the game with 110 yds on 30 attempts.

When discussing the points being put on the board, the Texans currently sit 20th out of all teams in football by tallying 21.1 points per game. During the season to this point, the Texans have thrown for 1,670 passing yards in addition to an average of 238.6 passing yards per game, ranking them 11th in the NFL. They hold an average of 91.9 yards via the ground game and have run for 643 yards for the season. The Houston Texans average 330.4 yards/contest which ranks them 17th in the league. The Houston offense has totaled 370 yards of penalties on 46 infractions, which is good for 21st in the league in terms of giving up free yards. They have given away 1 pick while surrendering 3 fumbles and they have been able to earn 88 first downs.

The Texans are allowing 18.3 PPG, which puts them in 7th in football. They have allowed the opposition 5 touchdowns from the passing game and 236.1 yards per game, which has them in 23rd out of all teams. Houston has conceded a total of 695 yards on the ground (99.3 yards per outing) as well as 8 touchdowns rushing for the year. The Texans defense has taken part in 452 plays, which ranks them 6th in football. Their defense has compiled 9 takeaways (5 fumbles recovered and 4 interceptions) over the course of the season. Overall, they have allowed 128 points in total.

Who will win tonight's Buccaneers/Texans NFL game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Texans -2.5

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