Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Buffalo Bills Prediction, 10/26/2023 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 8

Game: Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Buffalo Bills

Date: Thursday, October 26, 2023

Location: Highmark Stadium in Orchard Park, NY

TV: PRIME VIDEO

Odds/Point Spread: Bills (-8.5)

Total/Over-Under: 43.5

The Buffalo Bills (4-3) will take on the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (3-3) at Highmark Stadium on Thursday. Tampa Bay is 8.5-point underdogs. The total comes in at 43.5.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers head into this game 3-3 for this season. The last time they stepped on the gridiron, the Buccaneers went up against the Falcons and went home with a loss by a final score of 16-13. Baker Mayfield connected on 27/42 with 275 yards through the air and 1 TD. He had a QB rating of 81 and finished the game with 1 interception. Mike Evans had an average of 13.7 yds per reception by recording 82 yds on 6 catches. Rachaad White was the best rusher for the Buccaneers with 13 carries for 34 yds (2.6 yards per carry). Overall, they had 65 plays which gave them 329 yards. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers rushed the ball a total of 20 different times and had 73 yds, earning them an average of 3.7 yds per attempt. Against the run, the Buccaneers gave up 156 yards on 38 attempts, which is an average of 4.1 yards per run allowed. Tampa Bay allowed 19 completions on 25 attempts for 245 yards, and a completion percentage of 76.0%.

The Buccaneers have racked up 1,786 total yards this season. Tampa Bay has accounted for 67 1st downs, and they have committed 39 infractions for 283 yards. When it comes to scoring touchdowns, Tampa Bay has totaled 8 touchdowns through the air and 1 touchdown on the ground. They have turned the football over 6 different times (4 interceptions and 2 fumbles). Offensively they have an average of 77.8 yards rushing which is 29th in the league. Concerning scoring points, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers have an average of 17.2 points per contest.

The Buccaneers are ranked 6th in the NFL when it comes to team defense, allowing 17.3 points per game. The opposition is running for 3.8 yards per running attempt and 95.8 yards on the ground per game for the season. Overall, they have given up 575 yards via the ground game in 6 contests. When it comes to passing yardage, the Buccaneers have allowed 1,480 yards which has them sitting in 19th in the NFL. They have given up 246.7 yards per game via the pass in addition to conceding a completion percentage of 66.5%. Overall, they have given up 342.5 yards per game putting them 20th in the National Football League.

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The Bills come into this game with a record of 4-3 for this season. When they last stepped on the football field, the Bills went home defeated by a final of 29-25 when they faced the Patriots. Josh Allen (2 TDs) finished the game with 265 yards on 27/41 passing while his quarterback rating was 90. He threw 1 pick and his avg yards per attempt was 6.5 yards. James Cook carried the football 13 times for 56 yards, ending the contest with 4.3 yds per carry for Buffalo. Dalton Kincaid was a featured target for the Bills, bringing in 8 throws for 75 yards (9.4 yards per reception). Buffalo ran the ball for 3.4 yards per carry, finishing the game with 81 yards on 24 carries. The Bills finished with a total of 339 yds on 66 plays (5.1 yds per play). The Bills pass defense conceded a completion percentage of 83.3%, surrendering 268 yards on 25 for 30 through the air. Buffalo surrendered 24 running attempts for 96 yds (4.0 yds per rush).

The Buffalo Bills average 369.7 yards per contest which has them sitting 5th in the NFL. They average 112.9 yards per game via the rush and have run for 790 yards overall. They have thrown 7 interceptions while losing 4 fumbles and they have recorded 91 first downs. The Buffalo offense has racked up 341 penalty yards on 46 infractions, which has them sitting 6th in the NFL in terms of hurting your team. For the year thus far, the Bills have thrown for 1,798 yards through the air along with an average of 256.9 passing yards per game, giving them a rank of 6th in the NFL. In relation to this team's ability to score points, the Bills are ranked 3rd out of all teams in the league with an average of 28.3 points per outing.

They have conceded 6 touchdowns from the passing game as well as 201.3 yards per contest, which has them ranked 10th out of all teams. Buffalo has allowed a total of 898 yards via the ground game (128.3 yards per game) and 5 touchdowns via the rush this season. This year, they have relinquished 118 total points. They have tallied 14 takeaways (6 fumbles and 8 picks) so far this year. The Bills defense has been on the field for 411 plays, which is 11th in football. The Bills are surrendering 16.9 points per game, which has them sitting 5th of all teams in the league.

Who will win tonight's Buccaneers/Bills NFL game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Buccaneers +8.5

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