Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Atlanta Falcons Prediction, 12/10/2023 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 14

Game: Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Atlanta Falcons

Date: Sunday, December 10, 2023

Location: Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta, GA

TV: CBS

Odds/Point Spread: Falcons (-2.5)

Total/Over-Under: 39

Mercedes-Benz Stadium is the location where the Atlanta Falcons (6-6) will try to defeat the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (5-7) on Sunday. Tampa Bay opens this game as 2.5-point dogs. The over/under is 39.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers head into this game 5-7 for this year. When they last stepped on the football field, the Buccaneers played the Panthers and took home the win by a score of 21-18. Baker Mayfield connected on 14/29 with 202 yards passing and 1 TD. He had a QB rate of 68.5 and ended the contest with 1 pick. Mike Evans had an average of 23.1 yards per catch by accumulating 162 yards on 7 catches. Rachaad White was the best rusher for the Buccaneers with 20 attempts for 84 yards (4.2 yards per attempt). Overall, they ran 58 plays for 322 yds. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers ended up running the ball 28 different times and totaled 128 yds, which came out to an average of 4.6 yards per carry. Against the rush, the Buccaneers gave up 133 yds on 34 tries, which averages out to 3.9 yds per rush allowed. Tampa Bay relinquished 15 pass completions on 31 attempts for 149 yards, and a completion rate of 48.4%.

The Buccaneers have tallied 3,667 total yards for the year. Tampa Bay has tallied 129 first downs offensively, and they have been called for 78 penalties for 576 yds. When it comes to getting in the endzone, Tampa Bay has totaled 18 touchdowns via the pass and 6 touchdowns via the ground. They have surrendered the football 13 different times (8 picks and 5 fumbles lost). As a team they average 85.2 yards on the ground ranking them 30th in the league. Regarding scoring points, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers hold an average of 19.4 points per game.

The Buccaneers sit in 10th in the league when it comes to team defense, giving up 20.4 points per game. They are allowing an average of 3.9 yards per rush on the ground and 99.0 yards on the ground per game for the season. Over the course of this year, they have allowed 1,188 rushing yards through 12 games. When it comes to yards through the air, the Buccaneers have conceded 3,095 yards which ranks them 28th in the NFL. They have allowed 257.9 yards per outing via the pass as well as giving up a completion percentage of 65.4%. Over the course of this year, they have allowed 356.9 yards/contest which has them ranked 27th in football.

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The Falcons come into this game with a record of 6-6 for this season. In their last game, the Falcons went home victorious with a score of 13-8 when they faced the Jets. Desmond Ridder (1 TD) ended the contest with 121 yards on 12/27 passing while his quarterback rating was 70.1. He didn't toss any picks and his average yards per pass attempt was 4.5 yds. Bijan Robinson ran the football 18 times for 53 yards, walking away from the game with 2.9 yards per carry for Atlanta. Kyle Pitts was the best receiver for the Falcons, bringing in 4 throws for 51 yds (12.8 yards per reception). Atlanta ran the football for 2.6 yards per attempt, finishing the game with 90 yds on 34 carries. The Falcons finished the game with a total of 194 yards and they ran 64 plays (3.0 yards per play). The Falcons passing defense gave up a completion rate of 50.0%, relinquishing 197 yds on 19 for 38 through the air. Atlanta surrendered 25 rush attempts for 62 yards (2.5 yards per carry).

In relation to the points being put on the board, the Falcons are ranked 24th in the NFL by scoring 18.8 points per game. During the season to this point, the Falcons have thrown for a total of 2,321 passing yards together with holding an average of 193.4 passing yards per game, ranking them 22nd in the league. They hold an average of 135.2 yards per game via the rush and have run for 1,622 yards in total. The Atlanta Falcons maintain an average of 328.6 yards per outing which has them ranked 18th in football. The Atlanta offense has accrued 583 yards of penalties on 65 infractions, which is good for 27th in football in terms of making mistakes. They have tossed 9 interceptions while conceding 9 fumbles and they have been able to record 128 1st downs.

The Falcons are allowing 20.0 points per contest, which puts them in 7th in football. They have given up 17 touchdowns via the pass in addition to 208.1 yards per outing, which puts them in 11th in the NFL. Atlanta has yielded a total of 1,294 yards via the ground game (107.8 yards per game) and 4 touchdowns on the ground for the year. The Falcons defense has been on the field for 754 plays, which is 11th in the NFL. They have earned 15 turnovers (8 fumbles and 7 interceptions) on the campaign. Overall, they have relinquished 240 total points.

Who will win tonight's Buccaneers/Falcons NFL game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Falcons -2.5

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