San Francisco 49ers vs Washington Commanders Prediction, 12/31/2023 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 17

Game: San Francisco 49ers vs Washington Commanders

Date: Sunday, December 31, 2023

Location: FedExField in Landover, MD

TV: FOX

Odds/Point Spread: Commanders (+13.5)

Total/Over-Under: 49.5

The San Francisco 49ers (11-4) are hitting the road to FedExField on Sunday where they will take on the Washington Commanders (4-11). San Francisco opens this game as 13.5-point favorites from Vegas oddsmakers. The over/under is 49.5.

The San Francisco 49ers come into this matchup with a record of 11-4 this season. The last time they stepped on the gridiron, the 49ers faced the Ravens and took a loss by a score of 33-19. Christian McCaffrey was the best rusher for the 49ers with 14 attempts for 103 yds (7.4 yards per carry). George Kittle had an average of 18.0 yards per catch by accumulating 126 yds on 7 receptions. Brock Purdy went 18/32 with 255 yards passing. He had a quarterback rate of 42.6 and walked away from the game with 4 picks. When it came to stopping the run, the 49ers gave up 102 yds on 26 tries, which averages out to 3.9 yards per run allowed. San Francisco surrendered 23 pass completions on 35 attempts for a total of 241 yards, and a completion rate of 65.7%. In the game, they had 68 plays for 429 yds. The San Francisco 49ers ended up rushing 18 times and recorded 121 yards, earning them an average of 6.7 yds per attempt.

The 49ers have tallied 6,065 total yards over the course of this year. San Francisco has 183 first downs as an offense, and they have committed 93 penalties for 835 yards. When it comes to distribution of touchdowns, San Francisco has totaled 30 touchdowns via the pass and 24 rushing touchdowns. They have turned the football over 17 different times (12 picks and 5 fumbles). As a team they're averaging 138.7 yards rushing which has them sitting 4th in the National Football League. When it comes to scoring points, the San Francisco 49ers hold an average of 29.6 PPG.

The 49ers are ranked 3rd in the NFL concerning the opposition scoring, allowing 17.8 points per game. The opposition is running for 4.2 yards per rush and 90.3 rushing yards per game for the season. For the year, they have allowed 1,354 rushing yards through 15 games. When it comes to passing yardage, the 49ers have allowed 3,330 yards which has them sitting in 16th in the NFL. They are conceding 222.0 yards per contest through the air as well as giving up a completion percentage of 66.1%. During this campaign, they are allowing 312.3 yards per outing ranking them 11th in the league.

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The Commanders come into this game with a record of 4-11 for this season. The last time they stepped on the gridiron, the Commanders took a defeat with a final score of 30-28 against the Jets. Chris Rodriguez carried the football 10 times for 58 yards, finishing the contest with 5.8 yds per carry for Washington. Terry McLaurin was one of the featured targets for the Commanders, bringing in 3 balls for 50 yds (16.7 yards per catch). Jacoby Brissett (1 TD) walked away from the contest with 100 yds on 10/13 passing while his quarterback rating was 123.9. He didn't throw any interceptions and his average yards per pass attempt was 7.7 yds. Washington gave up 36 running attempts for 164 yds (4.6 yards per carry). The Commanders secondary allowed a completion rate of 55.1%, surrendering 217 yards on 27 out of 49 through the air. The Commanders finished the game with a total of 245 yds while running 58 plays (4.2 yds per play). Washington ran for 4.6 yards per tote, finishing the contest with 102 yds on 22 attempts.

The Washington Commanders average 327.5 yards per outing which has them ranked 19th out of all teams in the NFL. They average 98.7 yards via the ground game and have rushed for 1,480 yards for the season. They have thrown 17 picks while allowing opponents to recover 10 fumbles and they have been able to tally 175 1st downs. The Washington offense has totaled 622 penalty yards on 78 infractions, which ranks 26th in football in terms of giving up free yards. Over the course of the season to this point, the Commanders have thrown for a total of 3,432 passing yards along with holding an average of 228.8 passing yards per game, ranking them 16th out of all NFL teams. Concerning their scoring prowess, the Commanders are ranked 23rd in football holding an average of 20.6 points per game.

They have allowed 33 touchdowns via the pass and 261.6 yards per outing, which has them ranked 31st in the league. Washington has yielded a total of 1,840 yards rushing (122.7 yards/game) in addition to 13 touchdowns rushing for the year. Over the course of the season, they have surrendered 453 points in total. Their defense has 17 takeaways (10 fumbles and 7 picks) on the campaign. The Commanders defense taken the field for 980 plays, ranking them 28th in the league. The Commanders are surrendering 30.2 PPG, which has them ranked 32nd in the league.

Who will win tonight's 49ers/Commanders NFL game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Commanders +13.5

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