San Francisco 49ers vs Pittsburgh Steelers Prediction, 9/10/2023 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 1

Game: San Francisco 49ers vs Pittsburgh Steelers

Date: Sunday, September 10, 2023

Location: Acrisure Stadium in Pittsburgh, PA

TV: FOX

Odds/Point Spread: Steelers (+2.5)

Total/Over-Under: 41

The San Francisco 49ers (15-5 last season) are headed to Acrisure Stadium on Sunday where they will take on the Pittsburgh Steelers (9-8 last year). San Francisco is 2.5-point favorites. The over/under is 41.

The San Francisco 49ers ended the year having earned a 15-5 mark. The last time they took the field, the 49ers played the Eagles and took a loss by a score of 31-7. Josh Johnson connected on 7/13 with 74 yards through the air. He had a quarterback rating of 70.7 and finished the contest without throwing an interception. Christian McCaffrey led the offense in rushing for the 49ers with 15 carries for 84 yds (5.6 yds per carry). Deebo Samuel left with an average of 11.0 yards per catch by accumulating 33 yards on 3 receptions. The San Francisco 49ers ran the ball 24 times and accounted for 81 yards, which came out to an average of 3.4 yds per carry. Once the final whistle blew, they tallied 45 plays which gave them a total of 164 yds. San Francisco allowed 15 pass completions on 25 attempts for a total of 121 yds, and a completion percentage of 60.0%. In the running game, the 49ers conceded 148 yds on 44 tries, which averages out to 3.4 yds per rush surrendered.

The 49ers attained 6,216 yards in total over the course of last year. San Francisco accrued 188 1st downs offensively, and they committed 94 infractions for 730 yards. San Francisco earned 30 touchdowns through the air and 20 touchdowns via the ground. They gave the ball to the opposition 17 different times (9 picks and 8 fumbles). As a team they averaged 138.8 yards on the ground, ranking them 8th in the league. Regarding scoring points, the San Francisco 49ers held an average of 26.5 points per game.

In terms of yards through the air, the 49ers conceded 3,789 yards which ranked them 21st in the NFL. During their 17 games, they relinquished 222.9 yards per outing via the pass in addition to surrendering a completion percentage of 65.6%. They yielded 300.6 yards/outing which put them 1st in the league. They conceded 20 touchdowns through the air and 11 rushing touchdowns. They allowed teams to run for an average of 3.4 yards per tote and 77.7 rushing yards per game for the previous season. For the year, they conceded 1,321 yards via the ground game in 17 games. The 49ers were ranked 1st in the league in relation to team defense, giving up 16.3 points per game.

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The Steelers ended the season with a 9-8 record. When they last took the field, the Steelers got the victory with a final of 28-14 when they played the Browns. Kenny Pickett (1 TD) finished the game with 195 yards on 13/29 through the air while his quarterback rate was 79. He didn't throw any picks and his average yards per pass attempt was 6.7 yards. George Pickens had the best day in terms of receiving for the Steelers, snagging 3 throws for 72 yards (24.0 yards per catch). Najee Harris ran the football 23 times for 84 yds, ending the game with 3.7 yards per attempt for Pittsburgh. The Steelers finished the game with 337 yds and they ran 67 plays (5.0 yards per play). Pittsburgh ran for 4.0 yards per carry, finishing with 148 yds on 37 attempts. Pittsburgh gave up 22 rushing attempts for 134 yards (6.1 yds per rush). The Steelers secondary conceded a completion percentage of 65.5%, surrendering 173 yards on 19 for 29 passing.

The Pittsburgh Steelers maintained an average of 322.6 yards/outing which had them ranked 23rd in football. They held an average of 121.9 yards per game via the rush and ran for 2,073 yards for last year. The Pittsburgh offense had 711 penalty yards on 94 violations, which ranked 15th in the NFL in terms of hurting your team. They threw 14 picks while allowing opponents to recover 5 fumbles and they recorded 189 first downs. Last year, the Steelers threw for 3,411 yards through the air as well as averaging 200.6 passing yards per contest, putting them at 24th in the league. When it comes to how much they scored, the Steelers ranked 26th out of all teams in the league by scoring 18.1 points per contest.

The Steelers conceded 20.4 points per game, which had them sitting 10th of all teams in the league. They yielded 29 touchdowns through the air in addition to 222.3 yards/outing, which had them in 19th in the NFL. In total, they surrendered 346 points in total. Pittsburgh gave up a total of 1,838 yards on the ground (108.1 yards per game) and 7 touchdowns on the ground throughout last season. The Steelers defense took the field for 1,024 plays, which ranked them 6th in the league. They earned 23 turnovers (3 fumbles recovered and 20 picks) during the previous year.

Who will win tonight's 49ers/Steelers NFL game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the 49ers -2.5

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