San Francisco 49ers vs Jacksonville Jaguars Prediction, 11/12/2023 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 10

Game: San Francisco 49ers vs Jacksonville Jaguars

Date: Sunday, November 12, 2023

Location: TIAA Bank Field in Jacksonville, FL

TV: FOX

Odds/Point Spread: Jaguars (+3)

Total/Over-Under: 44.5

The San Francisco 49ers (5-3) are hitting the road to TIAA Bank Field on Sunday where they will play the Jacksonville Jaguars (6-2). Jacksonville opens this matchup as 3-point dogs. The betting total is set at 44.5.

The San Francisco 49ers head into this matchup 5-3 for this season. The last time they stepped on the gridiron, the 49ers took on the Bengals and ended up losing by a score of 31-17. Brock Purdy was the best rusher for the 49ers with 6 carries for 57 yds (9.5 yards per carry). George Kittle had an average of 16.6 yds per catch by tallying 149 yards on 9 receptions. Brock Purdy went 22/31 with 365 yds through the air and 1 TD. He had a quarterback rate of 94.2 and ended the game with 2 picks. In the running game, the 49ers conceded 134 yds on 27 attempts, which is an average of 5.0 yds per rush surrendered. San Francisco conceded 28 pass completions on 32 tries for a total of 266 yards, and a completion rate of 87.5%. When the final whistle blew, they had 56 plays which gave them a total of 460 yards. The San Francisco 49ers ran the ball a total of 23 different times and totaled 113 yds, which earned them an average of 4.9 yards per carry.

The 49ers have earned 3,013 total yards for the season. San Francisco has a total of 98 first downs, and they have been called for 55 penalties for 475 yards. When it comes to distribution of touchdowns, San Francisco has totaled 12 passing touchdowns and 14 rushing touchdowns. They have surrendered the ball 9 times (5 interceptions and 4 fumbles lost). As a unit they average 133.5 yards in the run game which has them sitting 5th in the NFL. When it comes to scoring points, the San Francisco 49ers are sitting at 27.3 PPG.

The 49ers are sitting in 4th in the National Football League in terms of the opposition scoring, conceding 17.5 PPG. They are allowing teams to run for an average of 4.1 yards per rushing attempt and 86.1 yards on the ground per game for the year. Overall, they have conceded 689 yards via the ground game in 8 games. Regarding passing yards, the 49ers have conceded 1,831 yards which ranks them 13th in the NFL. They are allowing 228.9 yards per outing via the pass as well as allowing a completion percentage of 67.9%. For the year, they have yielded 315.0 yards per contest which has them sitting 10th in the league.

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The Jaguars come into this matchup with a record of 6-2 for this year. The last time they took the field, the Jaguars walked away with a victory by a final of 20-10 when they faced the Steelers. Trevor Lawrence (1 TD) ended the contest with 292 yds on 24/32 passing while his QB rating was 100. He tossed 1 pick and his average yds per pass attempt was 9.1 yards. Travis Etienne carried the football 24 times for 79 yards, walking away from the game with 3.3 yds per attempt for Jacksonville. Evan Engram was one of the featured targets for the Jaguars, grabbing 10 throws for 88 yards (8.8 yards per catch). Jacksonville rushed the ball for 3.5 yds per attempt, finishing with 106 yards on 30 carries. The Jaguars finished the game with a total of 377 yds and they ran 65 plays (5.8 yds per play). The Jaguars passing defense conceded a completion rate of 58.1%, surrendering 191 yards on 25 out of 43 through the air. Jacksonville relinquished 18 rushing attempts for 70 yds (3.9 yds per carry).

The Jacksonville Jaguars have an average of 341.4 yards per outing ranking them 14th in the league. They have an average of 112.5 yards per game via the ground game and have toted the ball for 900 yards for the season. They have thrown 4 interceptions while surrendering 9 fumbles and they have earned 90 1st downs. The Jacksonville offense has totaled 324 penalty yds on 39 violations, ranking them 31st in the league in terms of making mistakes. For the year to this point, the Jaguars have thrown for 1,831 passing yards along with holding an average of 228.9 passing yards per contest, putting them at 14th out of all NFL teams. When looking at their ability to score points, the Jaguars currently sit 10th in the league scoring 24.1 PPG.

The Jaguars are surrendering 19.5 PPG, which has them ranked 9th in football. They have allowed 11 touchdowns from the passing game as well as 263.5 yards/outing, which has them in 30th in the NFL. Jacksonville has surrendered a total of 634 yards via the ground game (79.3 yards per outing) as well as 5 touchdowns by ground for the year. The Jaguars defense taken the field for 526 plays, which has them ranked 12th in the NFL. Their defense has totaled 18 takeaways (7 fumbles recovered and 11 picks) over the course of the season. Over the course of the season, they have allowed 156 total points.

Who will win tonight's 49ers/Jaguars NFL game against the spread?

Parlays Pundit's Pick: Take the Jaguars +3 and over 44.5 total points

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