Pittsburgh Steelers vs Houston Texans Prediction, 10/1/2023 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 4

Game: Pittsburgh Steelers vs Houston Texans

Date: Sunday, October 1, 2023

Location: NRG Stadium in Houston, TX

TV: CBS

Odds/Point Spread: Texans (+4.5)

Total/Over-Under: 40

NRG Stadium is where the Houston Texans (1-2) will take on the Pittsburgh Steelers (2-1) on Sunday. Houston opens this game as 4.5-point dogs from oddsmakers. The betting total comes in at 40.

The Pittsburgh Steelers head into this matchup 2-1 for this season. When they last took the field, the Steelers played the Raiders and took home the win by a score of 23-18. Najee Harris was the leader on the ground for the Steelers with 19 carries for 65 yds (3.4 yards per carry). George Pickens averaged 18.8 yards per catch by accumulating 75 yds on 4 catches. Kenny Pickett went 16/28 with 235 yards through the air and 2 touchdowns. He had a quarterback rating of 108.5 and finished the game without throwing an interception. Against the run, the Steelers conceded 69 yards on 19 attempts, which is an average of 3.6 yards per rush surrendered. Pittsburgh relinquished 28 completions on 44 attempts for a total of 293 yds, and a completion percentage of 63.6%. In all, they tallied 60 plays which gave them 333 yards. The Pittsburgh Steelers ended up running the ball 31 times and totaled 105 yds, which is an average of 3.4 yards per carry.

Concerning getting in the endzone, the Pittsburgh Steelers have an average of 18.7 points per contest. As a team they maintain an average of 67.0 yards rushing which ranks them 30th in the league. The Steelers have earned 827 total yards for the year. Pittsburgh has 25 first downs as a unit, and they have committed 17 infractions for 136 yards. They have surrendered the football 4 different times (3 picks and 1 fumble). When it comes to distribution of touchdowns, Pittsburgh has earned 4 touchdowns through the air and 0 rushing touchdowns.

The Steelers rank 20th in the league when it comes to their opponents scoring, allowing 23.3 points per game. The opposition is running for 5.2 yards per rushing attempt and 151.7 yards on the ground per game over the course of this year. Over the course of this season, they have conceded 455 yards via the ground game in 3 contests. Concerning yards via the pass, the Steelers have surrendered 706 yards which puts them in 22nd in the National Football League. They have conceded 235.3 yards per contest through the air as well as giving up a completion percentage of 61.1%. Overall, they have relinquished 387.0 yards per outing ranking them 28th in the National Football League.

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The Texans come into this matchup with a record of 1-2 this season. The last time they stepped on the gridiron, the Texans took home the win by a final score of 37-17 when they played the Jaguars. C.J. Stroud (2 TDs) walked away from the game with 280 yards on 20/30 through the air while his QB rate was 118.7. He kept the ball away from the defense with no picks and his avg yards per attempt was 9.3 yds. Tank Dell was featured in the passing game for the Texans, snagging 5 balls for 145 yds (29.0 yds per catch). Devin Singletary carried the rock 9 times for 41 yards, ending the contest with 4.6 yards per carry for Houston. The Texans finished the game with a total of 366 yards while running 56 plays (6.5 yds per play). Houston ran the ball for 3.3 yds per carry, totaling 86 yds on 26 carries. Houston gave up 27 attempts on the ground for 116 yards (4.3 yds per carry). The Texans pass defense conceded a completion rate of 69.0%, relinquishing 288 yards on 29 out of 42 passing.

When it comes to their scoring prowess, the Texans rank 18th in football with 22.0 points per outing. For the season thus far, the Texans have racked up 813 passing yards in addition to an average of 271.0 passing yards per outing, which is ranked 6th in the NFL. They have an average of 70.0 run yards per game and have toted the ball for 210 yards in total. The Houston Texans average 341.0 yards/game which has them ranked 14th out of all teams in the league. The Houston offense has compiled 183 yds of penalties on 20 infractions, which is 12th in the league in terms of helping out the other team. They have given away 0 picks while allowing opponents to recover 2 fumbles and they have tallied 42 first downs.

They have yielded 2 touchdowns through the air and 223.3 yards per outing, which puts them in 17th in the league. Houston has allowed a total of 352 yards on the ground (117.3 yards per outing) and 7 touchdowns rushing this season. Overall, they have conceded 73 total points. Their defense has totaled 4 turnovers (2 fumbles recovered and 2 picks) for the season. The Texans defense taken the field for 183 plays, which has them ranked 8th in the NFL. The Texans are surrendering 24.3 points per contest, which has them in 22nd in the NFL.

Who will win tonight's Steelers/Texans NFL game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Texans +4.5

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