Philadelphia Eagles vs New England Patriots Prediction, 9/10/2023 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 1

Game: Philadelphia Eagles vs New England Patriots

Date: Sunday, September 10, 2023

Location: Gillette Stadium in Foxborough, MA

TV: CBS

Odds/Point Spread: Patriots (+4.5)

Total/Over-Under: 45

Gillette Stadium is the site where the New England Patriots (8-9 last year) will play the Philadelphia Eagles (16-3 last season) on Sunday. New England is 4.5-point underdogs from Vegas oddsmakers. The total is 45.

The Philadelphia Eagles finished the year with a 16-3 mark. When they last stepped on the football field, the Eagles took on the Chiefs and took a loss by a score of 38-35. Kenneth Gainwell was the leader on the ground for the Eagles with 7 carries for 21 yards (3.0 yds per attempt). A.J. Brown had an average of 16.0 yds per catch by totaling 96 yds on 6 receptions. Jalen Hurts went 27/38 with 304 yards through the air and 1 touchdown. He had a QB rate of 103.4 and ended the game without throwing a pick. Against the run, the Eagles gave up 158 yards on 26 tries, which averages out to 6.1 yds per run allowed. Philadelphia surrendered 21 completions on 27 attempts for a total of 182 yards, and a completion percentage of 77.8%. When all was said and done, they had 72 plays which gave them 417 yds. The Philadelphia Eagles ended up rushing 32 different times and accrued 115 yards, which came out to an average of 3.6 yards per attempt.

Concerning putting points on the board, the Philadelphia Eagles were sitting at 28.1 points per game. As a unit they maintained an average of 147.6 yards rushing, which had them sitting 5th in the league. The Eagles earned 6,614 total yards over the course of last year. Philadelphia recorded 195 1st downs offensively, and they were called for 90 penalties for 682 yds. They turned the ball over 19 times (9 interceptions and 10 fumbles). Philadelphia earned 25 passing touchdowns and 32 rushing touchdowns.

The Eagles ranked 8th in the league when it comes to team defense, allowing 20.2 points per contest. They allowed 4.6 yards per rushing attempt and 121.6 yards on the ground per game for the previous season. Over the course of last year, they conceded 2,068 yards on the ground in 17 contests. In terms of yards through the air, the Eagles conceded 3,057 yards which ranked them 1st in the league. In their 17 games played, they surrendered 179.8 yards per outing through the air in addition to surrendering a completion percentage of 62.9%. They yielded 301.5 yards/outing which put them 2nd in the NFL. They yielded 22 touchdowns through the air in addition to 15 touchdowns via the ground game.

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The Patriots ended the season with a 8-9 record. The last time they stepped on the gridiron, the Patriots went home defeated by a final of 35-23 against the Bills. Mac Jones (3 touchdowns) finished the game with 243 yds on 26/40 through the air while his quarterback rate was 75.3. He had 3 picks and his avg yards per attempt was 6.1 yds. Rhamondre Stevenson carried the ball 6 times for 54 yards, walking away from the game with 9.0 yds per carry for New England. DeVante Parker was the leading receiver for the Patriots, snagging 6 balls for 79 yds (13.2 yds per reception). New England rushed the ball for 4.7 yards per attempt, finishing the game with 107 yds on 23 attempts. The Patriots finished the game with a total of 341 yds while running 64 plays (5.3 yards per play). The Patriots secondary gave up a completion rate of 61.3%, surrendering 237 yds on 19 for 31 through the air. New England conceded 25 running attempts for 90 yds (3.6 yards per carry).

Regarding the points being put on the board, the Patriots were ranked 17th in football scoring 21.4 points per game. Last year, the Patriots had a total of 3,536 yards via the pass as well as an average of 208.0 throwing yards per outing, which ranked 20th in the league. They averaged 106.6 rushing yards per game and toted the ball for 1,812 yards for the year. The New England Patriots maintained an average of 314.6 yards per contest which was good for 26th out of all teams in the league. The New England offense racked up 841 yards of penalties on 104 infractions, which had them sitting 9th in the NFL in terms of helping out the other team. They threw 14 picks while allowing opponents to recover 9 fumbles and they tallied 166 first downs.

They surrendered 28 touchdowns through the air and 216.5 yards per contest, which put them in 16th in the league. New England allowed the opposition a total of 1,793 yards via the ground game (105.5 yards per outing) in addition to 7 touchdowns via the rush over the course of last year. Their defense tallied 30 turnovers (11 fumbles and 19 interceptions) last year. The Patriots defense took the field for 1,091 plays, which had them ranked 22nd in football. Last season, they gave up 347 total points. The Patriots allowed 20.4 PPG, which put them in 11th in the NFL.

Who will win tonight's Eagles/Patriots NFL game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Patriots +4.5

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