New York Jets vs Miami Dolphins Prediction, 12/17/2023 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 15

Game: New York Jets vs Miami Dolphins

Date: Sunday, December 17, 2023

Location: Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens, FL

TV: CBS

Odds/Point Spread: Dolphins (-13)

Total/Over-Under: 41

The New York Jets (5-8) are traveling to Hard Rock Stadium on Sunday where they will take on the Miami Dolphins (9-4). Miami opens as 13-point favorites. The over/under is 41.

The New York Jets step onto the field holding a record of 5-8 for this year. In their last contest, the Jets played the Texans and earned the victory with a final of 30-6. Zach Wilson went 27/36 with 301 yards through the air and 2 touchdowns. He had a quarterback rating of 117.9 and finished the contest without throwing an interception. Breece Hall was the rushing leader for the Jets with 10 attempts for 40 yards (4.0 yds per carry). Garrett Wilson held an average of 12.0 yards per catch by notching 108 yards on 9 catches. The New York Jets ran the football 26 times and compiled 79 yds, which had them averaging 3.0 yds per attempt. For the game, they had 66 plays which gave them 347 yds. New York conceded 11 completions on 28 tries for a total of 54 yards, and a completion percentage of 39.3%. In the running game, the Jets gave up 81 yards on 19 attempts, which is an average of 4.3 yds per run surrendered.

The Jets have earned 3,468 total yards over the course of this year. New York has a total of 122 first downs as a team, and they have committed 90 infractions for 661 yards. When it comes to getting in the endzone, New York has earned 9 touchdowns via the pass and 4 touchdowns on the ground. They have given the ball to the opposition 24 different times (11 interceptions and 13 fumbles lost). As a unit they have an average of 89.8 yards via the ground game which is 30th in the NFL. When talking about scoring, the New York Jets are averaging 15.5 PPG.

The Jets are sitting in 8th in the NFL in terms of their opponents scoring, giving up 19.8 PPG. Opposing teams are running for an average of 4.1 yards per rush and 131.8 rushing yards per game this year. In total, they have allowed 1,714 rushing yards through 13 games. When it comes to passing yardage, the Jets have surrendered 2,173 yards which has them ranked 2nd in the league. They have yielded 167.2 yards per outing via the pass in addition to conceding a completion percentage of 60.4%. In total, they are allowing 299.0 yards per contest putting them 5th in the NFL.

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The Dolphins come into this matchup with a record of 9-4 this season. The last time they stepped on the football field, the Dolphins took a loss by a final score of 28-27 against the Titans. Raheem Mostert carried the ball 21 times for 96 yards, finishing the contest with 4.6 yds per carry for Miami. Jaylen Waddle was the top contributor in the passing game for the Dolphins, snagging 6 balls for 79 yds (13.2 yds per catch). Tua Tagovailoa walked away from the game with 240 yds on 23/33 passing while his quarterback rating was 90.5. He kept the ball away from the defense with no picks and his Y/A was 7.3 yards. Miami allowed 29 attempts on the ground for 83 yards (2.9 yards per rush). The Dolphins pass defense conceded a completion rate of 60.5%, surrendering 320 yards on 23 for 38 passing. The Dolphins finished the game with a total of 366 yards while running 69 plays (5.3 yds per play). Miami rushed the ball for 5.1 yds per carry, finishing with a total of 158 yards on 31 carries.

The Miami Dolphins hold an average of 423.6 yards/game which ranks them 1st out of all teams in the NFL. They average 144.5 run yards per game and have toted the ball for 1,878 yards for the year. They have thrown 11 interceptions while losing 9 fumbles and they have been able to record 176 1st downs. The Miami offense has accrued 603 yards of penalties on 74 violations, which is good for 23rd in the NFL in terms of making mistakes. Over the course of the season to this point, the Dolphins have a total of 3,629 passing yards as well as an average of 279.2 throwing yards per contest, which has them ranked 1st in the NFL. Regarding how much they score, the Dolphins currently sit 2nd out of all teams in the league with an average of 31.6 points per game.

The Dolphins are surrendering 22.6 points per game, which puts them in 22nd in the league. They have given up 17 touchdowns through the air as well as 212.5 yards/game, which has them sitting 12th in the league. Miami has surrendered a total of 1,242 yards via the ground game (95.5 yards/game) in addition to 13 touchdowns rushing this year. The Dolphins defense has been on the field for 809 plays, ranking them 9th in the NFL. Their defense has earned 18 takeaways (7 fumbles and 11 interceptions) this year. Overall, they have relinquished 294 points in total.

Who will win tonight's Jets/Dolphins NFL game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Dolphins -13

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