New York Jets vs Miami Dolphins Prediction, 1/8/2023 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 18

Game: New York Jets vs Miami Dolphins

Date: Sunday, January 8, 2023

Location: Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens, FL

TV: CBS

Odds/Point Spread: Dolphins (+1)

Total/Over-Under: 38

Hard Rock Stadium is where the Miami Dolphins (8-8) will attempt to beat the New York Jets (7-9) on Sunday. Miami opens this contest as 1-point dogs from Vegas oddsmakers. The total is 38.

The New York Jets head into this matchup 7-9 for this season. In their last game, the Jets faced the Seahawks and went home with a loss by a final score of 23-6. Mike White finished 23/46 with 240 yards passing. He had a quarterback rate of 47.4 and finished the game with 2 interceptions. Ty Johnson was the rushing leader for the Jets with 8 attempts for 46 yards (5.8 yards per carry). Tyler Conklin left with an average of 13.3 yards per reception by accumulating 80 yards on 6 receptions. The New York Jets rushed the ball a total of 17 times and totaled 75 yds, which had them averaging 4.4 yds per carry. For the game, they ran 67 plays for 279 yds. New York gave up 18 pass completions on 29 attempts for 148 yards, and a completion rate of 62.1%. Against the rush, the Jets conceded 198 yds on 38 attempts, which averages out to 5.2 yards per run surrendered.

Regarding scoring points, the New York Jets have an average of 18.1 PPG. As a team they have an average of 103.0 yards in the run game which is 25th in the NFL. The Jets have earned 5,222 total yards for the season. New York has accumulated 182 1st downs offensively, and they have committed 85 penalties for 812 yards. They have given the ball to the opposition 23 different times (14 interceptions and 9 fumbles lost). When it comes to getting in the endzone, New York has totaled 15 touchdowns via the pass and 13 touchdowns via the ground.

The Jets rank 4th in the NFL when it comes to team defense, allowing 19.1 points per game. They are allowing teams to run for an average of 4.1 yards per running attempt and 119.1 rushing yards per contest for the season. For the season, they have allowed 1,906 rushing yards through 16 games. In terms of passing yardage, the Jets have given up 3,080 yards which has them sitting in 2nd in the NFL. They have surrendered 192.5 yards per contest via the pass and allowed a completion percentage of 62.3%. In total, they have given up 311.6 yards per game which ranks them 5th in the NFL. They have granted 15 touchdowns via the pass and 14 touchdowns pounding the rock.

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The Dolphins head into this matchup 8-8 for this season. In their last contest, the Dolphins went home defeated by a final of 23-21 when they played the Patriots. Teddy Bridgewater (1 touchdown) finished the contest with 161 yards on 12/19 passing while his QB rating was 85.6. He threw 1 pick and his average yards per pass attempt was 8.5 yards. Raheem Mostert had the best day in terms of receiving for the Dolphins, bringing in 8 passes for 62 yds (7.8 yards per catch). Jeff Wilson carried the football 15 times for 45 yds, finishing the game with 3.0 yards per attempt for Miami. The Dolphins finished the game with a total of 333 yds while running 69 plays (4.8 yards per play). Miami ran the ball for 3.2 yards per attempt, finishing the game with 86 yards on 27 attempts. Miami conceded 21 rush attempts for 77 yards (3.7 yards per rush). The Dolphins passing defense conceded a completion rate of 60.6%, relinquishing 172 yds on 20 out of 33 passing.

The Miami Dolphins average 368.4 yards per contest which is good for 6th in football. They hold an average of 95.3 yards per game on the ground and have run for 1,524 yards for this season. The Miami offense has racked up 834 yards of penalties on 106 violations, which is 4th in football in terms of helping out the other team. They have given away 15 picks while allowing opponents to recover 6 fumbles and they have been able to obtain 213 1st downs. For the season so far, the Dolphins have racked up 4,371 passing yards not to mention holding an average of 273.2 throwing yards per contest, which is ranked 3rd in the league. In relation to their ability to score points, the Dolphins currently rank 10th in the league holding an average of 24.1 PPG.

They have given up 27 touchdowns through the air as well as 240.1 yards/outing, which has them in 27th out of all teams. Miami has conceded a total of 1,714 yards via the ground game (107.1 yards per contest) and 15 touchdowns rushing for the season. They have compiled 14 turnovers (6 fumbles and 8 picks) on the campaign. The Dolphins defense taken the field for 1,033 plays, which has them ranked 25th in football. This season, they have conceded 393 points in total. The Dolphins are surrendering 24.6 points per contest, which puts them in 27th in the league.

Who will win tonight's Jets/Dolphins NFL game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Dolphins +1

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