New York Jets vs Cleveland Browns Prediction, 12/28/2023 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 17

Game: New York Jets vs Cleveland Browns

Date: Thursday, December 28, 2023

Location: Tom Benson Hall of Fame Stadium in Canton, OH

TV: NBC

Odds/Point Spread: Browns (-7)

Total/Over-Under: 36

The Cleveland Browns (10-5) will play the New York Jets (6-9) at Tom Benson Hall of Fame Stadium on Thursday. Cleveland opens as 7-point favorites. The betting total comes in at 36.

The New York Jets come into this matchup with a record of 6-9 this year. In their last game, the Jets stepped onto the field against the Commanders and went home with a win by a final score of 30-28. Trevor Siemian went 27/49 with 217 yards passing and 1 TD. He had a quarterback rating of 64.8 and ended the contest with 1 pick. Breece Hall left with an average of 8.0 yards per catch by earning 96 yards on 12 catches. Breece Hall was the leader on the ground for the Jets with 20 carries for 95 yards (4.8 yds per attempt). When all was said and done, they had 85 plays which converted into 381 yds. The New York Jets ended up running the ball 36 times and recorded 164 yards, which is an average of 4.6 yards per tote. In the running game, the Jets gave up 102 yards on 22 tries, which is 4.6 yards per rush allowed. New York allowed 16 completions on 35 attempts for a total of 143 yds, and a completion rate of 45.7%.

Regarding putting points on the board, the New York Jets have an average of 15.4 points per outing. As a team they're averaging 90.3 yards via the ground game ranking them 28th in the league. The Jets have earned 3,952 total yards over the course of this season. New York has accounted for 143 first downs as an offense, and they have committed 111 penalties for 866 yds. They have turned the football over 30 times (14 interceptions and 16 fumbles lost). In terms of scoring touchdowns, New York has amassed 10 passing touchdowns and 6 touchdowns via the ground.

In terms of yards through the air, the Jets have surrendered 2,529 yards which has them ranked 2nd in the league. They have surrendered 168.6 yards per contest through the air as well as giving up a completion percentage of 60.9%. During the season, they are conceding 294.8 yards per contest which ranks them 3rd in the league. Opposing teams are running for an average of 4.0 yards per rushing attempt and 126.2 rushing yards per game this season. Over the course of this season, they have allowed 1,893 running yards through 15 contests. The Jets rank 14th in the National Football League in relation to team defense, conceding 21.0 PPG.

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The Browns head into this game 10-5 for this season. The last time they took the field, the Browns walked away with a victory by a final of 36-22 against the Texans. Jerome Ford carried the rock 15 times for 25 yds, finishing the game with 1.7 yds per carry for Cleveland. Amari Cooper was a featured target for the Browns, snagging 11 passes for 265 yds (24.1 yards per reception). Joe Flacco (3 TDs) walked away from the game with 368 yards on 27/42 passing while his QB rate was 96.1. He threw 2 interceptions and his average yds per pass attempt was 8.8 yds. Cleveland relinquished 16 running attempts for 72 yards (4.5 yds per carry). The Browns pass defense gave up a completion percentage of 53.1%, surrendering 178 yds on 26 for 49 passing. The Browns finished the game with 418 yards on 75 plays (5.6 yds per play). Cleveland ended up running for 1.8 yds per attempt, finishing the contest with 54 yds on 30 attempts.

In relation to the points being put on the board, the Browns rank 10th in the league with an average of 23.0 points per contest. During the season thus far, the Browns have thrown for a total of 3,252 yards through the air as well as holding an average of 216.8 throwing yards per contest, ranking them 20th in the NFL. They have an average of 119.1 run yards per game and have run for 1,786 yards for the year. The Cleveland Browns maintain an average of 335.9 yards per contest which is good for 13th out of all teams in the league. The Cleveland offense has totaled 836 yds of penalties on 104 violations, which is 4th in the league in terms of helping out the opposition. They have thrown 20 interceptions while allowing opponents to recover 12 fumbles and they have tallied 156 1st downs.

The Browns are conceding 20.7 points per game, which has them ranked 12th in football. They have given up 19 touchdowns through the air and 160.1 yards/game, which puts them in 1st out of all teams. Cleveland has allowed a total of 1,503 yards rushing (100.2 yards/game) as well as 14 touchdowns by way of the ground game for the season. The Browns defense taken the field for 875 plays, which is 1st in football. They have totaled 25 turnovers (9 fumbles recovered and 16 interceptions) for the year. In total, they have conceded 311 points in total.

Who will win tonight's Jets/Browns NFL game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Jets +7

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