New York Jets vs Buffalo Bills Prediction, 11/19/2023 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 11

Game: New York Jets vs Buffalo Bills

Date: Sunday, November 19, 2023

Location: Highmark Stadium in Orchard Park, NY

TV: CBS

Odds/Point Spread: Bills (-7)

Total/Over-Under: 40

Highmark Stadium is the location where the Buffalo Bills (5-5) will try to defeat the New York Jets (4-5) on Sunday. Buffalo is 7-point favorites. The over/under comes in at 40.

The New York Jets head into this game 4-5 for this season. In their last contest, the Jets took on the Raiders and took a loss by a final of 16-12. Zach Wilson went 23/39 with 263 yards passing. He had a quarterback rate of 68.6 and ended the game with 1 interception. Garrett Wilson averaged 10.3 yds per catch by recording 93 yds on 9 catches. Zach Wilson led the offense in rushing for the Jets with 4 carries for 54 yards (13.5 yards per carry). In all, they ran 63 plays which converted into 365 yards. The New York Jets ended up running the ball 21 different times and tallied 108 yards, earning them an average of 5.1 yards per tote. Against the run, the Jets conceded 148 yards on 32 attempts, which is an average of 4.6 yds per rush surrendered. New York allowed 16 completions on 27 attempts for a total of 126 yds, and a completion rate of 59.3%.

The Jets have earned 2,548 yards in total over the course of this year. New York has amassed 81 1st downs offensively, and they have been flagged for 60 infractions for 443 yds. In terms of getting in the endzone, New York has earned 5 touchdowns via the pass and 3 rushing touchdowns. They have surrendered the football 14 different times (6 picks and 8 fumbles). As a team they're averaging 103.9 yards in the run game which ranks them 18th in the league. Concerning scoring, the New York Jets are sitting at 16.0 PPG.

In terms of passing yards, the Jets have surrendered 1,524 yards which has them ranked 3rd in football. They have allowed 169.3 yards per outing via the pass in addition to conceding a completion percentage of 62.8%. In total, they have yielded 307.8 yards per contest ranking them 6th in football. They are allowing teams to run for an average of 4.3 yards per rushing attempt and 138.4 yards on the ground per game for the year. During the season, they have conceded 1,246 running yards through 9 games. The Jets are sitting in 7th in the league concerning their opponents scoring, allowing 19.1 points per game.

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The Bills head into this matchup 5-5 this season. In their last contest, the Bills went home defeated by a final of 24-22 against the Broncos. Josh Allen (1 touchdown) finished the game with 177 yds on 15/26 passing while his QB rating was 59.3. He threw 2 picks and his avg yards per attempt was 6.8 yds. James Cook ran the football 12 times for 109 yards, ending the contest with 9.1 yds per carry for Buffalo. Gabriel Davis was one of the featured targets for the Bills, catching 2 balls for 56 yards (28.0 yds per catch). Buffalo ran the ball for 7.4 yds per carry, finishing with a total of 192 yards on 26 attempts. The Bills finished the game with a total of 369 yds on 52 plays (7.1 yds per play). The Bills pass defense conceded a completion rate of 82.8%, surrendering 178 yards on 24 out of 29 through the air. Buffalo allowed 38 rushing attempts for 122 yards (3.2 yards per carry).

The Buffalo Bills maintain an average of 370.1 yards/outing ranking them 7th in the NFL. They average 116.5 run yards per game and have toted the ball for 1,165 yards overall. They have thrown 11 picks while conceding 7 fumbles and they have been able to earn 124 1st downs. The Buffalo offense has accrued 539 yds of penalties on 65 violations, which is 5th in the league in terms of hurting your team. Over the course of the season thus far, the Bills have a total of 2,536 yards via the pass along with holding an average of 253.6 passing yards per contest, which ranks 7th in the NFL. In relation to putting points on the board, the Bills are sitting 8th in the league maintaining an average of 26.2 points per game.

They have given up 12 touchdowns via the pass as well as 215.4 yards per game, which has them in 12th in football. Buffalo has allowed a total of 1,152 rushing yards (115.2 yards per game) and 6 touchdowns on the ground for the season. Overall, they have allowed 184 total points. They have 15 turnovers (7 fumbles and 8 picks) on the season. The Bills defense has been on the field for 611 plays, which is 20th in the league. The Bills are allowing 18.4 PPG, which has them ranked 5th in football.

Who will win tonight's Jets/Bills NFL game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Jets +7

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