New York Giants vs Miami Dolphins Prediction, 10/8/2023 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 5

Game: New York Giants vs Miami Dolphins

Date: Sunday, October 8, 2023

Location: Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens, FL

TV: FOX

Odds/Point Spread: Dolphins (-8.5)

Total/Over-Under: 48.5

The New York Giants (1-3) are headed to Hard Rock Stadium on Sunday where they will play the Miami Dolphins (3-1). Miami opens this matchup as 8.5-point favorites. The betting total comes in at 48.5.

The New York Giants step onto the field holding a record of 1-3 for this season. In their last contest, the Giants took on the Seahawks and took a loss by a score of 24-3. Daniel Jones was the best rusher for the Giants with 10 totes for 66 yds (6.6 yards per carry). Matt Breida averaged 9.6 yards per reception by accounting for 48 yards on 5 receptions. Daniel Jones finished 27/34 with 203 yds passing. He had a quarterback rating of 67 and finished the contest with 2 picks. In the running game, the Giants gave up 121 yards on 23 attempts, which is 5.3 yards per run allowed. New York relinquished 15 completions on 26 tries for 160 yds, and a completion rate of 57.7%. In the game, they ran 74 plays which gave them a total of 248 yds. The New York Giants ended up rushing 29 different times and accounted for 112 yds, which came out to an average of 3.9 yds per attempt.

The Giants have earned 1,008 total yards for the year. New York has accumulated 35 first downs as a team, and they have been called for 27 penalties for 229 yards. When it comes to getting in the endzone, New York has earned 2 touchdowns via the pass and 3 touchdowns on the ground. They have surrendered the football 8 different times (6 interceptions and 2 fumbles lost). As a unit they're holding an average of 94.0 yards on the ground which is 23rd in the league. When talking about getting in the endzone, the New York Giants are sitting at 11.5 PPG.

The Giants sit in 30th in the league in terms of team defense, allowing 30.5 PPG. They are giving up 4.4 yards per rush and 133.8 rushing yards per game this season. For the season, they have allowed 535 yards via the running game in 4 games. Concerning passing yards, the Giants have conceded 831 yards which ranks them 15th in the league. They have allowed 207.8 yards per game via the pass as well as conceding a completion percentage of 62.2%. During the season, they have allowed 341.5 yards per game putting them 19th in football.

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The Dolphins come into this matchup with a record of 3-1 for this year. When they last stepped on the football field, the Dolphins took a defeat with a final score of 48-20 when they faced the Bills. Tua Tagovailoa (1 TD) finished the contest with 282 yds on 25/35 passing while his quarterback rate was 92.8. He threw 1 interception and his avg yards per attempt was 8.1 yds. Tyreek Hill was the best receiver for the Dolphins, bringing in 3 balls for 58 yards (19.3 yds per catch). De'Von Achane carried the ball 8 times for 101 yards, ending the contest with 12.6 yards per carry for Miami. The Dolphins finished the contest with a total of 393 yds and they ran 58 plays (6.8 yds per play). Miami ran the ball for 7.5 yds per carry, finishing with 142 yds on 19 carries. Miami allowed 29 rushing attempts for 104 yards (3.6 yards per rush). The Dolphins secondary gave up a completion rate of 84.0%, surrendering 310 yards on 21 out of 25 passing.

Concerning the points being put on the board, the Dolphins sit 1st out of all teams in the NFL averaging 37.5 points per outing. During the season to this point, the Dolphins have thrown for 1,337 yards via the pass together with an average of 334.3 throwing yards per game, which ranks 1st in the league. They maintain an average of 176.8 yards per game via the rush and have run for 707 yards for the year. The Miami Dolphins average 511.0 yards per outing ranking them 1st out of all teams in the NFL. The Miami offense has accrued 237 penalty yards on 26 infractions, which is good for 13th in the league in terms of giving up free yards. They have given away 3 interceptions while losing 2 fumbles and they have obtained 66 first downs.

The Dolphins are surrendering 29.8 PPG, ranking them 28th of all teams in the league. They have allowed 7 touchdowns from the passing game as well as 251.0 yards per game, ranking them 25th in the NFL. Miami has conceded a total of 494 rushing yards (123.5 yards per contest) and 6 touchdowns via the rush this year. The Dolphins defense taken the field for 262 plays, ranking them 23rd in the league. Their defense has totaled 5 takeaways (3 fumbles and 2 picks) so far this year. Overall, they have surrendered 119 total points.

Who will win tonight's Giants/Dolphins NFL game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Dolphins -8.5

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