New Orleans Saints vs Los Angeles Rams Prediction, 12/21/2023 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 16

Game: New Orleans Saints vs Los Angeles Rams

Date: Thursday, December 21, 2023

Location: SoFi Stadium in Inglewood, CA

TV: PRIME VIDEO

Odds/Point Spread: Rams (-4)

Total/Over-Under: 44.5

The Los Angeles Rams (7-7) will try to beat the New Orleans Saints (7-7) at SoFi Stadium on Thursday. Los Angeles opens as 4-point favorites. The total has been set at 44.5.

The New Orleans Saints come into this game with a record of 7-7 for this season. In their last contest, the Saints played against the Giants and walked away with a win by a score of 24-6. Derek Carr went 23/28 with 218 yards through the air and 3 touchdowns. He had a QB rating of 134.8 and ended the contest with no picks. Alvin Kamara held an average of 8.8 yards per reception by recording 44 yds on 5 catches. Alvin Kamara was the rushing leader for the Saints with 16 carries for 66 yds (4.1 yds per attempt). On the day, they ran 58 plays which gave them a total of 296 yds. The New Orleans Saints ran the football 28 times and accumulated 87 yards, which had them averaging 3.1 yards per tote. In the running game, the Saints gave up 60 yds on 16 tries, which averages out to 3.8 yards per run surrendered. New Orleans gave up 22 pass completions on 38 tries for a total of 133 yards, and a completion rate of 57.9%.

The Saints have attained 4,683 total yards this season. New Orleans has a total of 157 first downs, and they have been called for 85 penalties for 780 yards. In terms of getting in the endzone, New Orleans has compiled 19 passing touchdowns and 11 rushing touchdowns. They have surrendered the football 17 different times (10 interceptions and 7 fumbles lost). As a unit they average 103.2 yards on the ground giving them a rank of 19th in the NFL. Concerning getting in the endzone, the New Orleans Saints have an average of 22.1 points per contest.

In terms of passing yards, the Saints have given up 2,596 yards which has them sitting in 6th in the league. They are giving up 185.4 yards per outing through the air as well as allowing a completion percentage of 57.3%. Overall, they are allowing 311.9 yards/game which has them ranked 11th in the NFL. They are allowing an average of 4.5 yards per running attempt and 126.4 yards on the ground per game this year. Over the course of this year, they have given up 1,770 running yards through 14 contests. The Saints are sitting in 6th in the NFL concerning the opposition scoring, giving up 19.1 points per contest.

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The Rams come into this matchup with a record of 7-7 this season. The last time they stepped on the gridiron, the Rams took home the win by a final score of 28-20 when they played the Commanders. Kyren Williams ran the ball 27 times for 152 yds, ending the game with 5.6 yds per carry for Los Angeles. Cooper Kupp was the leading receiver for the Rams, hauling in 8 throws for 111 yards (13.9 yards per catch). Matthew Stafford (2 TDs) finished the contest with 258 yards on 25/33 passing while his QB rating was 118. He didn't toss any picks and his Y/A was 7.8 yards. Los Angeles conceded 21 attempts on the ground for 79 yds (3.8 yds per rush). The Rams passing defense allowed a completion percentage of 52.8%, surrendering 218 yds on 19 out of 36 through the air. The Rams finished the contest with a total of 445 yds while running 73 plays (6.1 yards per play). Los Angeles ran the ball for 5.3 yards per attempt, totaling 196 yards on 37 carries.

The Los Angeles Rams maintain an average of 357.2 yards per outing which is good for 9th in football. They hold an average of 121.3 yards per game via the ground game and have run for 1,698 yards overall. They have tossed 10 picks while losing 4 fumbles and they have tallied 163 first downs. The Los Angeles offense has compiled 659 penalty yds on 81 infractions, which has them ranked 20th in football in terms of making mistakes. For the year so far, the Rams have thrown for a total of 3,303 yards through the air as well as an average of 235.9 passing yards per game, putting them at 11th in football. Regarding their scoring prowess, the Rams rank 9th in football maintaining an average of 23.4 points per contest.

They have allowed the opposition 19 touchdowns via the pass as well as 226.1 yards per outing, which has them ranked 21st out of all teams. Los Angeles has allowed a total of 1,551 yards via the ground game (110.8 yards per contest) in addition to 11 touchdowns by ground for the year. This year, they have surrendered 310 points in total. They have tallied 12 takeaways (4 fumbles recovered and 8 picks) for the season. The Rams defense has been on the field for 895 plays, which is good for 20th in football. The Rams are relinquishing 22.1 points per game, which has them in 19th of all teams in the NFL.

Who will win tonight's Saints/Rams NFL game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Saints +4

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