New Orleans Saints vs Indianapolis Colts Prediction, 10/29/2023 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 8

Game: New Orleans Saints vs Indianapolis Colts

Date: Sunday, October 29, 2023

Location: Lucas Oil Stadium in Indianapolis, IN

TV: FOX

Odds/Point Spread: Colts (+5.5)

Total/Over-Under: 40

Lucas Oil Stadium is where the Indianapolis Colts (3-4) will compete against the New Orleans Saints (3-4) on Sunday. Indianapolis is 5.5-point underdogs from oddsmakers. The over/under has been set at 40.

The New Orleans Saints come into this matchup with a record of 3-4 for this season. When they last stepped on the football field, the Saints took on the Jaguars and walked away from this one with a loss by a score of 31-24. Derek Carr finished 33/55 with 301 yards passing and 1 touchdown. He had a quarterback rating of 73.4 and ended the contest with 1 pick. Alvin Kamara was the best rusher for the Saints with 17 carries for 62 yards (3.6 yards per attempt). Alvin Kamara had an average of 7.6 yards per reception by totaling 91 yds on 12 catches. The New Orleans Saints rushed the ball a total of 31 times and totaled 112 yards, which is an average of 3.6 yards per carry. For the game, they ran 87 plays which totaled 407 yds. New Orleans relinquished 21 pass completions on 30 tries for 217 yards, and a completion rate of 70.0%. In the running game, the Saints gave up 113 yards on 26 tries, which calculates to 4.3 yards per rush surrendered.

When it comes to putting the ball in the endzone, the New Orleans Saints hold an average of 19.0 PPG. Offensively they average 98.1 yards rushing which is 22nd in the NFL. The Saints have earned 2,282 total yards this year. New Orleans has recorded 80 first downs offensively, and they have committed 46 infractions for 440 yards. They have turned the ball over 9 times (5 picks and 4 fumbles). When it comes to scoring touchdowns, New Orleans has totaled 6 touchdowns via the pass and 4 rushing touchdowns.

In terms of passing yards, the Saints have given up 1,309 yards which ranks them 8th in the league. They have conceded 187.0 yards per contest via the pass and allowed a completion percentage of 57.8%. Over the course of this year, they have allowed 285.7 yards per contest which ranks them 4th in the NFL. Opposing teams are running for an average of 3.9 yards per rushing attempt and 98.7 rushing yards per contest for the year. In total, they have allowed 691 running yards through 7 games. The Saints are ranked 7th in the National Football League in terms of team defense, giving up 18.1 points per contest.

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The Colts head into this matchup 3-4 for this season. The last time they stepped on the gridiron, the Colts went home defeated by a final of 39-38 when they played the Browns. Gardner Minshew II (2 TDs) finished the game with 305 yds on 15/23 through the air while his quarterback rate was 119.4. He threw 1 interception and his average yards per pass attempt was 13.3 yards. Jonathan Taylor carried the rock 18 times for 75 yds, ending the game with 4.2 yards per carry for Indianapolis. Josh Downs was the leading receiver for the Colts, grabbing 5 throws for 125 yards (25.0 yards per catch). Indianapolis ran the football for 4.2 yards per attempt, finishing the contest with 168 yards on 40 attempts. The Colts finished the contest with a total of 456 yds while running 67 plays (6.8 yards per play). The Colts passing defense allowed a completion rate of 43.2%, surrendering 166 yards on 16 out of 37 through the air. Indianapolis conceded 33 attempts on the ground for 150 yards (4.5 yards per rush).

The Indianapolis Colts maintain an average of 361.1 yards/outing which has them sitting 10th in the league. They have an average of 124.0 yards per game on the ground and have toted the ball for 868 yards for this year. They have given away 5 interceptions while losing 7 fumbles and they have obtained 81 1st downs. The Indianapolis offense has accrued 356 yards of penalties on 48 violations, which is 2nd in football in terms of helping out the other team. During this campaign thus far, the Colts have compiled 1,660 yards through the air together with holding an average of 237.1 passing yards per game, which is ranked 10th in football. Regarding their scoring prowess, the Colts are 6th in the NFL holding an average of 25.4 PPG.

The Colts are giving up 27.3 points per contest, ranking them 30th in the league. They have allowed the opposition 7 touchdowns through the air in addition to 232.6 yards per outing, which has them ranked 19th in football. Indianapolis has given up a total of 831 yards via the ground game (118.7 yards/game) as well as 12 touchdowns by way of the ground game for the season. The Colts defense has been on the field for 490 plays, which is 32nd in the NFL. They have 10 turnovers (4 fumbles recovered and 6 interceptions) on the campaign. Over the course of the season, they have surrendered 191 total points.

Who will win tonight's Saints/Colts NFL game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Saints -5.5

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