New Orleans Saints vs Houston Texans Prediction, 10/15/2023 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 6

Game: New Orleans Saints vs Houston Texans

Date: Sunday, October 15, 2023

Location: NRG Stadium in Houston, TX

TV: FOX

Odds/Point Spread: Texans (+1)

Total/Over-Under: 40

NRG Stadium is the location where the Houston Texans (2-3) will meet the New Orleans Saints (3-2) on Sunday. New Orleans opens as 1-point favorites from Vegas oddsmakers. The total comes in at 40.

The New Orleans Saints head into this matchup 3-2 this year. When they last stepped on the football field, the Saints played against the Patriots and walked away with a win by a score of 34-0. Derek Carr connected on 18/26 with 183 yards passing and 2 touchdowns. He had a QB rating of 114.7 and ended the contest without throwing an interception. Alvin Kamara was the rushing leader for the Saints with 22 carries for 80 yards (3.6 yards per attempt). Michael Thomas left with an average of 16.3 yards per catch by totaling 65 yds on 4 receptions. The New Orleans Saints ran the ball 42 times and tallied 136 yards, which came out to an average of 3.2 yds per attempt. In the game, they tallied 70 plays which gave them a total of 304 yds. New Orleans conceded 15 pass completions on 31 attempts for 111 yds, and a completion rate of 48.4%. In the running game, the Saints conceded 45 yds on 18 attempts, which is an average of 2.5 yds per run surrendered.

The Saints have tallied 1,445 yards in total over the course of this year. New Orleans has accrued 52 first downs, and they have been flagged for 36 penalties for 323 yards. In terms of getting the ball in the endzone, New Orleans has amassed 4 touchdowns through the air and 3 touchdowns via the ground. They have turned the football over 6 different times (3 interceptions and 3 fumbles). As a team they maintain an average of 97.2 yards on the ground ranking them 20th in the league. When it comes to putting the ball in the endzone, the New Orleans Saints are averaging 19.2 points per contest.

When it comes to yards through the air, the Saints have surrendered 915 yards which has them ranked 5th in the NFL. They are conceding 183.0 yards per game via the pass as well as conceding a completion percentage of 57.1%. Over the course of this season, they have yielded 274.6 yards/game which has them ranked 4th in the National Football League. Opposing teams are running for an average of 3.9 yards per run and 91.6 yards on the ground per game this year. Overall, they have allowed 458 rushing yards through 5 games. The Saints are ranked 4th in the National Football League in relation to team defense, giving up 15.2 PPG.

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The Texans head into this game 2-3 for this year. In their last contest, the Texans walked away with a loss by a score of 21-19 against the Falcons. C.J. Stroud (1 touchdown) finished the contest with 249 yards on 20/35 passing while his QB rating was 88.9. He kept the ball away from the defense with no interceptions and his avg yards per attempt was 7.1 yds. Dalton Schultz was the best receiver for the Texans, bringing in 7 balls for 65 yards (9.3 yds per catch). Dameon Pierce carried the ball 20 times for 66 yds, ending the game with 3.3 yds per carry for Houston. The Texans finished with a total of 313 yds on 58 plays (5.4 yards per play). Houston ran for 2.8 yards per tote, finishing the game with 64 yards on 23 attempts. Houston conceded 36 rushing attempts for 96 yards (2.7 yds per carry). The Texans pass defense conceded a completion percentage of 76.3%, surrendering 351 yds on 29 out of 38 through the air.

The Houston Texans maintain an average of 357.4 yards per game ranking them 11th in the league. They average 82.6 rushing yards per game and have toted the ball for 413 yards for this season. They have given away 0 interceptions while letting opponents recover 2 fumbles and they have earned 69 1st downs. The Houston offense has accrued 271 penalty yards on 33 infractions, which has them ranked 10th in the league in terms of helping out the opposition. During this campaign to this point, the Texans have racked up 1,374 passing yards as well as an average of 274.8 passing yards per outing, which ranks 3rd out of all NFL teams. When it comes to the points being put on the board, the Texans are 13th in football with 23.0 points per outing.

They have surrendered 3 touchdowns through the air and 226.4 yards/outing, which puts them in 18th out of all teams. Houston has allowed the opposition a total of 562 yards rushing (112.4 yards per game) and 8 touchdowns rushing this season. Over the course of the season, they have allowed 100 points in total. They have totaled 7 takeaways (4 fumbles and 3 picks) this season. The Texans defense taken the field for 313 plays, which has them sitting 19th in the NFL. The Texans are giving up 20.0 PPG, which has them ranked 11th in the NFL.

Who will win tonight's Saints/Texans NFL game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Saints -1

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