New England Patriots vs Pittsburgh Steelers Prediction, 12/7/2023 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 14

Game: New England Patriots vs Pittsburgh Steelers

Date: Thursday, December 7, 2023

Location: Acrisure Stadium in Pittsburgh, PA

TV: PRIME VIDEO

Odds/Point Spread: Steelers (-6)

Total/Over-Under: 30

The Pittsburgh Steelers (7-5) will try to beat the New England Patriots (2-10) at Acrisure Stadium on Thursday. Pittsburgh opens this matchup as 6-point favorites from Vegas oddsmakers. The betting total comes in at 30.

The New England Patriots come into this matchup with a record of 2-10 this season. When they last stepped on the football field, the Patriots faced the Chargers and walked away from this one with a loss by a score of 6-0. Bailey Zappe finished 13/25 with 141 yards passing. He had a QB rate of 68.9 and finished the contest without throwing a pick. Ezekiel Elliott led the offense in rushing for the Patriots with 17 totes for 52 yds (3.1 yards per carry). DeVante Parker had an average of 16.0 yards per catch by totaling 64 yds on 4 receptions. The New England Patriots ended up running the ball 32 times and tallied 148 yards, earning them an average of 4.6 yds per attempt. Once the final whistle blew, they tallied 62 plays which totaled 257 yards. New England relinquished 22 pass completions on 37 attempts for 212 yds, and a completion rate of 59.5%. When it came to stopping the run, the Patriots conceded 29 yds on 24 attempts, which averages out to 1.2 yds per run surrendered.

The Patriots have tallied 3,485 total yards for the season. New England has earned 111 1st downs as a unit, and they have committed 68 infractions for 492 yards. When it comes to getting in the endzone, New England has compiled 10 passing touchdowns and 6 touchdowns on the ground. They have turned the ball over 20 times (14 picks and 6 fumbles lost). As a team they maintain an average of 103.7 yards on the ground ranking them 21st in the league. In terms of scoring, the New England Patriots hold an average of 12.3 points per outing.

The Patriots are sitting in 15th in the league regarding the opposition scoring, allowing 21.2 points per game. Opposing teams are running for an average of 3.2 yards per rushing attempt and 88.7 rushing yards per game for the season. During the season, they have given up 1,064 rushing yards through 12 games. When it comes to yards via the pass, the Patriots have conceded 2,662 yards which puts them in 15th in the NFL. They are giving up 221.8 yards per outing via the pass as well as giving up a completion percentage of 65.7%. For the year, they have yielded 310.5 yards/game which ranks them 8th in the league.

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The Steelers head into this matchup 7-5 for this year. When they last stepped on the football field, the Steelers walked away with a loss by a score of 24-10 when they faced the Cardinals. Mitchell Trubisky (1 TD) finished the game with 117 yards on 11/17 passing while his QB rating was 104.3. He didn't throw any interceptions and his avg yards per attempt was 6.9 yards. George Pickens was a featured target for the Steelers, snagging 4 passes for 86 yards (21.5 yds per catch). Najee Harris ran the football 16 times for 63 yards, finishing the contest with 3.9 yards per carry for Pittsburgh. The Steelers ended up finishing with 317 yards while they ran 58 plays (5.5 yards per play). Pittsburgh ran the ball for 4.2 yds per attempt, finishing with a total of 130 yards on 31 attempts. Pittsburgh allowed 38 rushing attempts for 150 yds (3.9 yds per carry). The Steelers pass defense conceded a completion rate of 56.5%, relinquishing 132 yards on 13 out of 23 through the air.

In relation to how much they score, the Steelers currently sit 28th in football scoring 16.0 points per contest. For the year thus far, the Steelers have thrown for 2,155 passing yards along with holding an average of 179.6 passing yards per game, ranking them 28th in the league. They have an average of 115.3 rushing yards per game and have rushed for 1,384 yards for the year. The Pittsburgh Steelers have an average of 294.9 yards per outing which has them sitting 26th in the league. The Pittsburgh offense has 597 penalty yards on 69 infractions, which has them sitting 20th in the NFL in terms of helping out the other team. They have given away 6 picks while conceding 4 fumbles and they have obtained 108 1st downs.

They have surrendered 14 touchdowns through the air and 227.3 yards per game, which has them sitting 19th in the league. Pittsburgh has given up a total of 1,452 rushing yards (121.0 yards per contest) as well as 8 touchdowns by ground this season. Over the course of the season, they have relinquished 229 total points. They have totaled 20 turnovers (8 fumbles and 12 interceptions) this year. The Steelers defense taken the field for 787 plays, which ranks 26th in the NFL. The Steelers are surrendering 19.1 points per game, which puts them in 6th of all teams in the league.

Who will win tonight's Patriots/Steelers NFL game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Patriots +6

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