New England Patriots vs New York Jets Prediction, 9/24/2023 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 3

Game: New England Patriots vs New York Jets

Date: Sunday, September 24, 2023

Location: MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford, NJ

TV: CBS

Odds/Point Spread: Jets (-1)

Total/Over-Under: 39.5

The New York Jets (1-1) host the New England Patriots (0-2) at MetLife Stadium on Sunday. New York opens this matchup as 1-point favorites from oddsmakers. The over/under has been set at 39.5.

The New England Patriots step onto the field holding a record of 0-2 this year. In their last game, the Patriots stepped onto the field against the Dolphins and went home with a loss by a final score of 24-17. Mac Jones finished 31/42 with 231 yards passing and 1 touchdown. He had a quarterback rate of 84.5 and ended the contest with 1 interception. DeVante Parker left with an average of 9.5 yards per reception by accumulating 57 yds on 6 receptions. Rhamondre Stevenson was the rushing leader for the Patriots with 15 carries for 50 yds (3.3 yards per attempt). In the game, they had 71 plays which totaled 288 yards. The New England Patriots ran the football 25 times and accrued 88 yds, which had them averaging 3.5 yards per tote. In the running game, the Patriots conceded 145 yards on 30 tries, which is an average of 4.8 yds per run allowed. New England conceded 21 pass completions on 30 tries for a total of 244 yards, and a completion percentage of 70.0%.

When talking about scoring, the New England Patriots have an average of 18.5 points per game. As a unit they're maintaining an average of 82.0 yards rushing ranking them 27th in the NFL. The Patriots have tallied 670 total yards for the season. New England has amassed 28 1st downs as a team, and they have been called for 12 infractions for 95 yds. They have turned the football over 4 times (2 interceptions and 2 fumbles lost). When it comes to distribution of touchdowns, New England has amassed 4 touchdowns via the pass and 1 touchdown on the ground.

The Patriots are sitting in 17th in the league regarding team defense, allowing 24.5 points per game. They are allowing teams to run for an average of 4.4 yards per running attempt and 121.0 rushing yards per game this year. Overall, they have allowed 242 yards via the ground game in 2 contests. In terms of passing yardage, the Patriots have given up 398 yards which puts them in 13th in the NFL. They have relinquished 199.0 yards per game through the air in addition to conceding a completion percentage of 68.3%. In total, they are conceding 320.0 yards per outing which puts them 14th in the league.

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The Jets come into this matchup with a record of 1-1 for this season. In their last contest, the Jets took a loss by a final score of 30-10 when they played the Cowboys. Zach Wilson (1 TD) walked away from the contest with 170 yards on 12/27 through the air while his quarterback rate was 38.1. He had 3 picks and his average yards per pass attempt was 6.3 yards. Garrett Wilson was a featured target for the Jets, bringing in 2 footballs for 83 yds (41.5 yds per reception). Zach Wilson carried the football 5 times for 36 yards, ending the contest with 7.2 yds per attempt for New York. The Jets finished with 215 yards and they ran 46 plays (4.7 yards per play). New York ran the football for 4.0 yards per carry, finishing the game with 64 yds on 16 attempts. New York conceded 44 rush attempts for 134 yards (3.0 yards per rush). The Jets secondary gave up a completion rate of 81.6%, relinquishing 248 yds on 31 for 38 passing.

The New York Jets are averaging 252.0 yards/game which has them ranked 29th out of all teams in the NFL. They are averaging 118.0 yards per game via the rush and have rushed for 236 yards for the year. They have given away 4 interceptions while losing 1 fumble and they have earned 13 1st downs. The New York offense has 39 yds of penalties on 7 violations, which is good for 31st in the league in terms of helping out the opposition. For the season to this point, the Jets have thrown for a total of 268 passing yards as well as holding an average of 134.0 throwing yards per outing, which has them ranked 31st in the league. Concerning this team's ability to score points, the Jets currently rank 27th in football averaging 16.0 points per game.

The Jets are allowing 23.0 PPG, ranking them 15th of all teams in the league. They have surrendered 3 touchdowns from the passing game and 232.5 yards per outing, which has them sitting 20th in football. New York has allowed a total of 231 yards rushing (115.5 yards/game) and 0 touchdowns by way of the ground game this season. The Jets defense taken the field for 151 plays, which is good for 32nd in football. They have totaled 4 takeaways (1 fumble and 3 interceptions) this season. Overall, they have surrendered 46 total points.

Who will win tonight's Patriots/Jets NFL game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Jets -1

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