New England Patriots vs Miami Dolphins Prediction, 10/29/2023 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 8

Game: New England Patriots vs Miami Dolphins

Date: Sunday, October 29, 2023

Location: Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens, FL

TV: CBS

Odds/Point Spread: Dolphins (-10.5)

Total/Over-Under: 47

The New England Patriots (2-5) are hitting the road to Hard Rock Stadium on Sunday where they will try to beat the Miami Dolphins (5-2). New England opens as 10.5-point underdogs. The over/under comes in at 47.

The New England Patriots head into this matchup 2-5 for this season. In their last contest, the Patriots played the Bills and took home the win by a score of 29-25. Mac Jones connected on 25/30 with 272 yards passing and 2 TDs. He had a QB rate of 126.7 and walked away from the game without throwing an interception. Kendrick Bourne held an average of 10.5 yards per reception by earning 63 yards on 6 receptions. Rhamondre Stevenson was the leader on the ground for the Patriots with 9 totes for 34 yds (3.8 yards per carry). In the game, they had 55 plays which converted into 364 yds. The New England Patriots ran the football 24 times and amassed 96 yds, earning them an average of 4.0 yards per carry. Against the rush, the Patriots gave up 81 yards on 24 attempts, which calculates to 3.4 yds per rush surrendered. New England relinquished 27 pass completions on 41 attempts for 258 yds, and a completion percentage of 65.9%.

Regarding scoring, the New England Patriots have an average of 14.4 points per game. As a team they are averaging 85.4 yards on the ground which has them sitting 27th in the National Football League. The Patriots have racked up 2,060 total yards over the course of this year. New England has earned 69 first downs as an offense, and they have been called for 47 penalties for 356 yds. They have given the ball to the opposition 12 times (7 picks and 5 fumbles lost). When it comes to distribution of touchdowns, New England has totaled 7 passing touchdowns and 4 touchdowns via the ground.

In terms of yards through the air, the Patriots have surrendered 1,474 yards which has them sitting in 18th in the league. They have relinquished 210.6 yards per outing via the pass in addition to allowing a completion percentage of 66.7%. Overall, they have allowed 311.3 yards/game ranking them 9th in football. Opposing teams are running for an average of 3.4 yards per rush and 100.7 rushing yards per game over the course of this season. Overall, they have allowed 705 yards via the running game in 7 games. The Patriots sit in 24th in the National Football League when it comes to team defense, allowing 25.3 points per game.

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The Dolphins step onto the field holding a record of 5-2 for this season. When they last stepped on the football field, the Dolphins went home defeated by a final of 31-17 when they played the Eagles. Tua Tagovailoa (1 touchdown) finished the contest with 216 yards on 23/32 passing while his QB rating was 87.5. He threw 1 interception and his avg yards per attempt was 6.8 yards. Tyreek Hill was one of the featured targets for the Dolphins, grabbing 11 throws for 88 yds (8.0 yds per catch). Raheem Mostert ran the football 9 times for 45 yards, ending the contest with 5.0 yds per carry for Miami. The Dolphins finished the game with 244 yards while running 48 plays (5.1 yards per play). Miami ran the ball for 3.8 yards per carry, finishing the contest with 45 yds on 12 attempts. Miami surrendered 34 rushing attempts for 99 yds (2.9 yds per carry). The Dolphins passing defense allowed a completion percentage of 74.2%, relinquishing 256 yards on 23 out of 31 passing.

When discussing how much they score, the Dolphins sit 1st in the league scoring 34.3 PPG. Over the course of the season thus far, the Dolphins have thrown for a total of 2,100 yards via the pass not to mention an average of 300.0 passing yards per contest, giving them a rank of 1st in the NFL. They have an average of 162.3 yards per game via the rush and have rushed for 1,136 yards overall. The Miami Dolphins have an average of 462.3 yards per contest which has them ranked 1st out of all teams in the NFL. The Miami offense has racked up 375 penalty yds on 45 infractions, which is good for 11th in the NFL in terms of helping out the other team. They have given away 7 interceptions while letting opponents recover 3 fumbles and they have been able to obtain 103 first downs.

The Dolphins are giving up 26.7 PPG, which has them in 27th of all teams in the league. They have allowed 10 touchdowns through the air and 233.0 yards per contest, which has them in 20th out of all teams. Miami has allowed a total of 786 yards rushing (112.3 yards per outing) as well as 9 touchdowns by way of the ground game for the season. The Dolphins defense has taken part in 466 plays, ranking them 31st in the league. Their defense has tallied 7 turnovers (4 fumbles recovered and 3 interceptions) on the year. This season, they have conceded 187 total points.

Who will win tonight's Patriots/Dolphins NFL game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Dolphins -10.5

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