New England Patriots vs Green Bay Packers Prediction, 8/19/2023 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Preseason

Game: New England Patriots vs Green Bay Packers

Date: Saturday, August 19, 2023

Location: Lambeau Field in Green Bay, WI

TV: No TV

Odds/Point Spread: Packers (-2)

Total/Over-Under: 37

The New England Patriots (8-9 last season) are traveling to Lambeau Field on Saturday where they will attempt to defeat the Green Bay Packers (8-9 last year). New England opens this matchup as 2-point dogs from Vegas oddsmakers. The over/under comes in at 37.

The New England Patriots ended the year having earned a 8-9 record. In their last contest, the Patriots played against the Bills and took a loss by a final of 35-23. Rhamondre Stevenson was the best rusher for the Patriots with 6 carries for 54 yds (9.0 yds per carry). DeVante Parker averaged 13.2 yds per reception by totaling 79 yds on 6 catches. Mac Jones connected on 26/40 with 243 yds through the air and 3 TDs. He had a quarterback rate of 75.3 and finished the game with 3 picks. In the running game, the Patriots gave up 90 yards on 25 attempts, which is an average of 3.6 yards per rush surrendered. New England conceded 19 completions on 31 attempts for 237 yards, and a completion rate of 61.3%. In all, they had 64 plays which gave them 341 yds. The New England Patriots ended up running the ball 23 times and tallied 107 yds, earning them an average of 4.7 yards per tote.

When it comes to scoring, the New England Patriots were sitting at 21.4 points per outing. As a team they held an average of 106.6 yds via the ground game, which ranked them 24th in the league. The Patriots tallied 5,348 yards in total over the course of last year. New England recorded 166 1st downs as a team, and they were flagged for 104 infractions for 841 yards. They turned the ball over 23 different times (14 picks and 9 fumbles). New England compiled 19 touchdowns via the pass and 12 touchdowns via the ground.

When it comes to passing yards, the Patriots gave up 3,681 yards which had them sitting in 17th in football. During their 17 games, they allowed 216.5 yards per game through the air in addition to relinquishing a completion percentage of 61.1%. They allowed 322.0 yards per contest which had them sitting 8th in the league. They gave up 28 touchdowns via the pass as well as 7 running touchdowns. They allowed an average of 4.1 yards per attempt on the ground and 105.5 yards on the ground per game last season. Overall, they conceded 1,793 yards via the running game in 17 outings. The Patriots ranked 11th in the National Football League in relation to team defense, conceding 20.4 points per contest.

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The Packers wrapped up their season having earned a 8-9 record. The last time they stepped on the football field, the Packers walked away with a loss by a score of 20-16 when they played the Lions. Aaron Rodgers (1 TD) ended the game with 205 yards on 17/27 passing while his QB rating was 83.1. He had 1 interception and his average yds per pass attempt was 7.6 yards. Aaron Jones carried the rock 12 times for 48 yds, ending the game with 4.0 yds per carry for Green Bay. Christian Watson was featured in the passing game for the Packers, snagging 5 throws for 104 yards (20.8 yards per reception). Green Bay ended up running for 3.7 yds per attempt, finishing with 103 yards on 28 attempts. The Packers finished the game with a total of 291 yds and they ran 57 plays (5.1 yds per play). The Packers secondary conceded a completion percentage of 67.6%, relinquishing 219 yds on 23 for 34 through the air. Green Bay gave up 25 attempts on the ground for 104 yds (4.2 yds per rush).

When it comes to how much they scored, the Packers were 14th in the league with a maintained average of 21.8 PPG. Last season, the Packers racked up 3,632 yards via the pass as well as an average of 213.6 passing yards per contest, which was ranked 17th in the NFL. They averaged 124.3 yards per game via the rush and ran for 2,113 yards in total. The Green Bay Packers averaged 337.9 yards per outing which was good for 17th out of all teams in the NFL. The Green Bay offense totaled 747 yds of penalties on 89 infractions, ranking them 22nd in the league in terms of helping out the opposition. They tossed 12 interceptions while allowing opponents to recover 10 fumbles and they recorded 186 1st downs.

The Packers surrendered 21.8 PPG, which had them ranked 17th in football. They gave up 22 touchdowns via the pass in addition to 197.0 yards/outing, which put them in 6th in the NFL. Last season, they relinquished 371 total points. Green Bay allowed a total of 2,372 yards rushing (139.5 yards per game) and 18 touchdowns by way of the ground game last season. The Packers defense took the field for 991 plays, which was good for 1st in the league. Their defense had 24 takeaways (7 fumbles and 17 picks) for the prior year.

Who will win tonight's Patriots/Packers NFL game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Packers -2

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