New England Patriots vs Denver Broncos Prediction, 12/24/2023 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 16

Game: New England Patriots vs Denver Broncos

Date: Sunday, December 24, 2023

Location: Empower Field at Mile High in Denver, CO

TV: NFL NET

Odds/Point Spread: Broncos (-6)

Total/Over-Under: 36

The Denver Broncos (7-7) are hosting the New England Patriots (3-11) at Empower Field at Mile High on Sunday. New England is 6-point underdogs from Vegas oddsmakers. The betting total is set at 36.

The New England Patriots step onto the field holding a record of 3-11 for this season. In their last game, the Patriots took on the Chiefs and went home with a loss by a final score of 27-17. Ezekiel Elliott led the offense in rushing for the Patriots with 11 carries for 25 yds (2.3 yds per attempt). Hunter Henry held an average of 9.4 yards per catch by accounting for 66 yards on 7 catches. Bailey Zappe finished 23/31 with 180 yds passing and 1 touchdown. He had a quarterback rating of 85.4 and ended the game with 1 interception. In the running game, the Patriots gave up 43 yds on 20 tries, which is 2.2 yards per rush allowed. New England gave up 28 pass completions on 38 attempts for 283 yds, and a completion rate of 73.7%. When all was said and done, they had 51 plays which converted into 206 yds. The New England Patriots ended up running the ball 16 different times and accrued 52 yards, which came out to an average of 3.3 yds per carry.

In terms of putting points on the board, the New England Patriots are averaging 13.3 points per outing. Offensively they are averaging 98.4 yards via the ground game giving them a rank of 25th in the league. The Patriots have earned 3,994 total yards for the season. New England has recorded 131 1st downs as an offense, and they have committed 80 penalties for 596 yards. They have given the ball to the opposition 22 times (16 picks and 6 fumbles). When it comes to scoring touchdowns, New England has amassed 14 passing touchdowns and 7 rushing touchdowns.

Concerning yards through the air, the Patriots have conceded 3,127 yards which has them ranked 16th in football. They have relinquished 223.4 yards per game through the air and allowed a completion percentage of 66.0%. Overall, they have relinquished 308.3 yards/game which has them ranked 8th in the league. They are allowing an average of 3.1 yards per rush and 84.9 rushing yards per game for the year. For the season, they have allowed 1,189 running yards through 14 contests. The Patriots sit in 16th in the league concerning their opponents scoring, giving up 21.4 points per contest.

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The Broncos head into this matchup 7-7 this season. The last time they stepped on the gridiron, the Broncos took a loss by a score of 42-17 against the Lions. Russell Wilson (1 touchdown) ended the contest with 223 yds on 18/32 through the air while his QB rating was 88.4. He didn't throw any interceptions and his Y/A was 7.0 yards. Samaje Perine ran the ball 6 times for 37 yds, finishing the game with 6.2 yards per carry for Denver. Jerry Jeudy was the top contributor in the passing game for the Broncos, catching 3 footballs for 74 yds (24.7 yds per catch). Denver ran for 3.0 yards per tote, finishing the contest with 83 yds on 28 attempts. The Broncos finished the contest with a total of 287 yds and they ran 62 plays (4.6 yards per play). The Broncos passing defense gave up a completion percentage of 70.6%, relinquishing 263 yards on 24 for 34 passing. Denver surrendered 28 rushing attempts for 185 yards (6.6 yds per carry).

When discussing their scoring prowess, the Broncos are ranking 16th in the league averaging 21.7 PPG. During this campaign to this point, the Broncos have racked up 2,619 yards via the pass not to mention holding an average of 187.1 throwing yards per contest, which has them ranked 25th in football. They hold an average of 112.7 rushing yards per game and have rushed for 1,578 yards for the season. The Denver Broncos have an average of 299.8 yards per contest which ranks them 25th in football. The Denver offense has accrued 640 penalty yards on 86 violations, which ranks 13th in football in terms of giving up free yards. They have given away 8 picks while conceding 11 fumbles and they have earned 125 first downs.

The Broncos are giving up 25.1 PPG, which has them sitting 30th in the NFL. They have given up 25 touchdowns from the passing game and 235.5 yards per outing, which puts them in 23rd in the league. Denver has yielded a total of 2,057 rushing yards (146.9 yards per game) and 14 touchdowns on the ground for the season. The Broncos defense has taken part in 898 plays, ranking them 23rd in the NFL. They have earned 24 turnovers (13 fumbles recovered and 11 interceptions) this season. Over the course of the season, they have conceded 351 points in total.

Who will win tonight's Patriots/Broncos NFL game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Patriots +6

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