New England Patriots vs Buffalo Bills Prediction, 1/8/2023 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 18

Game: New England Patriots vs Buffalo Bills

Date: Sunday, January 8, 2023

Location: Highmark Stadium in Orchard Park, NY

TV: CBS

Odds/Point Spread: Bills (-8)

Total/Over-Under: 42

Highmark Stadium is where the Buffalo Bills (12-3) will compete against the New England Patriots (8-8) on Sunday. Buffalo opens this matchup as 8-point favorites from Vegas oddsmakers. The over/under comes in at 42.

The New England Patriots come into this game with a record of 8-8 for this season. When they last took the field, the Patriots stepped onto the field against the Dolphins and took home the win by a score of 23-21. Mac Jones went 20/33 with 203 yds passing and 2 touchdowns. He had a QB rating of 98.4 and finished the game with no picks. Tyquan Thornton averaged 20.0 yds per catch by accumulating 60 yds on 3 receptions. Rhamondre Stevenson led the offense in rushing for the Patriots with 8 carries for 42 yards (5.3 yards per attempt). Once the final whistle blew, they had 57 plays which converted into 249 yards. The New England Patriots ran the football 21 different times and recorded 77 yds, which came out to an average of 3.7 yds per attempt. When it came to stopping the run, the Patriots gave up 86 yds on 27 attempts, which is 3.2 yards per run allowed. New England conceded 24 pass completions on 40 attempts for 247 yards, and a completion rate of 60.0%.

In terms of scoring, the New England Patriots have an average of 21.3 points per outing. Offensively they're averaging 106.6 yards on the ground which has them sitting 23rd in the NFL. The Patriots currently have 5,007 total yards over the course of this year. New England has accrued 153 1st downs as a team, and they have been hurt by 102 infractions for 821 yds. They have given the ball to the opposition 20 times (11 interceptions and 9 fumbles). When it comes to scoring, New England has earned 16 passing touchdowns and 12 touchdowns via the ground.

In terms of passing yards, the Patriots have given up 3,444 yards which puts them in 17th in football. They have allowed 215.3 yards per game through the air as well as giving up a completion percentage of 61.1%. In total, they are giving up 321.7 yards per outing which ranks them 9th in the league. They have yielded 25 touchdowns through the air in addition to 7 touchdowns pounding the rock. Opposing teams are running for an average of 4.1 yards per attempt on the ground and 106.4 rushing yards per contest this year. Overall, they have allowed 1,703 running yards through 16 contests. The Patriots are ranked 6th in the NFL when it comes to team defense, conceding 19.5 points per contest.

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The Bills step onto the field holding a record of 12-3 this season. In their last game, the Bills walked away with a victory by a final of 35-13 when they faced the Bears. Josh Allen (2 TDs) ended the contest with 172 yards on 15/26 passing while his quarterback rating was 71.3. He had 2 picks and his average yards per pass attempt was 6.6 yds. Gabriel Davis was featured in the passing game for the Bills, grabbing 3 balls for 45 yds (15.0 yards per reception). Devin Singletary ran the football 12 times for 106 yds, walking away from the contest with 8.8 yards per carry for Buffalo. The Bills finished the contest with a total of 426 yards on 58 plays (7.3 yards per play). Buffalo rushed the football for 8.2 yards per carry, totaling 254 yds on 31 carries. Buffalo conceded 29 attempts on the ground for 80 yds (2.8 yards per rush). The Bills pass defense gave up a completion percentage of 64.3%, relinquishing 129 yards on 18 for 28 through the air.

Regarding the points being put on the board, the Bills are sitting 5th in the NFL by scoring 26.4 points per contest. During this campaign to this point, the Bills have compiled 3,892 yards through the air as well as an average of 243.3 throwing yards per game, giving them a rank of 9th in the league. They average 133.9 run yards per game and have toted the ball for 2,142 yards in total. The Buffalo Bills hold an average of 377.1 yards/contest ranking them 4th out of all teams in the league. The Buffalo offense has racked up 689 penalty yds on 90 infractions, which is good for 15th in the league in terms of making mistakes. They have thrown 13 picks while surrendering 11 fumbles and they have earned 202 1st downs.

The Bills are relinquishing 16.9 points per contest, which has them ranked 2nd of all teams in the NFL. They have allowed 18 touchdowns from the passing game as well as 199.9 yards/game, ranking them 8th in the NFL. In total, they have given up 270 total points. Buffalo has allowed a total of 1,566 rushing yards (97.9 yards per game) in addition to 10 touchdowns rushing for the season. The Bills defense has been on the field for 933 plays, which is 4th in the league. They have compiled 24 takeaways (10 fumbles and 14 interceptions) so far this season.

Who will win tonight's Patriots/Bills NFL game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Bills -8

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