Minnesota Vikings vs Denver Broncos Prediction, 11/19/2023 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 11

Game: Minnesota Vikings vs Denver Broncos

Date: Sunday, November 19, 2023

Location: Empower Field at Mile High in Denver, CO

TV: NBC

Odds/Point Spread: Broncos (-2)

Total/Over-Under: 43.5

The Denver Broncos (4-5) welcome the Minnesota Vikings (6-4) at Empower Field at Mile High on Sunday. Denver opens this game as 2-point favorites. The over/under comes in at 43.5.

The Minnesota Vikings come into this game with a record of 6-4 for this season. The last time they stepped on the football field, the Vikings went up against the Saints and took home the win by a score of 27-19. Joshua Dobbs went 23/34 with 268 yards through the air and 1 TD. He had a QB rating of 101.1 and ended the contest with no interceptions. T.J. Hockenson averaged 12.2 yds per reception by accounting for 134 yds on 11 catches. Ty Chandler was the leader on the ground for the Vikings with 15 attempts for 45 yds (3.0 yds per attempt). When the final whistle blew, they had 68 plays which totaled 388 yards. The Minnesota Vikings ended up running the ball 33 times and totaled 125 yds, which is an average of 3.8 yds per carry. When it came to the battle of the line of scrimmage, the Vikings gave up 65 yards on 15 tries, which calculates to 4.3 yards per run allowed. Minnesota relinquished 26 completions on 43 attempts for 215 yards, and a completion rate of 60.5%.

Concerning putting points on the board, the Minnesota Vikings hold an average of 23.3 points per contest. Offensively they average 85.7 yards rushing which ranks them 29th in the NFL. The Vikings have attained 3,581 yards in total for the season. Minnesota has earned 138 1st downs as a team, and they have been hurt by 48 penalties for 365 yards. They have surrendered the football 17 different times (5 picks and 12 fumbles lost). When it comes to getting in the endzone, Minnesota has earned 21 passing touchdowns and 4 touchdowns via the ground.

The Vikings are sitting in 14th in the league concerning their opponents scoring, allowing 20.9 points per game. They are allowing 3.7 yards per run and 98.8 yards on the ground per contest this season. For the year, they have conceded 988 rushing yards through 10 games. Concerning passing yards, the Vikings have surrendered 2,244 yards which has them ranked 23rd in the NFL. They have given up 224.4 yards per game via the pass in addition to allowing a completion percentage of 68.9%. Overall, they have relinquished 323.2 yards per contest which has them ranked 13th in the NFL.

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The Broncos come into this matchup with a record of 4-5 this season. When they last stepped on the football field, the Broncos walked away with a victory by a final of 24-22 when they played the Bills. Russell Wilson (2 touchdowns) finished the contest with 193 yds on 24/29 passing while his QB rating was 117.4. He didn't throw any picks and his Y/A was 6.7 yds. Courtland Sutton was featured in the passing game for the Broncos, hauling in 8 passes for 53 yards (6.6 yds per reception). Javonte Williams carried the football 21 times for 79 yds, finishing the game with 3.8 yds per carry for Denver. The Broncos finished the contest with a total of 300 yds and they ran 71 plays (4.2 yds per play). Denver rushed for 3.2 yards per carry, finishing the game with 122 yds on 38 carries. Denver gave up 26 rushing attempts for 192 yds (7.4 yds per rush). The Broncos pass defense allowed a completion rate of 57.7%, relinquishing 177 yards on 15 for 26 through the air.

The Denver Broncos are averaging 301.9 yards per outing which ranks them 23rd in the league. They hold an average of 117.3 rushing yards per game and have run for 1,056 yards overall. They have thrown 4 picks while allowing opponents to recover 9 fumbles and they have been able to earn 83 1st downs. The Denver offense has racked up 447 yards of penalties on 64 infractions, which ranks 9th in the NFL in terms of making mistakes. Over the course of the season thus far, the Broncos have thrown for 1,661 yards via the pass not to mention holding an average of 184.6 passing yards per game, ranking them 28th in the NFL. Regarding this team's ability to score points, the Broncos rank 15th in football holding an average of 21.8 PPG.

The Broncos are allowing 27.6 PPG, which puts them in 32nd of all teams in the league. They have allowed 17 touchdowns through the air as well as 243.4 yards/contest, which has them sitting 23rd out of all teams. Denver has yielded a total of 1,425 yards on the ground (158.3 yards per contest) and 10 touchdowns rushing for the season. The Broncos defense has been on the field for 564 plays, which is 8th in the league. Their defense has totaled 16 turnovers (7 fumbles recovered and 9 interceptions) this year. This season, they have conceded 248 points in total.

Who will win tonight's Vikings/Broncos NFL game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Vikings +2

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