Minnesota Vikings vs Atlanta Falcons Prediction, 11/5/2023 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 9

Game: Minnesota Vikings vs Atlanta Falcons

Date: Sunday, November 5, 2023

Location: Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta, GA

TV: FOX

Odds/Point Spread: Falcons (-1)

Total/Over-Under: 41.5

Mercedes-Benz Stadium is the location where the Atlanta Falcons (4-4) will take on the Minnesota Vikings (4-4) on Sunday. Minnesota opens this game as 1-point dogs. The over/under is 41.5.

The Minnesota Vikings come into this matchup with a record of 4-4 for this year. The last time they stepped on the gridiron, the Vikings played against the Packers and notched a win by a score of 24-10. Kirk Cousins connected on 23/31 with 274 yds passing and 2 touchdowns. He had a QB rate of 122.2 and walked away from the game with no interceptions. K.J. Osborn had an average of 12.4 yards per reception by earning 99 yards on 8 receptions. Alexander Mattison was the best rusher for the Vikings with 16 totes for 31 yds (1.9 yards per carry). Once the final whistle blew, they had 69 plays for 346 yards. The Minnesota Vikings ran the football 31 different times and totaled 62 yards, which had them averaging 2.0 yds per attempt. Against the rush, the Vikings conceded 74 yds on 17 tries, which is an average of 4.4 yds per rush surrendered. Minnesota gave up 24 completions on 41 tries for 196 yds, and a completion rate of 58.5%.

In terms of scoring points, the Minnesota Vikings are averaging 21.9 PPG. As a team they're averaging 73.3 yards on the ground which ranks them 31st in the NFL. The Vikings have earned 2,830 total yards for the year. Minnesota has amassed 113 1st downs, and they have been flagged for 42 infractions for 326 yds. They have surrendered the ball 15 times (5 interceptions and 10 fumbles lost). In terms of getting the ball in the endzone, Minnesota has earned 18 touchdowns through the air and 1 touchdown on the ground.

The Vikings rank 15th in the National Football League in terms of team defense, allowing 20.3 points per game. They are giving up 3.6 yards per rush and 101.6 yards on the ground per contest over the course of this season. For the season, they have given up 813 yards via the running game in 8 outings. When it comes to yards through the air, the Vikings have surrendered 1,769 yards which ranks them 20th in the National Football League. They have yielded 221.1 yards per game through the air as well as giving up a completion percentage of 72.2%. In total, they have given up 322.8 yards per game which ranks them 11th in the league.

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The Falcons come into this game with a record of 4-4 for this year. In their last contest, the Falcons took a defeat with a final score of 28-23 when they faced the Titans. Taylor Heinicke (1 TD) walked away from the game with 175 yards on 12/21 passing while his quarterback rating was 100.3. He didn't toss any picks and his avg yards per attempt was 8.3 yards. Bijan Robinson carried the ball 11 times for 62 yds, ending the game with 5.6 yds per attempt for Atlanta. KhaDarel Hodge was the best receiver for the Falcons, grabbing 3 passes for 75 yds (25.0 yds per catch). Atlanta ran the ball for 5.4 yards per carry, totaling 140 yards on 26 attempts. The Falcons finished the game with 342 yds and they ran 66 plays (5.2 yards per play). The Falcons pass defense allowed a completion rate of 65.5%, surrendering 226 yds on 19 out of 29 passing. Atlanta surrendered 36 rushing attempts for 149 yds (4.1 yds per carry).

The Atlanta Falcons are averaging 341.1 yards per outing which has them sitting 14th in football. They are averaging 126.3 yards per game on the ground and have run for 1,010 yards for this year. They have given away 6 interceptions while conceding 8 fumbles and they have been able to earn 93 1st downs. The Atlanta offense has 388 yards of penalties on 42 infractions, which has them sitting 26th in the NFL in terms of helping out the opposition. During the season so far, the Falcons have racked up 1,719 yards through the air along with holding an average of 214.9 passing yards per contest, putting them at 18th in football. When discussing how much they score, the Falcons rank 28th in the NFL with 17.3 points per game.

They have yielded 15 touchdowns via the pass in addition to 194.6 yards/game, which has them ranked 8th in football. Atlanta has allowed a total of 816 yards rushing (102.0 yards per game) as well as 1 touchdown by way of the ground game this year. This season, they have allowed 161 points in total. Their defense has 7 turnovers (3 fumbles and 4 interceptions) on the year. The Falcons defense taken the field for 487 plays, which is good for 19th in the NFL. The Falcons are allowing 20.1 points per game, ranking them 14th in the league.

Who will win tonight's Vikings/Falcons NFL game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Vikings +1

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