Miami Dolphins vs Washington Commanders Prediction, 12/3/2023 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 13

Game: Miami Dolphins vs Washington Commanders

Date: Sunday, December 3, 2023

Location: FedExField in Landover, MD

TV: FOX

Odds/Point Spread: Commanders (+9.5)

Total/Over-Under: 50

FedExField is the location where the Washington Commanders (4-8) will compete against the Miami Dolphins (8-3) on Sunday. Miami opens as 9.5-point favorites. The over/under is set at 50.

The Miami Dolphins head into this game 8-3 for this season. When they last took the field, the Dolphins took the field against the Jets and earned the victory with a final of 34-13. Raheem Mostert was the rushing leader for the Dolphins with 20 carries for 94 yards (4.7 yards per carry). Jaylen Waddle left with an average of 14.3 yards per reception by tallying 114 yds on 8 receptions. Tua Tagovailoa went 21/30 with 243 yds passing and 1 touchdown. He had a quarterback rate of 77.5 and finished the game with 2 interceptions. When it came to stopping the run, the Dolphins conceded 29 yards on 10 attempts, which is an average of 2.9 yds per run surrendered. Miami surrendered 27 completions on 38 tries for a total of 130 yards, and a completion rate of 71.1%. Overall, they ran 69 plays which gave them 395 yds. The Miami Dolphins ran the football 37 different times and recorded 167 yards, which is an average of 4.5 yds per carry.

When talking about putting the ball in the endzone, the Miami Dolphins are averaging 30.8 points per game. Offensively they have an average of 145.2 yards on the ground which ranks them 2nd in the National Football League. The Dolphins have earned 4,735 total yards for the season. Miami has 157 1st downs as a team, and they have been called for 65 infractions for 527 yds. They have given the ball to the opposition 19 different times (11 interceptions and 8 fumbles). When it comes to getting in the endzone, Miami has earned 23 touchdowns via the pass and 19 touchdowns via the ground.

When talking about yards through the air, the Dolphins have allowed 2,336 yards which puts them in 10th in the league. They are conceding 212.4 yards per outing via the pass as well as giving up a completion percentage of 68.3%. Over the course of this season, they have allowed 305.2 yards per contest which ranks them 7th in the NFL. They are allowing 3.8 yards per rushing attempt and 92.8 rushing yards per contest this season. Over the course of this year, they have given up 1,021 yards via the ground game in 11 contests. The Dolphins rank 23rd in the league concerning their opponents scoring, conceding 22.8 PPG.

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The Commanders step onto the field holding a record of 4-8 for this season. When they last stepped on the football field, the Commanders went home defeated by a final of 45-10 when they faced the Cowboys. Sam Howell ended the contest with 300 yards on 28/44 passing while his quarterback rate was 74.1. He tossed 1 interception and his Y/A was 6.8 yards. Brian Robinson Jr. carried the ball 15 times for 53 yds, walking away from the contest with 3.5 yards per carry for Washington. Curtis Samuel was featured in the passing game for the Commanders, snagging 9 balls for 100 yards (11.1 yards per catch). Washington rushed for 4.0 yards per carry, finishing the game with 108 yards on 27 attempts. The Commanders finished the game with 376 yds while running 75 plays (5.0 yds per play). The Commanders pass defense gave up a completion percentage of 68.8%, relinquishing 331 yards on 22 out of 32 passing. Washington relinquished 18 running attempts for 100 yds (5.6 yards per rush).

Regarding their ability to score points, the Commanders are sitting 20th in football holding an average of 20.5 points per contest. During the season so far, the Commanders have thrown for 2,964 yards through the air along with holding an average of 247.0 throwing yards per game, which has them ranked 9th in football. They maintain an average of 96.8 yards per game via the rush and have toted the ball for 1,161 yards overall. The Washington Commanders hold an average of 343.8 yards/outing which is good for 14th out of all teams in the league. The Washington offense has racked up 495 penalty yds on 64 infractions, which is 22nd in the NFL in terms of making mistakes. They have given away 13 interceptions while conceding 9 fumbles and they have been able to earn 154 first downs.

The Commanders are allowing 29.2 PPG, which has them in 32nd of all teams in the NFL. They have conceded 28 touchdowns via the pass as well as 264.6 yards/game, which has them ranked 30th in football. Washington has given up a total of 1,357 yards rushing (113.1 yards per game) in addition to 7 touchdowns by way of the ground game for the season. The Commanders defense taken the field for 763 plays, which ranks 27th in the NFL. They have totaled 13 turnovers (7 fumbles and 6 interceptions) for the year. This year, they have conceded 350 total points.

Who will win tonight's Dolphins/Commanders NFL game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Commanders +9.5

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