Miami Dolphins vs New England Patriots Prediction, 9/17/2023 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 2

Game: Miami Dolphins vs New England Patriots

Date: Sunday, September 17, 2023

Location: Gillette Stadium in Foxborough, MA

TV: NBC

Odds/Point Spread: Patriots (+2)

Total/Over-Under: 45

The New England Patriots (0-1) welcome the Miami Dolphins (1-0) at Gillette Stadium on Sunday. Miami opens as 2-point favorites. The over/under comes in at 45.

The Miami Dolphins come into this matchup with a record of 1-0 for this season. In their last contest, the Dolphins faced the Chargers and earned the victory with a final of 36-34. Tua Tagovailoa finished 28/45 with 466 yards through the air and 3 touchdowns. He had a quarterback rate of 110 and walked away from the contest with 1 pick. Raheem Mostert was the leader on the ground for the Dolphins with 10 attempts for 37 yards (3.7 yards per carry). Tyreek Hill had an average of 19.5 yds per catch by tallying 215 yards on 11 receptions. The Miami Dolphins ended up running the ball 20 different times and totaled 70 yds, which came out to an average of 3.5 yds per carry. Once the final whistle blew, they tallied 65 plays which gave them 536 yards. Miami allowed 23 pass completions on 33 attempts for a total of 199 yards, and a completion percentage of 69.7%. Against the rush, the Dolphins gave up 234 yds on 40 tries, which calculates to 5.9 yds per run allowed.

When talking about scoring, the Miami Dolphins hold an average of 36.0 points per game. Offensively they're averaging 70.0 yards rushing which ranks them 27th in the National Football League. The Dolphins have earned 536 yards in total for the season. Miami has accounted for 23 1st downs offensively, and they have committed 6 penalties for 38 yards. They have given the ball to the opposition 2 different times (1 interception and 1 fumble). When it comes to distribution of touchdowns, Miami has earned 3 passing touchdowns and 1 touchdown on the ground.

The Dolphins are sitting in 29th in the National Football League concerning the opposition scoring, conceding 34.0 PPG. They are allowing an average of 5.9 yards per run and 234.0 rushing yards per contest this season. During the season, they have conceded 234 running yards through 1 game. Regarding yards via the pass, the Dolphins have surrendered 199 yards which puts them in 19th in the NFL. They have relinquished 199.0 yards per contest through the air as well as giving up a completion percentage of 69.7%. During this campaign, they have given up 433.0 yards/contest which puts them 31st in the National Football League.

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The Patriots come into this matchup with a record of 0-1 this year. When they last took the field, the Patriots took a defeat with a final score of 25-20 when they played the Eagles. Mac Jones (3 touchdowns) ended the contest with 316 yds on 35/54 passing while his QB rate was 91.3. He threw 1 interception and his average yards per pass attempt was 5.9 yds. Kendrick Bourne was a featured target for the Patriots, grabbing 6 throws for 64 yds (10.7 yards per reception). Ezekiel Elliott ran the football 7 times for 29 yds, ending the game with 4.1 yards per carry for New England. The Patriots finished the contest with 382 yards and they ran 78 plays (4.9 yards per play). New England rushed the football for 3.5 yards per tote, finishing with a total of 76 yards on 22 attempts. New England gave up 25 rushing attempts for 97 yds (3.9 yds per carry). The Patriots secondary gave up a completion percentage of 66.7%, relinquishing 154 yards on 22 out of 33 through the air.

The New England Patriots hold an average of 382.0 yards/contest which ranks them 5th out of all teams in the league. They maintain an average of 76.0 rushing yards per game. The New England offense has compiled 50 penalty yards on 7 infractions, which ranks 12th in the NFL in terms of giving up free yards. During the season to this point, the Patriots currently sit at 306 yards via the pass. When it comes to how much they score, the Patriots are ranked 17th in the NFL holding an average of 20.0 points per game.

The Patriots are giving up 25.0 points per game, which has them ranked 25th in the NFL. They have allowed 1 touchdown through the air and 154.0 yards per contest, ranking them 10th in the NFL. New England has yielded a total of 97 rushing yards. The Patriots defense taken the field for 61 plays, which ranks 13th in the league. Their defense has 1 takeaway this year.

Who will win tonight's Dolphins/Patriots NFL game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Patriots +2

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