Miami Dolphins vs Los Angeles Chargers Prediction, 9/10/2023 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 1

Game: Miami Dolphins vs Los Angeles Chargers

Date: Sunday, September 10, 2023

Location: SoFi Stadium in Inglewood, CA

TV: CBS

Odds/Point Spread: Chargers (-3)

Total/Over-Under: 51

SoFi Stadium is the site where the Los Angeles Chargers (10-7 last year) will compete against the Miami Dolphins (9-8 last season) on Sunday. Miami opens this contest as 3-point underdogs from oddsmakers. The total is set at 51.

The Miami Dolphins finished the year having a 9-8 record. The last time they stepped on the gridiron, the Dolphins stepped onto the field against the Bills and took a loss by a final of 34-31. Skylar Thompson connected on 18/45 with 220 yards passing and 1 touchdown. He had a QB rating of 44.7 and finished the contest with 2 interceptions. Jeff Wilson led the offense in rushing for the Dolphins with 10 carries for 23 yards (2.3 yards per carry). Tyreek Hill held an average of 9.9 yards per reception by recording 69 yds on 7 receptions. The Miami Dolphins ended up rushing 20 different times and accounted for 42 yards, which had them averaging 2.1 yards per tote. When all was said and done, they tallied 69 plays which converted into 231 yards. Miami surrendered 23 completions on 39 attempts for a total of 316 yds, and a completion rate of 59.0%. When it came to stopping the run, the Dolphins gave up 107 yards on 26 tries, which calculates to 4.1 yards per rush allowed.

Regarding putting the ball in the endzone, the Miami Dolphins averaged 23.4 points per game. As a unit they averaged 99.2 yards rushing, which ranked them 25th in the National Football League. The Dolphins racked up 6,197 total yards for last season. Miami accumulated 220 1st downs, and they were flagged for 111 penalties for 881 yds. They turned the ball over 21 different times (15 picks and 6 fumbles). Miami amassed 30 passing touchdowns and 12 rushing touchdowns.

Concerning yards through the air, the Dolphins gave up 3,992 yards which put them in 27th in the NFL. Over the course of their 17 games played last season, they allowed 234.8 yards per outing through the air in addition to surrendering a completion percentage of 66.7%. They granted 337.8 yards/game which had them ranked 18th in the NFL. They gave up 27 touchdowns through the air and 15 touchdowns via the ground game. Opposing teams ran for an average of 4.1 yards per tote and 103.0 rushing yards per game last year. For the year, they gave up 1,751 yards via the ground game in 17 games. The Dolphins sat in 24th in the National Football League in relation to team defense, giving up 23.5 points per contest.

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The Chargers ended the year holding a 10-7 mark. The last time they took the field, the Chargers took a loss by a final score of 31-30 when they faced the Jaguars. Justin Herbert (1 touchdown) ended the contest with 273 yds on 25/43 passing while his QB rate was 84.7. He didn't throw any picks and his Y/A was 6.3 yards. Austin Ekeler carried the rock 13 times for 35 yards, ending the contest with 2.7 yds per carry for Los Angeles. Gerald Everett was featured in the passing game for the Chargers, grabbing 6 footballs for 109 yards (18.2 yds per reception). Los Angeles ran for 2.9 yards per tote, finishing with 67 yds on 23 carries. The Chargers finished with 320 yds on 69 plays (4.6 yards per play). The Chargers secondary conceded a completion rate of 59.6%, relinquishing 273 yards on 28 out of 47 passing. Los Angeles relinquished 21 run attempts for 117 yds (5.6 yds per rush).

The Los Angeles Chargers had an average of 359.3 yards per outing which had them ranked 9th in football. They held an average of 89.6 rushing yards per game and toted the ball for 1,524 yards for the season. The Los Angeles offense racked up 635 yds of penalties on 81 infractions, which had them ranked 29th in the league in terms of helping out the opposition. They tossed 10 picks while surrendering 9 fumbles and they earned 232 1st downs. Over the course of last season, the Chargers threw for a total of 4,584 passing yards not to mention an average of 269.6 passing yards per outing, which had them ranked 3rd out of all NFL teams. In relation to how much they scored, the Chargers ranked 13th in the NFL averaging 23.0 PPG.

The Chargers allowed 22.6 points per game, which put them in 21st in football. They surrendered 24 touchdowns through the air as well as 200.4 yards per game, which had them ranked 7th out of all teams. Overall, they gave up 384 points in total. Los Angeles conceded a total of 2,478 yards via the ground game (145.8 yards per outing) as well as 17 touchdowns rushing last year. The Chargers defense took part in 1,002 plays, which had them ranked 5th in the league. Their defense tallied 24 turnovers (10 fumbles recovered and 14 picks) last year.

Who will win tonight's Dolphins/Chargers NFL game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Dolphins +3

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