Miami Dolphins vs Kansas City Chiefs Prediction, 11/5/2023 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 9

Game: Miami Dolphins vs Kansas City Chiefs

Date: Sunday, November 5, 2023

Location: Frankfurt Stadium in Frankfurt, Germany

TV: NFL NET

Odds/Point Spread: Chiefs (-5.5)

Total/Over-Under: 50.5

The Miami Dolphins (6-2) are headed to Frankfurt Stadium on Sunday where they will take on the Kansas City Chiefs (6-2). Miami is 5.5-point underdogs from Vegas oddsmakers. The betting total comes in at 50.5.

The Miami Dolphins head into this matchup 6-2 for this season. The last time they stepped on the gridiron, the Dolphins played the Patriots and walked away with a win by a score of 31-17. Tua Tagovailoa went 30/45 with 324 yards passing and 3 TDs. He had a QB rating of 100.6 and ended the game with 1 interception. Raheem Mostert was the leader on the ground for the Dolphins with 13 carries for 46 yds (3.5 yards per carry). Jaylen Waddle averaged 17.3 yards per catch by earning 121 yards on 7 catches. The Miami Dolphins ended up running the ball 26 different times and compiled 78 yards, which had them averaging 3.0 yards per carry. On the day, they had 73 plays which gave them 390 yards. Miami conceded 19 completions on 29 tries for a total of 141 yds, and a completion rate of 65.5%. On the ground, the Dolphins conceded 77 yards on 19 tries, which is an average of 4.1 yds per rush surrendered.

Regarding scoring, the Miami Dolphins are sitting at 33.9 points per outing. Offensively they hold an average of 151.8 yards rushing ranking this team at 1st in the NFL. The Dolphins have earned 3,626 total yards over the course of this season. Miami has accumulated 120 1st downs as a unit, and they have been flagged for 48 penalties for 400 yds. They have surrendered the ball 12 different times (8 picks and 4 fumbles lost). In terms of distribution of touchdowns, Miami has compiled 19 passing touchdowns and 16 touchdowns via the ground.

The Dolphins sit in 25th in the NFL regarding team defense, allowing 25.5 points per game. They are allowing teams to run for an average of 3.9 yards per rush on the ground and 107.9 yards on the ground per game over the course of this year. During the season, they have given up 863 yards via the running game in 8 games. When it comes to passing yards, the Dolphins have conceded 1,772 yards which puts them in 21st in the league. They are giving up 221.5 yards per outing through the air as well as giving up a completion percentage of 69.5%. Overall, they have given up 329.4 yards per game ranking them 15th in the NFL.

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The Chiefs head into this matchup 6-2 for this season. The last time they stepped on the football field, the Chiefs walked away with a loss by a score of 24-9 when they played the Broncos. Patrick Mahomes finished the game with 241 yds on 24/38 passing while his QB rating was 59.2. He tossed 2 picks and his average yards per pass attempt was 6.3 yds. Travis Kelce was featured in the passing game for the Chiefs, hauling in 6 balls for 58 yds (9.7 yards per reception). Isiah Pacheco ran the football 8 times for 40 yds, finishing the game with 5.0 yards per carry for Kansas City. The Chiefs finished the game with a total of 275 yds while running 57 plays (4.8 yds per play). Kansas City ran the ball for 3.9 yards per attempt, finishing with 62 yards on 16 attempts. Kansas City surrendered 40 running attempts for 153 yards (3.8 yards per carry). The Chiefs secondary conceded a completion rate of 63.2%, relinquishing 87 yards on 12 for 19 passing.

In relation to the points being put on the board, the Chiefs are 12th in the league by scoring 23.4 points per game. Over the course of the season thus far, the Chiefs have thrown for 2,211 yards via the pass in addition to holding an average of 276.4 passing yards per game, ranking them 3rd in the NFL. They average 105.1 yards per game via the ground game and have run for 841 yards for the year. The Kansas City Chiefs are averaging 381.5 yards per contest ranking them 4th in the league. The Kansas City offense has racked up 431 penalty yards on 51 violations, which is 11th in the league in terms of helping out the opposition. They have thrown 10 interceptions while allowing opponents to recover 6 fumbles and they have been able to obtain 109 1st downs.

The Chiefs are relinquishing 16.1 points per game, which has them ranked 2nd of all teams in the NFL. They have allowed 11 touchdowns through the air and 176.1 yards per game, which has them sitting 2nd in the league. Kansas City has allowed a total of 893 yards on the ground (111.6 yards per contest) as well as 2 touchdowns by ground for the season. The Chiefs defense has been on the field for 485 plays, which has them sitting 16th in the league. They have earned 12 takeaways (7 fumbles recovered and 5 picks) for the year. Overall, they have relinquished 129 total points.

Who will win tonight's Dolphins/Chiefs NFL game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Chiefs -5.5

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