Miami Dolphins vs Jacksonville Jaguars Prediction, 8/26/2023 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Preseason

Game: Miami Dolphins vs Jacksonville Jaguars

Date: Saturday, August 26, 2023

Location: TIAA Bank Field in Jacksonville, FL

TV: No TV

Odds/Point Spread: Jaguars (-4)

Total/Over-Under: 40

The Jacksonville Jaguars (10-8 last year) host the Miami Dolphins (9-8 last season) at TIAA Bank Field on Saturday. Jacksonville opens this matchup as 4-point favorites. The total has been set at 40.

The Miami Dolphins ended the season having earned a 9-8 record. The last time they took the field, the Dolphins played the Bills and took a loss by a final of 34-31. Jeff Wilson was the leader on the ground for the Dolphins with 10 attempts for 23 yards (2.3 yds per attempt). Tyreek Hill had an average of 9.9 yds per catch by accumulating 69 yards on 7 catches. Skylar Thompson went 18/45 with 220 yds passing and 1 TD. He had a QB rating of 44.7 and walked away from the game with 2 interceptions. In the running game, the Dolphins conceded 107 yds on 26 tries, which calculates to 4.1 yds per rush surrendered. Miami conceded 23 pass completions on 39 tries for 316 yards, and a completion rate of 59.0%. In the game, they ran 69 plays which gave them 231 yards. The Miami Dolphins ended up rushing 20 times and totaled 42 yds, which is an average of 2.1 yards per carry.

Regarding scoring, the Miami Dolphins had an average of 23.4 points per game. As a unit they held an average of 99.2 yards in the run game, which was 25th in the league. The Dolphins had 6,197 yards in total for last year. Miami earned 220 1st downs as an offense, and they were hurt by 111 infractions for 881 yds. They turned the football over 21 different times (15 interceptions and 6 fumbles). Miami earned 30 touchdowns through the air and 12 rushing touchdowns.

Concerning passing yards, the Dolphins gave up 3,992 yards which ranked them 27th in the National Football League. During their 17 games played last year, they surrendered 234.8 yards per outing through the air and allowed a completion percentage of 66.7%. They granted 337.8 yards per outing which ranked them 18th in the National Football League. They gave up 27 throwing touchdowns and 15 rushing touchdowns. They allowed 4.1 yards per rush on the ground and 103.0 rushing yards per game last season. In total, they conceded 1,751 rushing yards through 17 contests. The Dolphins were sitting in 24th in the league in terms of team defense, allowing 23.5 PPG.

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The Jaguars wrapped up their season holding a 10-8 record. In their last contest, the Jaguars took a loss by a score of 27-20 against the Chiefs. Trevor Lawrence (1 TD) ended the contest with 217 yards on 24/39 passing while his quarterback rating was 74.4. He threw 1 interception and his avg yards per attempt was 5.6 yards. Travis Etienne ran the ball 10 times for 62 yds, ending the game with 6.2 yards per carry for Jacksonville. Zay Jones was the best receiver for the Jaguars, hauling in 5 footballs for 83 yards (16.6 yds per reception). Jacksonville rushed for 7.6 yards per carry, finishing the game with 144 yds on 19 attempts. The Jaguars ended up finishing with 349 yds while running 60 plays (5.8 yards per play). The Jaguars passing defense conceded a completion rate of 73.0%, surrendering 218 yds on 27 out of 37 passing. Jacksonville gave up 30 attempts on the ground for 144 yards (4.8 yds per carry).

The Jacksonville Jaguars held an average of 357.4 yards per game which was good for 10th in football. They averaged 124.5 rushing yards per game and ran for 2,116 yards for last season. The Jacksonville offense accrued 674 yards of penalties on 90 violations, which was 21st in the NFL in terms of giving up free yards. They threw 9 picks while surrendering 13 fumbles and they obtained 208 1st downs. Last season, the Jaguars earned 3,959 yards via the pass as well as averaging 232.9 passing yards per outing, giving them a rank of 10th in football. When it comes to their ability to score points, the Jaguars had a ranking of 10th in the league with a maintained average of 23.8 PPG.

The Jaguars surrendered 20.6 PPG, which put them in 12th of all teams in the NFL. They yielded 25 touchdowns via the pass in addition to 238.5 yards per outing, which had them ranked 28th in football. In total, they conceded 350 total points. Jacksonville conceded a total of 1,951 yards rushing (114.8 yards/game) in addition to 14 touchdowns by ground last year. The Jaguars defense was on the field for 1,106 plays, which had them ranked 29th in the NFL. Their defense compiled 27 takeaways (13 fumbles and 14 interceptions) during the previous year.

Who will win tonight's Dolphins/Jaguars NFL game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Jaguars -4

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