Miami Dolphins vs Houston Texans Prediction, 8/19/2023 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Preseason

Game: Miami Dolphins vs Houston Texans

Date: Saturday, August 19, 2023

Location: NRG Stadium in Houston, TX

TV: NFL NET

Odds/Point Spread: Texans (-6)

Total/Over-Under: 38

NRG Stadium is the location where the Houston Texans (3-13-1 last year) will attempt to defeat the Miami Dolphins (9-8 last season) on Saturday. Houston opens this game as 6-point favorites. The over/under is 38.

The Miami Dolphins wrapped up their season holding a 9-8 record. When they last took the field, the Dolphins played the Bills and went home with a loss by a final score of 34-31. Skylar Thompson finished 18/45 with 220 yds passing and 1 touchdown. He had a QB rate of 44.7 and finished the game with 2 picks. Jeff Wilson was the best rusher for the Dolphins with 10 totes for 23 yds (2.3 yards per carry). Tyreek Hill had an average of 9.9 yards per catch by notching 69 yds on 7 catches. The Miami Dolphins ended up running the ball 20 times and compiled 42 yds, which earned them an average of 2.1 yds per carry. In all, they had 69 plays for 231 yds. Miami gave up 23 pass completions on 39 attempts for 316 yds, and a completion rate of 59.0%. When it came to stopping the run, the Dolphins conceded 107 yds on 26 attempts, which is 4.1 yards per run allowed.

Regarding putting the ball in the endzone, the Miami Dolphins averaged 23.4 PPG. As a unit they held an average of 99.2 yds on the ground, which had them sitting 25th in the National Football League. The Dolphins earned 6,197 total yards for last season. Miami compiled 220 1st downs, and they committed 111 infractions for 881 yards. They surrendered the football 21 different times (15 interceptions and 6 fumbles lost). Miami earned 30 passing touchdowns and 12 touchdowns on the ground.

In terms of passing yardage, the Dolphins gave up 3,992 yards which had them sitting in 27th in the NFL. In their 17 games, they gave up 234.8 yards per game through the air and relinquishing a completion percentage of 66.7%. They granted 337.8 yards per outing which had them sitting 18th in the league. They gave up 27 touchdowns through the air as well as 15 running touchdowns. They allowed an average of 4.1 yards per run and 103.0 rushing yards per contest last season. In total, they allowed 1,751 rushing yards through 17 games. The Dolphins were sitting in 24th in the National Football League in terms of team defense, allowing 23.5 points per game.

Get all of our NFL Picks this Week

The Texans wrapped up their season having a 3-13-1 record. In their last contest, the Texans walked away with a victory by a final of 32-31 when they played the Colts. Davis Mills (3 TDs) ended the game with 298 yards on 22/38 passing while his quarterback rate was 87.4. He had 2 interceptions and his average yards per pass attempt was 7.8 yards. Brandin Cooks was the leading receiver for the Texans, catching 5 passes for 106 yards (21.2 yards per catch). Dare Ogunbowale ran the football 11 times for 33 yds, finishing the game with 3.0 yds per attempt for Houston. The Texans finished the game with a total of 360 yds and they ran 64 plays (5.6 yds per play). Houston ran the ball for 2.6 yards per tote, finishing with 59 yards on 23 carries. Houston surrendered 33 rush attempts for 196 yds (5.9 yards per carry). The Texans passing defense gave up a completion percentage of 65.7%, relinquishing 202 yards on 23 out of 35 passing.

Regarding their ability to score points, the Texans ranked 30th out of all teams in the NFL maintaining an average of 17.0 points per game. Throughout last year, the Texans compiled 3,344 yards through the air as well as averaging 196.7 passing yards per game, which had them ranked 25th in the NFL. They held an average of 86.8 run yards per game and rushed for 1,476 yards for the season. The Houston Texans held an average of 283.5 yards per outing which had them ranked 31st out of all teams in the NFL. The Houston offense totaled 644 penalty yds on 88 violations, which ranked 25th in the league in terms of hurting your team. They threw 19 picks while letting opponents recover 9 fumbles and they earned 159 1st downs.

The Texans gave up 24.7 points per contest, which had them ranked 27th of all teams in the league. They gave up 15 touchdowns through the air and 209.3 yards/game, which had them in 10th in the league. Overall, they conceded 420 points in total. Houston allowed a total of 2,894 yards via the ground game (170.2 yards/game) in addition to 25 touchdowns by ground throughout last year. The Texans defense took the field for 1,134 plays, which ranked 32nd in the league. They had 27 turnovers (11 fumbles recovered and 16 picks) in the previous season.

Who will win tonight's Dolphins/Texans NFL game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Dolphins +6

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here