Miami Dolphins vs Buffalo Bills Prediction, 1/15/2023 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Wildcard

Game: Miami Dolphins vs Buffalo Bills

Date: Sunday, January 15, 2023

Location: Highmark Stadium in Orchard Park, NY

TV: CBS

Odds/Point Spread: Bills (-10.5)

Total/Over-Under: 44

Highmark Stadium is where the Buffalo Bills (13-3) will play the Miami Dolphins (9-8) on Sunday. Miami opens this game as 10.5-point dogs. The over/under comes in at 44.

The Miami Dolphins head into this game 9-8 this season. In their last contest, the Dolphins faced off with the Jets and earned the victory with a final of 11-6. Jeff Wilson was the leader on the ground for the Dolphins with 16 totes for 72 yds (4.5 yards per carry). Mike Gesicki left with an average of 11.5 yds per catch by totaling 46 yds on 4 receptions. Skylar Thompson went 20/31 with 152 yards through the air. He had a QB rating of 76.3 and finished the contest without throwing a pick. On the ground, the Dolphins conceded 38 yds on 20 tries, which calculates to 1.9 yards per rush surrendered. Miami surrendered 18 completions on 33 tries for 149 yds, and a completion percentage of 54.5%. In the game, they ran 64 plays which totaled 302 yds. The Miami Dolphins rushed the ball a total of 32 times and had 162 yds, earning them an average of 5.1 yds per carry.

The Dolphins have earned 6,197 total yards this season. Miami has accounted for 220 1st downs as a unit, and they have been hurt by 111 penalties for 881 yards. When it comes to getting in the endzone, Miami has totaled 30 touchdowns through the air and 12 rushing touchdowns. They have surrendered the ball 21 different times (15 interceptions and 6 fumbles). Offensively they're averaging 99.2 yards via the ground game ranking this team at 25th in the National Football League. Concerning putting the ball in the endzone, the Miami Dolphins are averaging 23.4 PPG.

The Dolphins rank 24th in the league regarding team defense, allowing 23.5 PPG. The opposition is running for an average of 4.1 yards per run and 103.0 rushing yards per contest this year. Overall, they have given up 1,751 rushing yards through 17 games. When it comes to passing yardage, the Dolphins have surrendered 3,992 yards which ranks them 27th in football. They have relinquished 234.8 yards per contest via the pass in addition to giving up a completion percentage of 66.7%. During the season, they are surrendering 337.8 yards per contest ranking them 18th in football. They have yielded 27 touchdowns by air in addition to 15 touchdowns via the ground game.

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The Bills head into this matchup 13-3 for this year. In their last contest, the Bills took home the win by a final score of 35-23 when they played the Patriots. Josh Allen (3 touchdowns) walked away from the contest with 254 yds on 19/31 passing while his quarterback rate was 106.1. He tossed 1 pick and his average yards per pass attempt was 8.2 yds. Stefon Diggs was a featured target for the Bills, catching 7 passes for 104 yds (14.9 yds per catch). James Cook carried the ball 9 times for 45 yds, finishing the game with 5.0 yds per carry for Buffalo. The Bills finished the game with a total of 327 yds on 58 plays (5.6 yards per play). Buffalo ran the ball for 3.6 yards per tote, finishing with a total of 90 yards on 25 attempts. Buffalo relinquished 23 rushing attempts for 107 yds (4.7 yards per carry). The Bills secondary gave up a completion rate of 65.0%, surrendering 234 yards on 26 out of 40 through the air.

The Buffalo Bills are averaging 397.6 yards per contest ranking them 2nd in the NFL. They maintain an average of 139.5 yards per game on the ground and have rushed for 2,232 yards in total. The Buffalo offense has accrued 709 penalty yards on 92 violations, which is good for 16th in the league in terms of hurting your team. They have tossed 14 picks while allowing opponents to recover 13 fumbles and they have been able to tally 212 first downs. For the year to this point, the Bills have compiled 4,129 yards through the air along with holding an average of 258.1 throwing yards per game, which has them ranked 7th in the league. Regarding their ability to score points, the Bills sit 2nd in the NFL with an average of 28.4 points per outing.

The Bills are giving up 17.9 points per contest, which has them in 2nd of all teams in the league. They have given up 21 touchdowns from the passing game and 214.6 yards per game, which puts them in 15th in the league. In total, they have given up 286 points in total. Buffalo has surrendered a total of 1,673 rushing yards (104.6 yards/game) and 10 touchdowns on the ground for the season. The Bills defense has taken part in 997 plays, which has them sitting 3rd in the league. They have totaled 27 turnovers (10 fumbles and 17 interceptions) this season.

Who will win tonight's Dolphins/Bills NFL game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Dolphins +10.5

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