Miami Dolphins vs Baltimore Ravens Prediction, 12/31/2023 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 17

Game: Miami Dolphins vs Baltimore Ravens

Date: Sunday, December 31, 2023

Location: M&T Bank Stadium in Baltimore, MD

TV: CBS

Odds/Point Spread: Ravens (-3.5)

Total/Over-Under: 47.5

The Baltimore Ravens (12-3) will take on the Miami Dolphins (11-4) at M&T Bank Stadium on Sunday. Baltimore is 3.5-point favorites from Vegas oddsmakers. The total comes in at 47.5.

The Miami Dolphins head into this matchup 11-4 this season. The last time they took the field, the Dolphins stepped onto the field against the Cowboys and notched a win by a score of 22-20. Tua Tagovailoa went 24/37 with 293 yds through the air and 1 touchdown. He had a QB rating of 98.1 and finished the contest with no interceptions. Raheem Mostert was the rushing leader for the Dolphins with 11 carries for 46 yards (4.2 yds per attempt). Tyreek Hill averaged 11.0 yds per reception by recording 99 yards on 9 catches. The Miami Dolphins ran the ball 26 times and tallied 91 yards, which is an average of 3.5 yards per carry. For the game, they ran 64 plays which converted into 375 yards. Miami surrendered 20 pass completions on 32 attempts for a total of 242 yards, and a completion percentage of 62.5%. Against the run, the Dolphins gave up 97 yards on 25 attempts, which calculates to 3.9 yds per run allowed.

The Dolphins have earned 6,172 total yards for the year. Miami has tallied 201 first downs as an offense, and they have been called for 88 penalties for 701 yds. In terms of scoring touchdowns, Miami has compiled 27 touchdowns via the pass and 26 touchdowns on the ground. They have turned the football over 20 different times (11 picks and 9 fumbles lost). As a team they're averaging 136.4 yards on the ground which is 5th in the NFL. When talking about putting points on the board, the Miami Dolphins have an average of 30.9 points per game.

Regarding passing yardage, the Dolphins have given up 3,085 yards which ranks them 10th in the NFL. They have allowed 205.7 yards per game via the pass in addition to giving up a completion percentage of 65.2%. For the year, they have relinquished 296.5 yards per contest putting them at 4th in the league. They are giving up 3.7 yards per run and 90.8 rushing yards per game for the season. Overall, they have given up 1,362 yards on the ground through 15 games. The Dolphins sit in 13th in the NFL when it comes to team defense, allowing 20.9 PPG.

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The Ravens come into this game with a record of 12-3 for this season. When they last stepped on the football field, the Ravens took home the win by a final score of 33-19 when they faced the 49ers. Lamar Jackson (2 touchdowns) ended the game with 252 yards on 23/35 passing while his QB rate was 105.9. He didn't toss any picks and his average yds per pass attempt was 7.2 yds. Lamar Jackson carried the rock 7 times for 45 yards, finishing the contest with 6.4 yds per carry for Baltimore. Zay Flowers was the leading receiver for the Ravens, bringing in 9 throws for 72 yds (8.0 yards per catch). Baltimore ran for 3.9 yds per attempt, finishing with a total of 102 yds on 26 attempts. The Ravens finished the game with a total of 343 yds while they ran 63 plays (5.4 yards per play). The Ravens passing defense gave up a completion percentage of 56.5%, surrendering 308 yards on 26 for 46 through the air. Baltimore relinquished 18 rush attempts for 121 yards (6.7 yards per rush).

The Baltimore Ravens are averaging 372.1 yards per contest which is good for 5th in football. They have an average of 159.7 yards via the ground game and have rushed for 2,395 yards for the season. They have tossed 7 interceptions while losing 9 fumbles and they have earned 156 1st downs. The Baltimore offense has compiled 884 penalty yds on 92 violations, which ranks 12th in the league in terms of helping out the other team. During the season so far, the Ravens have compiled 3,186 yards through the air as well as an average of 212.4 passing yards per game, which ranks 21st out of all NFL teams. In relation to how much they score, the Ravens are ranking 4th in the league scoring 27.8 points per game.

They have conceded 15 touchdowns through the air in addition to 193.9 yards/outing, which has them sitting 6th out of all teams. Baltimore has given up a total of 1,551 yards via the ground game (103.4 yards per game) in addition to 5 touchdowns rushing for the season. This season, they have given up 244 total points. Their defense has tallied 26 turnovers (10 fumbles recovered and 16 interceptions) for the year. The Ravens defense has participated in 981 plays, which has them sitting 29th in the league. The Ravens are allowing 16.3 PPG, which has them in 1st of all teams in the league.

Who will win tonight's Dolphins/Ravens NFL game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Ravens -3.5

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