Los Angeles Rams vs Indianapolis Colts Prediction, 10/1/2023 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 4

Game: Los Angeles Rams vs Indianapolis Colts

Date: Sunday, October 1, 2023

Location: Lucas Oil Stadium in Indianapolis, IN

TV: FOX

Odds/Point Spread: Colts (+1.5)

Total/Over-Under: 45

The Los Angeles Rams (1-2) are on their way to Lucas Oil Stadium on Sunday where they will attempt to defeat the Indianapolis Colts (2-1). Indianapolis is 1.5-point underdogs. The total is set at 45.

The Los Angeles Rams head into this game 1-2 for this season. In their last game, the Rams played against the Bengals and took a loss by a final of 19-16. Kyren Williams was the rushing leader for the Rams with 10 totes for 38 yards (3.8 yds per attempt). Puka Nacua held an average of 14.4 yds per catch by earning 72 yards on 5 catches. Matthew Stafford connected on 18/33 with 269 yds through the air and 1 touchdown. He had a QB rating of 66.4 and finished the game with 2 picks. Against the rush, the Rams conceded 67 yards on 23 attempts, which calculates to 2.9 yards per run surrendered. Los Angeles allowed 26 pass completions on 49 attempts for a total of 242 yards, and a completion rate of 53.1%. When all was said and done, they ran 52 plays which totaled 292 yds. The Los Angeles Rams ran the football 13 times and amassed 71 yards, earning them an average of 5.5 yds per carry.

The Rams have attained 1,104 total yards for this campaign. Los Angeles has recorded 46 first downs offensively, and they have committed 17 penalties for 136 yards. With reference to scoring touchdowns, Los Angeles has earned 2 touchdowns via the pass and 4 rushing touchdowns. They have turned the football over 4 different times (4 interceptions and 0 fumbles). As a team they're averaging 84.0 yards on the ground which is 26th in the NFL. When talking about getting in the endzone, the Los Angeles Rams have an average of 23.0 points per contest.

Concerning yards through the air, the Rams have conceded 543 yards which ranks them 7th in the NFL. They have given up 181.0 yards per contest through the air in addition to giving up a completion percentage of 59.0%. For the season, they have yielded 284.7 yards per outing ranking them 7th in the NFL. The opposition is running for an average of 4.5 yards per attempt on the ground and 103.7 rushing yards per contest this year. Over the course of this season, they have given up 311 rushing yards through 3 games. The Rams sit in 13th in the league in relation to team defense, allowing 20.7 points per game.

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The Colts head into this game 2-1 for this season. The last time they stepped on the gridiron, the Colts went home victorious with a score of 22-19 when they played the Ravens. Zack Moss ran the ball 30 times for 122 yds, finishing the game with 4.1 yards per carry for Indianapolis. Michael Pittman Jr. was the leading receiver for the Colts, snagging 9 passes for 77 yards (8.6 yds per catch). Gardner Minshew II (1 TD) ended the contest with 227 yards on 27/44 through the air while his QB rate was 82.3. He didn't toss any picks and his avg yards per attempt was 5.2 yards. Indianapolis conceded 37 rushing attempts for 186 yards (5.0 yards per rush). The Colts pass defense gave up a completion rate of 71.0%, relinquishing 178 yards on 22 out of 31 through the air. The Colts finished the contest with a total of 327 yds while they ran 84 plays (3.9 yds per play). Indianapolis rushed the ball for 4.0 yards per attempt, totaling 139 yards on 35 carries.

In relation to their ability to score points, the Colts are sitting 10th in the league holding an average of 24.7 PPG. For the year thus far, the Colts currently have a total of 630 passing yards in addition to holding an average of 210.0 passing yards per game, which has them ranked 16th in the league. They average 110.0 run yards per game and have rushed for 330 yards for this year. The Indianapolis Colts have an average of 320.0 yards per outing which ranks them 19th in football. The Indianapolis offense has compiled 108 yards of penalties on 18 violations, which has them sitting 16th in the league in terms of helping out the other team. They have tossed 1 pick while losing 2 fumbles and they have been able to tally 34 first downs.

The Colts are giving up 23.3 points per game, ranking them 19th in the NFL. They have yielded 4 touchdowns through the air in addition to 250.7 yards/outing, which has them in 23rd in the league. Indianapolis has surrendered a total of 343 rushing yards (114.3 yards per game) in addition to 4 touchdowns by way of the ground game this season. The Colts defense has taken part in 220 plays, which ranks them 32nd in football. Their defense has tallied 5 turnovers (4 fumbles and 1 pick) this year. Over the course of the season, they have allowed 70 points in total.

Who will win tonight's Rams/Colts NFL game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Rams -1.5

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