Los Angeles Chargers vs New England Patriots Prediction, 12/3/2023 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 13

Game: Los Angeles Chargers vs New England Patriots

Date: Sunday, December 3, 2023

Location: Gillette Stadium in Foxborough, MA

TV: CBS

Odds/Point Spread: Patriots (+6)

Total/Over-Under: 40

Gillette Stadium is the site where the New England Patriots (2-9) will attempt to defeat the Los Angeles Chargers (4-7) on Sunday. Los Angeles opens this game as 6-point favorites from oddsmakers. The total is set at 40.

The Los Angeles Chargers head into this matchup 4-7 this season. The last time they took the field, the Chargers took on the Ravens and went home with a loss by a final score of 20-10. Justin Herbert connected on 29/44 with 217 yards passing and 1 TD. He had a QB rating of 75.7 and finished the game with 1 interception. Keenan Allen held an average of 7.6 yards per catch by totaling 106 yds on 14 catches. Justin Herbert led the offense in rushing for the Chargers with 4 carries for 47 yards (11.8 yards per attempt). When all was said and done, they tallied 66 plays which gave them a total of 279 yds. The Los Angeles Chargers ended up rushing 19 different times and totaled 86 yards, which had them averaging 4.5 yds per attempt. When it came to the battle of the line of scrimmage, the Chargers gave up 197 yds on 35 tries, which calculates to 5.6 yds per rush surrendered. Los Angeles surrendered 18 pass completions on 32 attempts for 164 yds, and a completion percentage of 56.3%.

The Chargers have attained 3,822 total yards for the year. Los Angeles has 138 1st downs as a unit, and they have committed 57 infractions for 548 yds. With reference to getting the ball in the endzone, Los Angeles has totaled 21 touchdowns through the air and 9 touchdowns via the ground. They have surrendered the football 12 different times (6 picks and 6 fumbles). Offensively they average 103.9 yards on the ground which ranks them 20th in the league. When it comes to scoring, the Los Angeles Chargers are averaging 24.5 points per outing.

The Chargers sit in 25th in the NFL in relation to team defense, giving up 23.5 PPG. Opposing teams are running for an average of 4.2 yards per tote and 110.6 rushing yards per game this season. During the season, they have given up 1,217 rushing yards through 11 games. When talking about passing yards, the Chargers have conceded 3,080 yards which ranks them 31st in the NFL. They have given up 280.0 yards per game through the air as well as giving up a completion percentage of 67.2%. For the season, they have yielded 390.6 yards/game which ranks them 32nd in football.

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The Patriots head into this matchup 2-9 for this season. In their last contest, the Patriots walked away with a loss by a score of 10-7 against the Giants. Mac Jones ended the game with 89 yds on 12/21 passing while his QB rating was 27.8. He threw 2 interceptions and his avg yards per attempt was 4.2 yards. Demario Douglas was one of the featured targets for the Patriots, snagging 6 passes for 49 yds (8.2 yds per catch). Rhamondre Stevenson ran the football 21 times for 98 yds, ending the game with 4.7 yards per attempt for New England. The Patriots finished with 283 yards and they ran 68 plays (4.2 yards per play). New England ran the ball for 4.7 yards per attempt, finishing with a total of 147 yds on 31 attempts. New England relinquished 19 attempts on the ground for 58 yards (3.1 yards per rush). The Patriots pass defense conceded a completion rate of 68.0%, surrendering 162 yds on 17 for 25 passing.

Concerning their scoring prowess, the Patriots sit 31st out of all teams in the league averaging 13.5 points per contest. During the season so far, the Patriots have earned 2,132 yards via the pass not to mention an average of 193.8 passing yards per contest, putting them at 23rd in the NFL. They maintain an average of 99.6 yards via the ground game and have toted the ball for 1,096 yards overall. The New England Patriots are averaging 293.5 yards per game which is good for 25th in football. The New England offense has 478 yds of penalties on 65 infractions, which has them ranked 21st in the league in terms of helping out the opposition. They have thrown 14 picks while losing 5 fumbles and they have been able to tally 106 1st downs.

They have yielded 13 touchdowns via the pass and 222.7 yards/game, ranking them 16th in the NFL. New England has allowed the opposition a total of 1,035 yards via the ground game (94.1 yards/game) in addition to 9 touchdowns by ground this season. This season, they have allowed 248 total points. They have 11 turnovers (5 fumbles and 6 interceptions) for the year. The Patriots defense has taken part in 707 plays, which has them sitting 17th in the league. The Patriots are conceding 22.5 points per game, which has them in 21st in the league.

Who will win tonight's Chargers/Patriots NFL game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Chargers -6

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