Los Angeles Chargers vs Green Bay Packers Prediction, 11/19/2023 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 11

Game: Los Angeles Chargers vs Green Bay Packers

Date: Sunday, November 19, 2023

Location: Lambeau Field in Green Bay, WI

TV: FOX

Odds/Point Spread: Packers (+3)

Total/Over-Under: 44

The Green Bay Packers (3-6) will take on the Los Angeles Chargers (4-5) at Lambeau Field on Sunday. Los Angeles opens this game as 3-point favorites. The total is 44.

The Los Angeles Chargers come into this game with a record of 4-5 for this season. When they last stepped on the football field, the Chargers faced off with the Lions and walked away from this one with a loss by a score of 41-38. Austin Ekeler was the best rusher for the Chargers with 19 totes for 67 yds (3.5 yards per carry). Keenan Allen had an average of 15.9 yards per catch by earning 175 yds on 11 catches. Justin Herbert went 27/40 with 323 yards passing and 4 TDs. He had a quarterback rate of 114.9 and finished the game with 1 interception. In the running game, the Chargers gave up 200 yds on 31 tries, which averages out to 6.5 yards per run allowed. Los Angeles gave up 23 pass completions on 33 tries for 333 yds, and a completion rate of 69.7%. Overall, they had 68 plays for 421 yds. The Los Angeles Chargers ended up running the ball 28 times and accumulated 98 yds, which is an average of 3.5 yds per attempt.

The Chargers have earned 3,149 total yards for this campaign. Los Angeles has accrued 116 1st downs, and they have been hurt by 48 penalties for 453 yds. In terms of scoring, Los Angeles has earned 18 touchdowns via the pass and 9 rushing touchdowns. They have turned the football over 7 different times (5 picks and 2 fumbles). As a team they are averaging 100.8 yards on the ground ranking them 22nd in the league. When talking about scoring points, the Los Angeles Chargers are averaging 26.6 points per contest.

The Chargers are sitting in 24th in the NFL in relation to the opposition scoring, giving up 23.9 points per game. The opposition is running for an average of 4.1 yards per rush and 102.0 rushing yards per game for the season. For the season, they have given up 918 yards on the ground through 9 games. When it comes to yards via the pass, the Chargers have allowed 2,621 yards which has them ranked 31st in the NFL. They have allowed 291.2 yards per contest via the pass in addition to giving up a completion percentage of 68.2%. In total, they have surrendered 393.2 yards per contest ranking them 31st in the NFL.

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The Packers head into this game 3-6 this season. The last time they stepped on the gridiron, the Packers took a defeat with a final score of 23-19 when they played the Steelers. Jordan Love (2 touchdowns) walked away from the game with 289 yards on 21/40 through the air while his QB rate was 71.8. He had 2 interceptions and his average yards per pass attempt was 7.2 yards. AJ Dillon carried the rock 9 times for 70 yards, ending the contest with 7.8 yds per attempt for Green Bay. Jayden Reed was a featured target for the Packers, grabbing 5 passes for 84 yards (16.8 yards per reception). Green Bay ran the football for 4.8 yds per carry, finishing with 116 yards on 24 carries. The Packers finished the contest with a total of 399 yards while running 65 plays (6.1 yds per play). The Packers passing defense gave up a completion rate of 60.9%, surrendering 119 yards on 14 out of 23 passing. Green Bay gave up 36 running attempts for 205 yards (5.7 yards per carry).

When it comes to their scoring prowess, the Packers are ranked 21st in the league averaging 19.9 PPG. For the year so far, the Packers have thrown for a total of 1,880 yards through the air as well as an average of 208.9 passing yards per game, putting them at 19th in football. They maintain an average of 102.1 rushing yards per game and have run for 919 yards overall. The Green Bay Packers maintain an average of 311.0 yards/game which ranks them 21st out of all teams in the NFL. The Green Bay offense has 513 penalty yds on 65 infractions, ranking them 6th in football in terms of helping out the opposition. They have given away 10 interceptions while surrendering 2 fumbles and they have tallied 99 1st downs.

The Packers are conceding 20.2 PPG, which has them ranked 12th in the league. They have allowed 8 touchdowns through the air as well as 187.6 yards per game, ranking them 7th in football. Green Bay has given up a total of 1,197 yards rushing (133.0 yards/game) and 9 touchdowns by ground for the season. The Packers defense has been on the field for 584 plays, which has them ranked 15th in the NFL. Their defense has compiled 8 takeaways (3 fumbles and 5 picks) so far this season. Overall, they have relinquished 182 total points.

Who will win tonight's Chargers/Packers NFL game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Chargers -3

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