Las Vegas Raiders vs Miami Dolphins Prediction, 11/19/2023 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 11

Game: Las Vegas Raiders vs Miami Dolphins

Date: Sunday, November 19, 2023

Location: Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens, FL

TV: CBS

Odds/Point Spread: Dolphins (-12)

Total/Over-Under: 46

The Miami Dolphins (6-3) will play the Las Vegas Raiders (5-5) at Hard Rock Stadium on Sunday. Miami opens this contest as 12-point favorites from oddsmakers. The over/under is set at 46.

The Las Vegas Raiders step onto the field holding a record of 5-5 for this season. When they last took the field, the Raiders played against the Jets and walked away with a win by a score of 16-12. Josh Jacobs was the rushing leader for the Raiders with 27 totes for 116 yards (4.3 yds per carry). Davante Adams averaged 14.3 yds per catch by recording 86 yds on 6 receptions. Aidan O'Connell went 16/27 with 153 yds through the air and 1 touchdown. He had a QB rate of 72 and ended the contest with 1 interception. When it came to stopping the run, the Raiders conceded 108 yds on 21 tries, which is 5.1 yards per rush surrendered. Las Vegas surrendered 23 completions on 40 attempts for 257 yds, and a completion percentage of 57.5%. In all, they tallied 62 plays for 274 yards. The Las Vegas Raiders ended up rushing 32 times and accrued 148 yds, which had them averaging 4.6 yds per carry.

When it comes to putting points on the board, the Las Vegas Raiders are sitting at 17.2 PPG. As a team they average 83.3 yards on the ground which is 30th in the league. The Raiders have earned 2,754 total yards for the year. Las Vegas has 108 1st downs as an offense, and they have been hurt by 51 infractions for 447 yards. They have surrendered the ball 18 times (14 interceptions and 4 fumbles). In terms of getting in the endzone, Las Vegas has compiled 9 touchdowns through the air and 7 touchdowns on the ground.

When talking about passing yards, the Raiders have conceded 1,987 yards which ranks them 10th in the National Football League. They have allowed 198.7 yards per game through the air as well as allowing a completion percentage of 67.3%. Over the course of this year, they are allowing 334.3 yards per contest ranking them 18th in the NFL. Opposing teams are running for an average of 4.6 yards per rush and 135.6 yards on the ground per contest for the season. In total, they have allowed 1,356 running yards through 10 games. The Raiders are ranked 13th in the NFL concerning team defense, giving up 20.5 PPG.

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The Dolphins step onto the field holding a record of 6-3 for this season. The last time they took the field, the Dolphins went home defeated by a final of 21-14 when they faced the Chiefs. Tua Tagovailoa (1 touchdown) finished the contest with 193 yards on 21/34 through the air while his QB rate was 87. He didn't throw any interceptions and his average yards per pass attempt was 5.7 yards. Tyreek Hill was one of the featured targets for the Dolphins, hauling in 8 throws for 62 yards (7.8 yards per reception). Raheem Mostert carried the ball 12 times for 85 yds, finishing the game with 7.1 yards per attempt for Miami. The Dolphins finished the contest with 292 yds while running 58 plays (5.0 yds per play). Miami ran for 5.6 yards per tote, totaling 117 yds on 21 attempts. Miami surrendered 24 attempts on the ground for 93 yds (3.9 yds per rush). The Dolphins pass defense allowed a completion rate of 66.7%, relinquishing 174 yds on 20 out of 30 through the air.

In terms of the points being put on the board, the Dolphins are sitting 1st in the league maintaining an average of 31.7 points per game. During the season to this point, the Dolphins have compiled 2,587 yards through the air as well as holding an average of 287.4 throwing yards per outing, which has them sitting 1st in football. They hold an average of 147.9 rushing yards per game and have toted the ball for 1,331 yards for this year. The Miami Dolphins maintain an average of 435.3 yards per contest which is good for 1st out of all teams in the league. The Miami offense has compiled 445 penalty yds on 54 infractions, which is good for 21st in football in terms of helping out the opposition. They have thrown 8 interceptions while surrendering 5 fumbles and they have tallied 131 first downs.

They have surrendered 14 touchdowns through the air in addition to 216.2 yards/game, ranking them 13th in the NFL. Miami has allowed a total of 956 yards rushing (106.2 yards per game) and 9 touchdowns by ground this year. Over the course of the season, they have allowed 225 points in total. They have totaled 9 takeaways (5 fumbles recovered and 4 interceptions) this season. The Dolphins defense has been on the field for 573 plays, which is good for 12th in the league. The Dolphins are allowing 25.0 PPG, which puts them in 26th in football.

Who will win tonight's Raiders/Dolphins NFL game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Dolphins -12

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