Las Vegas Raiders vs Los Angeles Chargers Prediction, 10/1/2023 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 4

Game: Las Vegas Raiders vs Los Angeles Chargers

Date: Sunday, October 1, 2023

Location: SoFi Stadium in Inglewood, CA

TV: CBS

Odds/Point Spread: Chargers (-4.5)

Total/Over-Under: 49

The Las Vegas Raiders (1-2) are hitting the road to SoFi Stadium on Sunday where they will attempt to defeat the Los Angeles Chargers (1-2). Los Angeles opens as 4.5-point favorites. The over/under is set at 49.

The Las Vegas Raiders head into this game 1-2 this season. In their last contest, the Raiders faced the Steelers and ended up losing by a score of 23-18. Josh Jacobs led the offense in rushing for the Raiders with 17 totes for 62 yards (3.6 yds per carry). Davante Adams left with an average of 13.2 yards per catch by accounting for 172 yds on 13 catches. Jimmy Garoppolo connected on 28/44 with 324 yards passing and 2 touchdowns. He had a quarterback rating of 72.5 and finished the contest with 3 picks. When it came to the battle of the line of scrimmage, the Raiders gave up 105 yds on 31 tries, which is 3.4 yds per run allowed. Las Vegas conceded 16 completions on 28 tries for 228 yds, and a completion percentage of 57.1%. Once the final whistle blew, they tallied 67 plays for 362 yds. The Las Vegas Raiders ran the ball 19 times and had 69 yards, which is an average of 3.6 yds per carry.

The Raiders have earned 863 total yards for the season. Las Vegas has earned 33 first downs as an offense, and they have been flagged for 19 infractions for 187 yards. When it comes to getting the ball in the endzone, Las Vegas has compiled 5 touchdowns via the pass and 0 rushing touchdowns. They have surrendered the football 7 different times (6 interceptions and 1 fumble lost). As a unit they average 61.7 yards rushing which is 32nd in the National Football League. When it comes to getting in the endzone, the Las Vegas Raiders are sitting at 15.0 points per outing.

When it comes to passing yardage, the Raiders have surrendered 661 yards which has them sitting in 15th in the league. They have conceded 220.3 yards per contest through the air and giving up a completion percentage of 74.7%. During this campaign, they have given up 347.7 yards per contest ranking them 18th in the National Football League. They are allowing teams to run for an average of 4.3 yards per rush and 127.3 rushing yards per game for the year. Overall, they have allowed 382 rushing yards through 3 games. The Raiders are sitting in 24th in the National Football League regarding team defense, conceding 25.7 PPG.

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The Chargers head into this game 1-2 for this season. The last time they stepped on the football field, the Chargers went home victorious with a score of 28-24 against the Vikings. Justin Herbert (3 touchdowns) finished the game with 405 yards on 40/47 through the air while his quarterback rate was 123.8. He didn't toss any interceptions and his average yds per pass attempt was 8.6 yds. Joshua Kelley ran the ball 11 times for 12 yds, ending the game with 1.1 yards per carry for Los Angeles. Keenan Allen had the best day in terms of receiving for the Chargers, hauling in 18 footballs for 215 yards (11.9 yds per catch). Los Angeles ran the ball for 2.0 yards per attempt, finishing the contest with 30 yds on 15 carries. The Chargers finished with a total of 475 yards and they ran 64 plays (7.4 yards per play). The Chargers secondary gave up a completion rate of 64.0%, relinquishing 345 yards on 32 out of 50 through the air. Los Angeles relinquished 24 run attempts for 130 yds (5.4 yards per rush).

Regarding the points being put on the board, the Chargers currently sit 5th out of all teams in the league by tallying 28.7 PPG. For the year thus far, the Chargers currently have a total of 926 passing yards along with an average of 308.7 throwing yards per contest, putting them at 3rd in the league. They are averaging 108.0 yards per game via the rush and have rushed for 324 yards for the season. The Los Angeles Chargers maintain an average of 416.7 yards/contest which has them ranked 2nd out of all teams in the league. The Los Angeles offense has compiled 207 yds of penalties on 22 violations, which is good for 8th in the league in terms of helping out the other team. They have given away 0 picks while conceding 1 fumble and they have been able to earn 46 1st downs.

The Chargers are surrendering 29.0 points per game, ranking them 28th in the league. They have conceded 7 touchdowns from the passing game as well as 337.0 yards/contest, which has them sitting 32nd in the league. Los Angeles has conceded a total of 341 rushing yards (113.7 yards per contest) in addition to 3 touchdowns rushing this season. The Chargers defense has been on the field for 206 plays, which ranks them 24th in football. They have 4 takeaways (2 fumbles and 2 interceptions) on the year. In total, they have surrendered 87 points in total.

Who will win tonight's Raiders/Chargers NFL game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Chargers -4.5

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