Kansas City Chiefs vs New York Jets Prediction, 10/1/2023 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 4

Game: Kansas City Chiefs vs New York Jets

Date: Sunday, October 1, 2023

Location: MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford, NJ

TV: NBC

Odds/Point Spread: Jets (+7.5)

Total/Over-Under: 44

The Kansas City Chiefs (2-1) are headed to MetLife Stadium on Sunday where they will try to defeat the New York Jets (1-2). New York opens this matchup as 7.5-point underdogs from Vegas oddsmakers. The betting total comes in at 44.

The Kansas City Chiefs come into this matchup with a record of 2-1 this season. In their last game, the Chiefs took the field against the Bears and took home the win by a score of 41-10. Patrick Mahomes went 24/33 with 272 yards passing and 3 TDs. He had a QB rate of 127.3 and finished the game with no interceptions. Travis Kelce left with an average of 9.9 yds per catch by earning 69 yds on 7 catches. Isiah Pacheco led the offense in rushing for the Chiefs with 15 carries for 62 yds (4.1 yds per attempt). In all, they ran 75 plays for 456 yds. The Kansas City Chiefs ended up running the ball 37 different times and totaled 153 yards, which is an average of 4.1 yds per attempt. When it came to the battle of the line of scrimmage, the Chiefs conceded 116 yards on 26 tries, which averages out to 4.5 yards per rush allowed. Kansas City relinquished 11 completions on 22 tries for a total of 87 yds, and a completion percentage of 50.0%.

The Chiefs have earned 1,171 yards in total this season. Kansas City has 38 first downs, and they have been called for 18 infractions for 134 yds. With reference to getting the ball in the endzone, Kansas City has compiled 7 touchdowns via the pass and 2 rushing touchdowns. They have given the ball to the opposition 6 different times (4 interceptions and 2 fumbles). As a unit they are averaging 114.7 yards rushing ranking this team at 10th in the NFL. When it comes to scoring, the Kansas City Chiefs are averaging 26.0 points per contest.

Regarding yards via the pass, the Chiefs have conceded 534 yards which has them sitting in 6th in the National Football League. They have relinquished 178.0 yards per game through the air and giving up a completion percentage of 56.6%. In total, they are granting 280.7 yards per outing ranking them 6th in the league. Opposing teams are running for an average of 3.9 yards per rushing attempt and 102.7 yards on the ground per game for the season. Overall, they have given up 308 running yards through 3 games. The Chiefs rank 4th in the league in terms of team defense, allowing 13.3 points per game.

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The Jets head into this game 1-2 for this year. In their last contest, the Jets went home defeated by a final of 15-10 when they faced the Patriots. Zach Wilson finished the game with 157 yds on 18/36 passing while his quarterback rating was 61.9. He didn't throw any picks and his average yards per pass attempt was 4.4 yds. Garrett Wilson was a featured target for the Jets, hauling in 5 footballs for 48 yds (9.6 yards per reception). Dalvin Cook carried the rock 8 times for 18 yards, finishing the contest with 2.3 yds per carry for New York. The Jets finished the contest with a total of 171 yds while they ran 61 plays (2.8 yards per play). New York ran for 1.7 yards per carry, finishing with 38 yds on 22 carries. New York surrendered 40 running attempts for 157 yds (3.9 yards per rush). The Jets pass defense conceded a completion percentage of 51.7%, surrendering 201 yds on 15 for 29 through the air.

Concerning putting points on the board, the Jets are ranked 32nd in the league holding an average of 14.0 points per game. Over the course of the season thus far, the Jets have compiled 401 yards via the pass as well as an average of 133.7 passing yards per outing, which has them ranked 32nd in football. They maintain an average of 91.3 run yards per game and have rushed for 274 yards overall. The New York Jets average 225.0 yards per game which has them ranked 32nd in football. The New York offense has racked up 54 penalty yds on 10 violations, which is good for 32nd in football in terms of helping out the other team. They have tossed 4 picks while allowing opponents to recover 1 fumble and they have been able to earn 19 1st downs.

The Jets are conceding 20.3 PPG, which has them sitting 12th in the NFL. They have surrendered 4 touchdowns via the pass and 222.0 yards/game, which puts them in 16th in football. New York has yielded a total of 388 yards via the ground game (129.3 yards/game) as well as 0 touchdowns rushing this year. The Jets defense taken the field for 220 plays, which ranks 31st in the league. They have earned 4 takeaways (1 fumble and 3 picks) on the year. This season, they have relinquished 61 points in total.

Who will win tonight's Chiefs/Jets NFL game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Chiefs -7.5

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