Kansas City Chiefs vs New Orleans Saints Prediction, 8/13/2023 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Preseason

Game: Kansas City Chiefs vs New Orleans Saints

Date: Sunday, August 13, 2023

Location: Caesars Superdome in New Orleans, LA

TV: NFL NET

Odds/Point Spread: Saints (-1.5)

Total/Over-Under: 39

The New Orleans Saints (7-10 last year) are welcoming the Kansas City Chiefs (16-3 last season) at Caesars Superdome on Sunday. New Orleans opens this matchup as 1.5-point favorites. The total is set at 39.

The Kansas City Chiefs ended the season with a 16-3 record. The last time they stepped on the football field, the Chiefs played the Eagles and notched a win by a score of 38-35. Patrick Mahomes went 21/27 with 182 yards through the air and 3 TDs. He had a quarterback rating of 131.8 and walked away from the game without throwing a pick. Patrick Mahomes was the rushing leader for the Chiefs with 6 attempts for 44 yds (7.3 yards per carry). Noah Gray had an average of 6.0 yards per catch by accumulating 6 yds on 1 catch. The Kansas City Chiefs ran the football 26 different times and accumulated 158 yards, which earned them an average of 6.1 yds per attempt. When the final whistle blew, they ran 53 plays which gave them 340 yards. Kansas City surrendered 27 pass completions on 38 tries for 302 yards, and a completion percentage of 71.1%. In the running game, the Chiefs conceded 115 yards on 32 attempts, which is 3.6 yds per rush allowed.

The Chiefs earned 7,032 yards in total for last year. Kansas City totaled 272 1st downs, and they were flagged for 87 penalties for 838 yards. Kansas City earned 41 touchdowns via the pass and 18 touchdowns on the ground. They turned the ball over 23 different times (12 picks and 11 fumbles). As a unit they had an average of 115.9 yards rushing, giving them a rank of 20th in the National Football League. Regarding scoring, the Kansas City Chiefs averaged 29.2 points per outing.

Concerning passing yardage, the Chiefs allowed 3,756 yards which ranked them 19th in the league. During their 17 games played last season, they conceded 220.9 yards per game via the pass as well as surrendering a completion percentage of 65.9%. They surrendered 328.2 yards/outing which put them 11th in the NFL. They granted 33 touchdowns through the air as well as 10 rushing touchdowns. They allowed an average of 4.4 yards per attempt on the ground and 107.2 rushing yards per game for the previous season. Over the course of last season, they conceded 1,823 running yards through 17 games. The Chiefs were ranked 16th in the league when it comes to their opponents scoring, giving up 21.7 points per game.

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The Saints wrapped up their season holding a 7-10 mark. When they last took the field, the Saints took a loss by a final score of 10-7 against the Panthers. Andy Dalton (1 touchdown) ended the game with 171 yards on 15/25 passing while his QB rating was 93.9. He didn't throw any picks and his average yds per pass attempt was 6.8 yds. Chris Olave was featured in the passing game for the Saints, catching 5 throws for 60 yards (12.0 yards per reception). Alvin Kamara carried the ball 23 times for 107 yards, walking away from the game with 4.7 yards per carry for New Orleans. The Saints finished with 304 yds while they ran 58 plays (5.2 yards per play). New Orleans ran for 4.5 yds per carry, finishing the contest with 143 yds on 32 carries. New Orleans surrendered 41 attempts on the ground for 171 yds (4.2 yards per rush). The Saints secondary allowed a completion rate of 33.3%, relinquishing 32 yds on 5 out of 15 through the air.

The New Orleans Saints maintained an average of 333.8 yards per contest which ranked them 19th out of all teams in the NFL. They averaged 116.6 yards per game via the rush and ran for 1,982 yards overall. The New Orleans offense had 841 penalty yds on 99 violations, which ranked them 12th in football in terms of helping out the other team. They gave away 14 picks while losing 11 fumbles and they recorded 181 first downs. Throughout last year, the Saints had a total of 3,692 passing yards along with averaging 217.2 throwing yards per game, which ranked 16th in the league. In terms of the points being put on the board, the Saints sat 22nd in the NFL with a maintained average of 19.4 PPG.

They conceded 17 touchdowns via the pass and 184.4 yards per outing, which had them in 2nd in the league. New Orleans gave up a total of 2,218 yards rushing (130.5 yards per contest) and 14 touchdowns rushing last season. They compiled 14 takeaways (7 fumbles recovered and 7 interceptions) over the course of the prior season. The Saints defense was on the field for 1,076 plays, which ranked them 15th in the NFL. Last season, they relinquished 345 total points. The Saints allowed 20.3 PPG, which had them in 9th of all teams in the NFL.

Who will win tonight's Chiefs/Saints NFL game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Chiefs +1.5

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