Kansas City Chiefs vs New England Patriots Prediction, 12/17/2023 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 15

Game: Kansas City Chiefs vs New England Patriots

Date: Sunday, December 17, 2023

Location: Gillette Stadium in Foxborough, MA

TV: FOX

Odds/Point Spread: Patriots (+9)

Total/Over-Under: 37

The New England Patriots (3-10) host the Kansas City Chiefs (8-5) at Gillette Stadium on Sunday. New England opens this contest as 9-point underdogs. The total is 37.

The Kansas City Chiefs head into this game 8-5 for this year. The last time they stepped on the football field, the Chiefs faced off with the Bills and took a loss by a final of 20-17. Patrick Mahomes went 25/43 with 271 yards through the air and 1 touchdown. He had a quarterback rating of 74.9 and finished the game with 1 pick. Travis Kelce had an average of 13.8 yards per catch by accumulating 83 yards on 6 catches. Clyde Edwards-Helaire led the offense in rushing for the Chiefs with 11 carries for 39 yards (3.5 yards per carry). When the final whistle blew, they ran 62 plays which converted into 346 yds. The Kansas City Chiefs ran the ball a total of 18 different times and accrued 82 yds, earning them an average of 4.6 yards per carry. In the running game, the Chiefs gave up 118 yds on 28 tries, which averages out to 4.2 yards per rush allowed. Kansas City surrendered 23 pass completions on 42 attempts for 209 yds, and a completion percentage of 54.8%.

When talking about getting in the endzone, the Kansas City Chiefs are averaging 22.5 points per contest. As a team they have an average of 107.8 yards on the ground which ranks them 17th in the National Football League. The Chiefs have attained 4,697 total yards this year. Kansas City has 174 first downs as a team, and they have been called for 83 penalties for 690 yards. They have turned the ball over 22 different times (13 picks and 9 fumbles lost). When it comes to scoring, Kansas City has amassed 23 touchdowns via the pass and 8 rushing touchdowns.

The Chiefs are ranked 3rd in the National Football League in relation to team defense, giving up 17.5 PPG. They are allowing an average of 4.6 yards per rushing attempt and 114.9 rushing yards per contest for the year. For the year, they have given up 1,494 yards via the running game in 13 outings. In terms of yards through the air, the Chiefs have allowed 2,405 yards which has them sitting in 6th in football. They have surrendered 185.0 yards per contest through the air in addition to conceding a completion percentage of 61.6%. Overall, they have yielded 299.9 yards/contest which has them ranked 6th in the NFL.

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The Patriots head into this matchup 3-10 this season. In their last game, the Patriots took home the win by a final score of 21-18 when they played the Steelers. Bailey Zappe (3 TDs) ended the contest with 240 yards on 19/28 through the air while his QB rating was 115.2. He had 1 pick and his avg yards per attempt was 8.6 yds. Ezekiel Elliott ran the ball 22 times for 68 yards, ending the contest with 3.1 yards per carry for New England. JuJu Smith-Schuster was a featured target for the Patriots, hauling in 4 balls for 90 yds (22.5 yards per catch). New England rushed for 3.2 yds per attempt, finishing with a total of 81 yards on 25 carries. The Patriots finished the game with a total of 303 yds while they ran 55 plays (5.5 yds per play). The Patriots passing defense conceded a completion rate of 61.1%, surrendering 182 yds on 22 for 36 through the air. New England allowed 28 running attempts for 82 yards (2.9 yds per rush).

In relation to their scoring prowess, the Patriots currently sit 32nd out of all teams in the NFL with 13.0 points per game. During this campaign thus far, the Patriots have compiled 2,463 passing yards not to mention holding an average of 189.5 passing yards per game, which ranks 25th in the NFL. They average 101.9 rushing yards per game and have toted the ball for 1,325 yards in total. The New England Patriots maintain an average of 291.4 yards per outing which ranks them 28th out of all teams in the league. The New England offense has racked up 551 yards of penalties on 75 violations, which is 22nd in the league in terms of hurting your team. They have thrown 15 interceptions while letting opponents recover 6 fumbles and they have been able to obtain 122 1st downs.

The Patriots are conceding 20.9 points per contest, which has them in 14th in the league. They have allowed 14 touchdowns via the pass and 218.8 yards per contest, which has them ranked 15th in the league. New England has conceded a total of 1,146 yards on the ground (88.2 yards per contest) and 10 touchdowns by ground this year. The Patriots defense has taken part in 834 plays, which has them ranked 18th in football. They have 12 takeaways (5 fumbles recovered and 7 picks) over the course of the season. Overall, they have conceded 272 total points.

Who will win tonight's Chiefs/Patriots NFL game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Patriots +9

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