Kansas City Chiefs vs Minnesota Vikings Prediction, 10/8/2023 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 5

Game: Kansas City Chiefs vs Minnesota Vikings

Date: Sunday, October 8, 2023

Location: U.S. Bank Stadium in Minneapolis, MN

TV: CBS

Odds/Point Spread: Vikings (+6.5)

Total/Over-Under: 52

The Minnesota Vikings (1-3) host the Kansas City Chiefs (3-1) at U.S. Bank Stadium on Sunday. Kansas City opens as 6.5-point favorites. The over/under comes in at 52.

The Kansas City Chiefs head into this game 3-1 for this season. The last time they took the field, the Chiefs stepped onto the field against the Jets and notched a win by a score of 23-20. Isiah Pacheco led the offense in rushing for the Chiefs with 20 totes for 115 yards (5.8 yards per attempt). Travis Kelce held an average of 10.0 yards per reception by accounting for 60 yds on 6 catches. Patrick Mahomes went 18/30 with 203 yds passing and 1 TD. He had a QB rating of 63.6 and walked away from the contest with 2 picks. Against the rush, the Chiefs gave up 108 yds on 16 attempts, which is an average of 6.8 yds per rush surrendered. Kansas City gave up 28 completions on 39 attempts for 228 yds, and a completion percentage of 71.8%. When the final whistle blew, they tallied 66 plays for 401 yards. The Kansas City Chiefs ran the football 35 times and accounted for 204 yards, which had them averaging 5.8 yds per attempt.

When talking about getting in the endzone, the Kansas City Chiefs have an average of 25.3 PPG. As a team they average 137.0 yards on the ground ranking them 9th in the league. The Chiefs have earned 1,572 total yards over the course of this year. Kansas City has amassed 47 first downs offensively, and they have been hurt by 23 penalties for 180 yds. They have surrendered the ball 8 times (6 picks and 2 fumbles). When it comes to getting in the endzone, Kansas City has totaled 8 touchdowns via the pass and 3 rushing touchdowns.

Concerning passing yards, the Chiefs have conceded 762 yards which puts them in 8th in the National Football League. They have conceded 190.5 yards per game through the air as well as giving up a completion percentage of 60.9%. Over the course of this season, they are granting 294.5 yards/game which has them ranked 8th in the league. They are giving up 4.4 yards per running attempt and 104.0 rushing yards per contest this year. During the season, they have allowed 416 rushing yards through 4 outings. The Chiefs are ranked 6th in the NFL regarding team defense, giving up 15.0 PPG.

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The Vikings come into this game with a record of 1-3 for this season. The last time they stepped on the gridiron, the Vikings walked away with a victory by a final of 21-13 when they played the Panthers. Kirk Cousins (2 TDs) walked away from the contest with 139 yds on 12/19 passing while his QB rating was 80.7. He threw 2 interceptions and his average yds per pass attempt was 7.3 yds. Alexander Mattison carried the football 17 times for 95 yards, walking away from the game with 5.6 yards per carry for Minnesota. Justin Jefferson had the best day in terms of receiving for the Vikings, hauling in 6 balls for 85 yds (14.2 yds per reception). Minnesota ran the ball for 5.9 yds per carry, totaling 135 yards on 23 carries. The Vikings finished with a total of 265 yds on 44 plays (6.0 yards per play). The Vikings pass defense allowed a completion rate of 78.1%, surrendering 149 yards on 25 for 32 through the air. Minnesota relinquished 31 running attempts for 83 yds (2.7 yds per rush).

The Minnesota Vikings hold an average of 370.8 yards per game which has them sitting 9th in the NFL. They hold an average of 83.5 yards via the ground game and have toted the ball for 334 yards for the year. They have given away 4 interceptions while conceding 7 fumbles and they have been able to earn 58 1st downs. The Minnesota offense has accrued 142 yds of penalties on 21 infractions, which has them sitting 26th in the NFL in terms of making mistakes. For the year to this point, the Vikings have racked up 1,149 yards via the pass together with an average of 287.3 passing yards per outing, which has them ranked 3rd in football. In relation to the points being put on the board, the Vikings are ranking 16th out of all teams in football by tallying 22.5 PPG.

The Vikings are conceding 23.8 PPG, which has them in 19th of all teams in the NFL. They have surrendered 7 touchdowns through the air as well as 233.5 yards/game, which has them in 21st in the NFL. Minnesota has conceded a total of 445 yards via the ground game (111.3 yards per outing) and 3 touchdowns via the rush this year. The Vikings defense has taken part in 275 plays, which is good for 25th in the NFL. They have totaled 3 takeaways (2 fumbles recovered and 1 pick) for the year. This year, they have surrendered 95 points in total.

Who will win tonight's Chiefs/Vikings NFL game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Vikings +6.5

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