Kansas City Chiefs vs Las Vegas Raiders Prediction, 1/7/2023 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 18

Game: Kansas City Chiefs vs Las Vegas Raiders

Date: Saturday, January 7, 2023

Location: Allegiant Stadium in Paradise, NV

TV: ESPN

Odds/Point Spread: Raiders (+8.5)

Total/Over-Under: 53

The Kansas City Chiefs (13-3) are en route to Allegiant Stadium on Saturday where they will try to defeat the Las Vegas Raiders (6-10). Kansas City opens this game as 8.5-point favorites. The over/under is 53.

The Kansas City Chiefs head into this matchup 13-3 for this season. The last time they stepped on the gridiron, the Chiefs went up against the Broncos and earned the victory with a final of 27-24. Patrick Mahomes went 29/42 with 328 yards passing and 3 touchdowns. He had a quarterback rating of 106.1 and finished the game with 1 interception. Kadarius Toney had an average of 17.8 yds per reception by totaling 71 yds on 4 catches. Isiah Pacheco was the leader on the ground for the Chiefs with 9 totes for 31 yds (3.4 yards per attempt). At the end of the game, they ran 58 plays which gave them 374 yards. The Kansas City Chiefs rushed the ball a total of 16 different times and recorded 46 yards, which is an average of 2.9 yards per carry. In the running game, the Chiefs conceded 117 yards on 24 attempts, which is an average of 4.9 yards per run allowed. Kansas City relinquished 26 pass completions on 38 attempts for 190 yds, and a completion percentage of 68.4%.

The Chiefs have tallied 6,683 total yards for the season. Kansas City has accounted for 263 first downs, and they have been hurt by 82 penalties for 795 yards. With reference to distribution of touchdowns, Kansas City has amassed 40 passing touchdowns and 15 touchdowns on the ground. They have turned the football over 23 different times (12 interceptions and 11 fumbles lost). As a unit they have an average of 112.6 yards via the ground game ranking this team at 21st in the NFL. In terms of scoring, the Kansas City Chiefs are averaging 29.1 PPG.

When talking about passing yardage, the Chiefs have conceded 3,576 yards which ranks them 19th in football. They have given up 223.5 yards per contest through the air and allowed a completion percentage of 66.2%. For the season, they have yielded 331.3 yards per game ranking them 13th in the NFL. They have relinquished 32 touchdowns via the pass as well as 10 touchdowns via the ground game. They are giving up 4.4 yards per rushing attempt and 107.8 rushing yards per game over the course of this year. Overall, they have conceded 1,724 rushing yards through 16 outings. The Chiefs are ranked 20th in the league concerning their opponents scoring, conceding 22.3 PPG.

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The Raiders come into this game with a record of 6-10 for this year. When they last took the field, the Raiders went home defeated by a final of 37-34 against the 49ers. Jarrett Stidham (3 touchdowns) walked away from the contest with 365 yds on 23/34 passing while his quarterback rate was 108.1. He threw 2 picks and his average yards per pass attempt was 10.7 yds. Davante Adams had the best day in terms of receiving for the Raiders, hauling in 7 passes for 153 yds (21.9 yds per catch). Josh Jacobs ran the ball 17 times for 69 yards, walking away from the game with 4.1 yards per attempt for Las Vegas. The Raiders finished with 500 yards while they ran 66 plays (7.6 yds per play). Las Vegas ran the football for 4.2 yards per tote, finishing the game with 135 yards on 32 carries. Las Vegas relinquished 27 running attempts for 170 yds (6.3 yards per rush). The Raiders pass defense gave up a completion rate of 62.9%, relinquishing 284 yards on 22 for 35 through the air.

The Las Vegas Raiders are averaging 357.1 yards per contest which ranks them 10th in the league. They have an average of 122.5 yards per game via the rush and have run for 1,960 yards for the season. The Las Vegas offense has accrued 885 yards of penalties on 107 infractions, which has them sitting 3rd in football in terms of hurting your team. They have tossed 16 picks while surrendering 3 fumbles and they have been able to tally 180 first downs. During this campaign thus far, the Raiders have compiled 3,754 yards via the pass not to mention holding an average of 234.6 passing yards per contest, which has them ranked 11th in football. When discussing how much they score, the Raiders sit 12th in the league with an average of 23.9 PPG.

They have allowed 24 touchdowns via the pass as well as 246.8 yards/game, which has them in 29th in football. Las Vegas has conceded a total of 1,919 rushing yards (119.9 yards/game) in addition to 17 touchdowns on the ground this season. They have 13 turnovers (7 fumbles recovered and 6 picks) on the year. The Raiders defense has taken part in 1,021 plays, which is good for 19th in the league. Overall, they have given up 387 points in total. The Raiders are conceding 24.2 PPG, which puts them in 25th in the NFL.

Who will win tonight's Chiefs/Raiders NFL game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Chiefs -8.5

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