Kansas City Chiefs vs Green Bay Packers Prediction, 12/3/2023 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 13

Game: Kansas City Chiefs vs Green Bay Packers

Date: Sunday, December 3, 2023

Location: Lambeau Field in Green Bay, WI

TV: NBC

Odds/Point Spread: Packers (+6.5)

Total/Over-Under: 42

The Kansas City Chiefs (8-3) are hitting the road to Lambeau Field on Sunday where they will take on the Green Bay Packers (5-6). Kansas City opens this game as 6.5-point favorites from Vegas oddsmakers. The betting total comes in at 42.

The Kansas City Chiefs step onto the field holding a record of 8-3 for this year. The last time they stepped on the gridiron, the Chiefs took the field against the Raiders and earned the victory with a final of 31-17. Patrick Mahomes went 27/34 with 298 yds passing and 2 TDs. He had a QB rating of 122.8 and finished the game with no interceptions. Isiah Pacheco led the offense in rushing for the Chiefs with 15 carries for 55 yds (3.7 yards per carry). Rashee Rice had an average of 13.4 yds per reception by tallying 107 yards on 8 receptions. The Kansas City Chiefs ended up rushing 23 times and had 69 yards, earning them an average of 3.0 yards per tote. In the game, they had 58 plays which gave them 360 yds. Kansas City surrendered 23 pass completions on 34 tries for a total of 235 yards, and a completion percentage of 67.6%. Against the run, the Chiefs gave up 123 yds on 23 tries, which is an average of 5.3 yds per run allowed.

Concerning scoring points, the Kansas City Chiefs hold an average of 23.3 points per contest. As a team they maintain an average of 106.5 yards on the ground giving them a rank of 17th in the NFL. The Chiefs have earned 4,014 total yards for the year. Kansas City has accumulated 147 1st downs as an offense, and they have been hurt by 71 infractions for 595 yds. They have turned the ball over 19 times (11 picks and 8 fumbles lost). In terms of getting in the endzone, Kansas City has amassed 21 touchdowns through the air and 6 rushing touchdowns.

In terms of passing yardage, the Chiefs have surrendered 1,943 yards which ranks them 3rd in football. They have given up 176.6 yards per contest through the air as well as giving up a completion percentage of 61.6%. Overall, they are conceding 290.0 yards per outing putting them 4th in the NFL. They are allowing teams to run for an average of 4.6 yards per tote and 113.4 rushing yards per contest for the season. In total, they have conceded 1,247 rushing yards through 11 games. The Chiefs are ranked 3rd in the league in relation to team defense, allowing 16.5 points per game.

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The Packers head into this matchup 5-6 this season. The last time they stepped on the gridiron, the Packers walked away with a victory by a final of 29-22 when they played the Lions. AJ Dillon ran the football 14 times for 43 yards, walking away from the game with 3.1 yards per carry for Green Bay. Christian Watson was a featured target for the Packers, snagging 5 footballs for 94 yards (18.8 yds per reception). Jordan Love (3 TDs) ended the game with 268 yds on 22/32 passing while his QB rating was 125.5. He didn't throw any interceptions and his Y/A was 8.4 yds. Green Bay gave up 31 run attempts for 140 yards (4.5 yards per carry). The Packers pass defense allowed a completion rate of 65.9%, surrendering 324 yards on 29 out of 44 passing. The Packers finished the contest with a total of 377 yards while running 54 plays (7.0 yards per play). Green Bay rushed the football for 5.0 yards per tote, finishing with a total of 109 yds on 22 carries.

When looking at putting points on the board, the Packers sit 17th in the NFL averaging 21.0 PPG. During this campaign thus far, the Packers have thrown for 2,443 yards through the air as well as holding an average of 222.1 throwing yards per outing, which has them ranked 16th in the league. They have an average of 102.7 yards per game on the ground and have run for 1,130 yards overall. The Green Bay Packers maintain an average of 324.8 yards/outing which has them sitting 18th in the league. The Green Bay offense has compiled 619 yds of penalties on 79 infractions, which is good for 5th in the NFL in terms of hurting your team. They have given away 10 picks while allowing opponents to recover 2 fumbles and they have been able to obtain 128 first downs.

The Packers are giving up 20.4 PPG, which has them in 11th of all teams in the NFL. They have given up 12 touchdowns via the pass as well as 205.1 yards/contest, which has them sitting 9th in the NFL. Green Bay has allowed the opposition a total of 1,487 yards rushing (135.2 yards per outing) in addition to 10 touchdowns by way of the ground game for the year. The Packers defense has taken part in 724 plays, which is 20th in the league. Their defense has tallied 12 takeaways (7 fumbles recovered and 5 interceptions) this season. This season, they have relinquished 224 total points.

Who will win tonight's Chiefs/Packers NFL game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Packers +6.5

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