Kansas City Chiefs vs Denver Broncos Prediction, 10/29/2023 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 8

Game: Kansas City Chiefs vs Denver Broncos

Date: Sunday, October 29, 2023

Location: Empower Field at Mile High in Denver, CO

TV: CBS

Odds/Point Spread: Broncos (+9.5)

Total/Over-Under: 48

The Kansas City Chiefs (6-1) are en route to Empower Field at Mile High on Sunday where they will attempt to defeat the Denver Broncos (2-5). Kansas City opens as 9.5-point favorites from oddsmakers. The total comes in at 48.

The Kansas City Chiefs step onto the field holding a record of 6-1 this year. In their last game, the Chiefs played the Chargers and walked away with a win by a score of 31-17. Isiah Pacheco led the offense in rushing for the Chiefs with 13 carries for 32 yds (2.5 yds per carry). Travis Kelce left with an average of 14.9 yards per catch by totaling 179 yds on 12 receptions. Patrick Mahomes went 32/42 with 424 yards through the air and 4 TDs. He had a quarterback rate of 129.5 and finished the game with 1 pick. On the ground, the Chiefs gave up 139 yds on 26 attempts, which is an average of 5.3 yds per rush surrendered. Kansas City relinquished 17 pass completions on 30 attempts for 219 yards, and a completion rate of 56.7%. In the game, they ran 64 plays which totaled 483 yds. The Kansas City Chiefs rushed the ball a total of 21 times and had 68 yds, which had them averaging 3.2 yards per attempt.

The Chiefs have earned 2,777 yards in total for the year. Kansas City has recorded 97 first downs as a team, and they have been flagged for 46 infractions for 393 yds. With reference to getting the ball in the endzone, Kansas City has earned 15 passing touchdowns and 4 touchdowns on the ground. They have given the ball to the opposition 11 times (8 interceptions and 3 fumbles). As a unit they're averaging 111.3 yards via the ground game which is 18th in the NFL. When it comes to getting in the endzone, the Kansas City Chiefs have an average of 25.4 PPG.

The Chiefs are sitting in 2nd in the league in relation to their opponents scoring, giving up 15.0 PPG. The opposition is running for an average of 4.6 yards per tote and 105.7 rushing yards per contest this year. For the year, they have allowed 740 yards via the running game in 7 contests. In terms of passing yards, the Chiefs have conceded 1,322 yards which puts them in 10th in football. They have conceded 188.9 yards per contest via the pass as well as allowing a completion percentage of 60.3%. Overall, they are giving up 294.6 yards per game which puts them 7th in football.

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The Broncos come into this game with a record of 2-5 this season. In their last game, the Broncos went home victorious with a score of 19-17 when they played the Packers. Russell Wilson (1 TD) finished the game with 194 yds on 20/29 through the air while his quarterback rating was 98.9. He didn't toss any picks and his average yards per pass attempt was 6.7 yards. Courtland Sutton had the best day in terms of receiving for the Broncos, bringing in 6 passes for 76 yds (12.7 yards per catch). Javonte Williams carried the ball 15 times for 82 yds, ending the game with 5.5 yds per attempt for Denver. The Broncos finished the game with 339 yards while running 55 plays (6.2 yards per play). Denver ran for 5.8 yards per carry, totaling 145 yds on 25 carries. Denver allowed 29 attempts on the ground for 137 yards (4.7 yards per carry). The Broncos passing defense gave up a completion rate of 68.8%, relinquishing 194 yards on 22 for 32 through the air.

When looking at this team's ability to score points, the Broncos rank 19th in football maintaining an average of 21.1 points per contest. For the year to this point, the Broncos currently have a total of 1,396 yards through the air as well as an average of 199.4 passing yards per game, which is ranked 22nd out of all NFL teams. They average 111.6 yards per game via the rush and have toted the ball for 781 yards in total. The Denver Broncos maintain an average of 311.0 yards per outing which has them sitting 21st out of all teams in the league. The Denver offense has 351 penalty yards on 48 violations, which has them ranked 3rd in the league in terms of making mistakes. They have tossed 4 interceptions while conceding 7 fumbles and they have been able to obtain 64 1st downs.

They have given up 16 touchdowns from the passing game as well as 257.4 yards per contest, which has them ranked 30th out of all teams. Denver has allowed a total of 1,171 yards rushing (167.3 yards per contest) in addition to 8 touchdowns rushing for the year. Overall, they have conceded 217 points in total. They have compiled 7 turnovers (2 fumbles recovered and 5 picks) this year. The Broncos defense has been on the field for 455 plays, which ranks 26th in the league. The Broncos are conceding 31.0 points per contest, which has them in 32nd of all teams in the league.

Who will win tonight's Chiefs/Broncos NFL game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Chiefs -9.5

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