Jacksonville Jaguars vs New Orleans Saints Prediction, 10/19/2023 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 7

Game: Jacksonville Jaguars vs New Orleans Saints

Date: Thursday, October 19, 2023

Location: Caesars Superdome in New Orleans, LA

TV: PRIME VIDEO

Odds/Point Spread: Saints (-3)

Total/Over-Under: 39

The Jacksonville Jaguars (4-2) are headed to Caesars Superdome on Thursday where they will play the New Orleans Saints (3-3). Jacksonville opens this matchup as 3-point dogs from Vegas oddsmakers. The over/under is 39.

The Jacksonville Jaguars come into this matchup with a record of 4-2 for this season. In their last game, the Jaguars played the Colts and walked away with a win by a score of 37-20. Trevor Lawrence connected on 20/30 with 181 yds through the air and 2 touchdowns. He had a quarterback rating of 91.1 and ended the contest with 1 interception. Travis Etienne led the offense in rushing for the Jaguars with 18 totes for 55 yards (3.1 yds per carry). Evan Engram held an average of 5.9 yds per catch by notching 41 yards on 7 receptions. The Jacksonville Jaguars ran the football 29 times and totaled 85 yards, which is an average of 2.9 yds per attempt. In all, they tallied 62 plays which converted into 233 yards. Jacksonville relinquished 33 completions on 55 tries for 310 yds, and a completion percentage of 60.0%. When it came to stopping the run, the Jaguars conceded 44 yds on 17 attempts, which calculates to 2.6 yds per rush allowed.

When it comes to putting points on the board, the Jacksonville Jaguars are sitting at 23.7 points per outing. Offensively they're holding an average of 113.5 yards rushing ranking them 15th in the National Football League. The Jaguars have racked up 2,024 total yards for the year. Jacksonville has a total of 70 first downs offensively, and they have committed 28 penalties for 210 yds. They have turned the football over 8 times (3 picks and 5 fumbles). When it comes to scoring touchdowns, Jacksonville has earned 7 passing touchdowns and 7 touchdowns via the ground.

In terms of passing yards, the Jaguars have allowed 1,622 yards which ranks them 32nd in football. They are allowing 270.3 yards per game through the air as well as giving up a completion percentage of 64.4%. Overall, they have yielded 345.7 yards per outing which has them ranked 21st in the league. They are giving up 3.6 yards per tote and 75.3 rushing yards per contest for the season. Over the course of this year, they have allowed 452 rushing yards through 6 contests. The Jaguars sit in 15th in the league concerning the opposition scoring, giving up 20.3 points per game.

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The Saints head into this matchup 3-3 this year. When they last stepped on the football field, the Saints took a loss by a score of 20-13 when they played the Texans. Derek Carr (1 touchdown) finished the contest with 353 yards on 32/50 through the air while his QB rating was 83.2. He had 1 pick and his average yards per pass attempt was 7.1 yards. Alvin Kamara carried the rock 19 times for 68 yds, ending the game with 3.6 yards per carry for New Orleans. Taysom Hill was featured in the passing game for the Saints, catching 7 passes for 49 yards (7.0 yards per catch). New Orleans ran for 3.6 yds per attempt, totaling 89 yards on 25 carries. The Saints ended up finishing with 430 yds and they ran 78 plays (5.5 yds per play). The Saints secondary gave up a completion rate of 48.1%, relinquishing 177 yds on 13 for 27 passing. New Orleans allowed 31 rushing attempts for 120 yards (3.9 yds per carry).

The New Orleans Saints are averaging 312.5 yards/outing which is good for 20th in football. They have an average of 95.8 yards per game on the ground and have run for 575 yards for the year. They have tossed 4 interceptions while letting opponents recover 4 fumbles and they have been able to obtain 65 first downs. The New Orleans offense has accrued 406 penalty yds on 43 violations, which is good for 4th in the league in terms of helping out the other team. During this campaign to this point, the Saints have compiled 1,300 passing yards as well as holding an average of 216.7 throwing yards per outing, which is ranked 15th out of all NFL teams. When it comes to how much they score, the Saints are 24th out of all teams in the league by tallying 18.2 points per game.

They have conceded 7 touchdowns through the air in addition to 182.0 yards per outing, which puts them in 5th in football. New Orleans has given up a total of 578 yards rushing (96.3 yards/game) as well as 1 touchdown by way of the ground game for the year. This season, they have conceded 96 points in total. Their defense has compiled 10 takeaways (2 fumbles recovered and 8 picks) over the course of the season. The Saints defense has been on the field for 364 plays, which has them sitting 13th in the league. The Saints are relinquishing 16.0 points per contest, which has them sitting 6th of all teams in the league.

Who will win tonight's Jaguars/Saints NFL game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Jaguars +3

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