Jacksonville Jaguars vs Kansas City Chiefs Prediction, 1/21/2023 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Divisional Playoffs

Game: Jacksonville Jaguars vs Kansas City Chiefs

Date: Saturday, January 21, 2023

Location: GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium in Kansas City, MO

TV: NBC

Odds/Point Spread: Chiefs (-8)

Total/Over-Under: 52

The Jacksonville Jaguars (10-8) are on their way to GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium on Saturday where they will try to defeat the Kansas City Chiefs (14-3). Kansas City opens this contest as 8-point favorites from Vegas oddsmakers. The betting total is set at 52.

The Jacksonville Jaguars head into this matchup 10-8 this year. In their last contest, the Jaguars took the field against the Chargers and notched a win by a score of 31-30. Travis Etienne was the best rusher for the Jaguars with 20 carries for 109 yds (5.5 yds per carry). Evan Engram left with an average of 13.3 yards per catch by accumulating 93 yards on 7 receptions. Trevor Lawrence connected on 28/47 with 288 yds passing and 4 TDs. He had a QB rating of 70.2 and ended the contest with 4 picks. In the running game, the Jaguars conceded 67 yards on 23 tries, which is an average of 2.9 yards per rush allowed. Jacksonville conceded 25 pass completions on 43 attempts for a total of 253 yards, and a completion rate of 58.1%. In all, they tallied 70 plays which converted into 390 yards. The Jacksonville Jaguars rushed the ball a total of 21 times and compiled 117 yards, which came out to an average of 5.6 yards per carry.

The Jaguars have racked up 6,075 total yards over the course of this year. Jacksonville has amassed 208 first downs, and they have committed 90 penalties for 674 yards. When it comes to getting the ball in the endzone, Jacksonville has compiled 25 passing touchdowns and 16 rushing touchdowns. They have turned the ball over 22 times (9 interceptions and 13 fumbles). As a team they have an average of 124.5 yards on the ground which ranks them 14th in the league. Concerning putting the ball in the endzone, the Jacksonville Jaguars are averaging 23.8 PPG.

Concerning passing yardage, the Jaguars have allowed 4,055 yards which ranks them 28th in the league. They have conceded 238.5 yards per game via the pass as well as giving up a completion percentage of 64.1%. In total, they are surrendering 353.3 yards/outing putting them 24th in football. They have yielded 25 touchdowns through the air as well as 14 touchdowns via the ground game. They are giving up an average of 4.2 yards per rush and 114.8 rushing yards per contest for the year. Over the course of this season, they have given up 1,951 running yards through 17 contests. The Jaguars rank 12th in the NFL in relation to team defense, allowing 20.6 PPG.

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The Chiefs come into this matchup with a record of 14-3 for this year. The last time they stepped on the gridiron, the Chiefs took home the win by a final score of 31-13 when they faced the Raiders. Isiah Pacheco carried the ball 8 times for 64 yds, ending the game with 8.0 yds per attempt for Kansas City. Justin Watson was one of the featured targets for the Chiefs, hauling in 1 footballs for 67 yards (67.0 yards per catch). Patrick Mahomes (1 TD) ended the game with 202 yds on 18/26 passing while his QB rate was 105. He kept the ball away from the defense with no picks and his average yds per pass attempt was 7.8 yards. Kansas City allowed 25 rush attempts for 99 yards (4.0 yards per carry). The Chiefs secondary gave up a completion percentage of 61.1%, surrendering 180 yards on 22 out of 36 through the air. The Chiefs finished with 349 yards on 56 plays (6.2 yds per play). Kansas City ran for 6.0 yards per attempt, totaling 168 yds on 28 attempts.

The Kansas City Chiefs maintain an average of 413.6 yards/contest which ranks them 1st in the NFL. They maintain an average of 115.9 yards per game via the ground game and have rushed for 1,970 yards for the season. The Kansas City offense has accrued 838 penalty yards on 87 violations, which has them sitting 26th in football in terms of helping out the opposition. They have tossed 12 picks while surrendering 11 fumbles and they have been able to earn 272 1st downs. Over the course of the season thus far, the Chiefs have compiled 5,062 yards via the pass not to mention holding an average of 297.8 passing yards per contest, giving them a rank of 1st in the NFL. When discussing their ability to score points, the Chiefs rank 1st in the league holding an average of 29.2 points per game.

They have yielded 33 touchdowns via the pass and 220.9 yards per contest, which has them sitting 18th in football. Kansas City has given up a total of 1,823 yards rushing (107.2 yards per game) as well as 10 touchdowns via the rush for the season. They have earned 20 takeaways (9 fumbles and 11 interceptions) this season. The Chiefs defense has participated in 1,093 plays, which is 25th in the league. In total, they have surrendered 369 total points. The Chiefs are conceding 21.7 points per game, ranking them 16th in the NFL.

Who will win tonight's Jaguars/Chiefs NFL game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Jaguars +8

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