Jacksonville Jaguars vs Indianapolis Colts Prediction, 9/10/2023 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 1

Game: Jacksonville Jaguars vs Indianapolis Colts

Date: Sunday, September 10, 2023

Location: Lucas Oil Stadium in Indianapolis, IN

TV: FOX

Odds/Point Spread: Colts (+4.5)

Total/Over-Under: 45

Lucas Oil Stadium is where the Indianapolis Colts (4-12-1 last year) will play the Jacksonville Jaguars (10-8 last season) on Sunday. Jacksonville opens this contest as 4.5-point favorites from Vegas oddsmakers. The total comes in at 45.

The Jacksonville Jaguars wrapped up their year with a 10-8 record. In their last game, the Jaguars played against the Chiefs and ended up losing by a score of 27-20. Travis Etienne was the rushing leader for the Jaguars with 10 totes for 62 yards (6.2 yards per attempt). Zay Jones averaged 16.6 yards per reception by accounting for 83 yards on 5 receptions. Trevor Lawrence connected on 24/39 with 217 yards passing and 1 TD. He had a QB rate of 74.4 and finished the contest with 1 interception. On the ground, the Jaguars conceded 144 yds on 30 attempts, which is an average of 4.8 yds per run surrendered. Jacksonville conceded 27 pass completions on 37 attempts for a total of 218 yards, and a completion rate of 73.0%. When all was said and done, they tallied 60 plays which totaled 349 yards. The Jacksonville Jaguars ended up running the ball 19 different times and compiled 144 yards, which earned them an average of 7.6 yards per carry.

The Jaguars earned 6,075 total yards over the course of last year. Jacksonville had 208 1st downs as a unit, and they were flagged for 90 infractions for 674 yds. Jacksonville earned 25 touchdowns via the pass and 16 rushing touchdowns. They surrendered the ball 22 times (9 interceptions and 13 fumbles lost). As a team they had an average of 124.5 yds on the ground, which had them sitting 14th in the league. Concerning putting points on the board, the Jacksonville Jaguars averaged 23.8 PPG.

When talking about passing yards, the Jaguars gave up 4,055 yards which had them ranked 28th in the NFL. In their 17 games, they allowed 238.5 yards per contest through the air and surrendering a completion percentage of 64.1%. They allowed 353.3 yards per outing which had them ranked 24th in the league. They conceded 25 passing touchdowns and 14 touchdowns via the ground game. The opposition ran for 4.2 yards per run and 114.8 yards on the ground per game for the previous season. In total, they conceded 1,951 yards via the running game in 17 contests. The Jaguars were ranked 12th in the league when it comes to their opponents scoring, allowing 20.6 points per contest.

Get all of our NFL Parlay Picks

The Colts wrapped up their year holding a 4-12-1 record. The last time they took the field, the Colts went home defeated by a final of 32-31 against the Texans. Sam Ehlinger (2 touchdowns) finished the game with 209 yards on 23/35 through the air while his QB rating was 77. He threw 2 picks and his Y/A was 6.0 yds. Deon Jackson had the best day in terms of receiving for the Colts, hauling in 6 throws for 75 yds (12.5 yds per catch). Zack Moss ran the football 18 times for 114 yds, walking away from the contest with 6.3 yds per attempt for Indianapolis. The Colts finished with 398 yds while they ran 70 plays (5.7 yards per play). Indianapolis ran for 5.9 yds per carry, finishing with 196 yds on 33 attempts. Indianapolis relinquished 23 rushing attempts for 59 yds (2.6 yds per carry). The Colts pass defense conceded a completion rate of 60.0%, relinquishing 301 yards on 24 for 40 through the air.

The Indianapolis Colts maintained an average of 311.6 yards per game which ranked them 27th in the NFL. They held an average of 109.8 yards per game on the ground and rushed for 1,866 yards for last year. The Indianapolis offense had 794 yds of penalties on 89 infractions, which ranked 23rd in football in terms of helping out the opposition. They threw 20 picks while conceding 14 fumbles and they obtained 193 1st downs. Over the course of last season, the Colts threw for a total of 3,432 passing yards together with an average of 201.9 passing yards per outing, ranking them 23rd in the NFL. Regarding the points being put on the board, the Colts were ranked 31st in football averaging 17.0 points per game.

They surrendered 25 touchdowns through the air in addition to 209.9 yards/outing, which had them ranked 11th in football. Indianapolis conceded a total of 2,109 yards rushing (124.1 yards per contest) and 20 touchdowns by ground over the course of last year. They totaled 21 takeaways (11 fumbles and 10 picks) during the previous year. The Colts defense took part in 1,092 plays, which had them sitting 23rd in the league. Last year, they allowed 427 points in total. The Colts relinquished 25.1 points per game, which had them sitting 30th of all teams in the league.

Who will win tonight's Jaguars/Colts NFL game against the spread?

Parlays Pundit's Pick: Take the Colts +4.5 and over 45 total points

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here