Jacksonville Jaguars vs Buffalo Bills Prediction, 10/8/2023 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 5

Game: Jacksonville Jaguars vs Buffalo Bills

Date: Sunday, October 8, 2023

Location: Tottenham Hotspur Stadium in London, England

TV: NFL NET

Odds/Point Spread: Bills (-4)

Total/Over-Under: 47.5

The Jacksonville Jaguars (2-2) are en route to Tottenham Hotspur Stadium on Sunday where they will try to beat the Buffalo Bills (3-1). Jacksonville opens this matchup as 4-point underdogs. The total is 47.5.

The Jacksonville Jaguars come into this matchup with a record of 2-2 for this year. When they last stepped on the football field, the Jaguars faced the Falcons and went home with a win by a final score of 23-7. Travis Etienne was the best rusher for the Jaguars with 20 totes for 55 yards (2.8 yards per attempt). Christian Kirk held an average of 10.5 yards per catch by earning 84 yds on 8 receptions. Trevor Lawrence went 23/30 with 207 yards passing and 1 touchdown. He had a quarterback rate of 105.8 and ended the game without throwing an interception. Against the run, the Jaguars gave up 127 yds on 22 attempts, which is 5.8 yds per run allowed. Jacksonville gave up 19 pass completions on 31 attempts for 160 yds, and a completion percentage of 61.3%. Once the final whistle blew, they ran 64 plays which converted into 300 yards. The Jacksonville Jaguars rushed the ball a total of 32 times and accounted for 105 yards, earning them an average of 3.3 yds per attempt.

When talking about getting in the endzone, the Jacksonville Jaguars have an average of 20.0 points per game. As a unit they're maintaining an average of 100.0 yards in the run game which is 19th in the league. The Jaguars have earned 1,317 total yards for the season. Jacksonville has a total of 48 1st downs, and they have been called for 15 infractions for 129 yards. They have surrendered the football 5 different times (2 picks and 3 fumbles lost). When it comes to getting the ball in the endzone, Jacksonville has amassed 4 passing touchdowns and 3 rushing touchdowns.

Regarding yards via the pass, the Jaguars have conceded 953 yards which has them ranked 22nd in football. They have relinquished 238.3 yards per outing through the air and allowed a completion percentage of 65.2%. In total, they are allowing 333.0 yards/game which ranks them 17th in the NFL. Opposing teams are running for an average of 3.9 yards per tote and 94.8 yards on the ground per game this year. Overall, they have conceded 379 yards via the ground game in 4 games. The Jaguars sit in 12th in the National Football League concerning team defense, conceding 20.5 PPG.

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The Bills head into this matchup 3-1 this year. When they last stepped on the football field, the Bills went home victorious with a score of 48-20 against the Dolphins. Josh Allen (4 TDs) ended the game with 320 yds on 21/25 passing while his QB rating was 158.3. He kept the ball away from the defense with no interceptions and his avg yards per attempt was 12.8 yds. Latavius Murray carried the ball 4 times for 32 yards, finishing the contest with 8.0 yds per carry for Buffalo. Stefon Diggs was one of the featured targets for the Bills, catching 6 passes for 120 yds (20.0 yards per catch). Buffalo rushed the ball for 3.6 yards per carry, finishing the game with 104 yds on 29 carries. The Bills finished the contest with 414 yds while they ran 56 plays (7.4 yards per play). The Bills pass defense conceded a completion percentage of 71.4%, relinquishing 251 yards on 25 for 35 through the air. Buffalo surrendered 19 rushing attempts for 142 yds (7.5 yards per carry).

The Buffalo Bills are averaging 391.0 yards/outing which has them ranked 6th out of all teams in the league. They have an average of 138.0 yards per game via the rush and have rushed for 552 yards overall. They have given away 4 interceptions while surrendering 1 fumble and they have been able to obtain 52 1st downs. The Buffalo offense has 135 yards of penalties on 19 infractions, which is 28th in the NFL in terms of making mistakes. For the year to this point, the Bills have compiled 1,012 yards through the air in addition to an average of 253.0 passing yards per contest, ranking them 7th in the NFL. When it comes to how much they score, the Bills are ranked 2nd out of all teams in the league holding an average of 34.8 points per game.

They have allowed 3 touchdowns through the air in addition to 169.5 yards per game, ranking them 4th in the league. Buffalo has conceded a total of 474 yards rushing (118.5 yards per contest) as well as 2 touchdowns on the ground for the season. In total, they have allowed 55 total points. Their defense has 11 turnovers (3 fumbles and 8 picks) for the year. The Bills defense has participated in 201 plays, which has them sitting 1st in football. The Bills are relinquishing 13.8 points per contest, ranking them 2nd in the NFL.

Who will win tonight's Jaguars/Bills NFL game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Bills -4

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